NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	115		Excitement	12.6 [11]		MVP	Eric Bledsoe (PHX): +61.6%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	15.8 [75]		LVP	Mason Plumlee (POR): -18.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Meyers Leonard	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.44	0.05	0.39	0.00	11	55%	0.44	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.11,-0.08,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,0.14	0.04	0.11	0.01	22	50%	0.39	2	-0.25	10	80%	0.09
Allen Crabbe	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	-0.00	9	70%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
CJ McCollum	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.17,0.17,0.13	0.08	0.07	0.02	18	59%	0.19	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.07
Maurice Harkless	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	10	62%	0.12	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	9	58%	0.05	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	-0.18	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.14	-0.05	-0.01	11	18%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.62	0.62	-0.05	0.62	-0.04	20	44%	0.71	3	-0.10	5	100%	0.04
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.22,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.27	0.27	0.10	0.18	0.01	22	55%	0.27	0	0.00	5	100%	0.06
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.14	0.07	-0.03	10	69%	0.24	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.07	0.07	-0.04	0.11	0.00	15	44%	0.15	2	-0.08	4	50%	0.01
Brandon Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	17	43%	0.10	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	3	37%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.10
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	5	38%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jared Dudley	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	5	60%	0.01	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.01	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.18	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	29.0	1.8	27.8	15.4	23.6	2.5	38.2	2.4	16.3	156.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +62.7%

POR -26.6%

PHX +7.3%

PHX +14.4%

POR -7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	13.4	14.8	100.0	105.4	107.7
season	14.9	13.9		108.6	105.4
opponent	14.5	14.5		110.3	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	17.1	15.2	13.1	14.1	13.3	14.6
PHX	14.2	14.1	14.6	11.1	12.7	13.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	45	46	0.30	-0.80	1.09	0.30	0	-3	3	15.0	14.4	0.65	13.2	13.5	-0.38
Al-Farouq Aminu	50	49	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-6	9	14.9	14.4	0.41	13.8	13.1	0.71
Meyers Leonard	58	59	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.00	2	-5	7	14.8	14.5	0.27	13.5	13.2	0.32
Ed Davis	32	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.12	-5	2	-7	15.9	14.1	1.73	14.2	13.1	1.09
Allen Crabbe	70	69	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.06	-4	1	-5	14.5	14.8	-0.36	12.9	14.1	-1.24
Evan Turner	56	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-6	9	14.0	15.2	-1.15	14.0	12.8	1.15
CJ McCollum	87	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.51	1	-4	5	14.7	14.5	0.21	13.6	12.6	1.01
Damian Lillard	87	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.44	-4	1	-5	14.5	15.1	-0.64	13.1	14.3	-1.16
Maurice Harkless	78	74	-1.18	0.68	-1.86	-0.95	-8	5	-13	14.5	14.9	-0.39	12.9	14.3	-1.34

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	81	85	1.06	-0.56	1.62	0.83	8	-5	13	13.0	14.4	-1.44	14.7	14.3	0.44
Eric Bledsoe	87	88	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.39	10	-7	17	12.8	15.5	-2.71	14.7	14.5	0.19
Brandon Knight	67	70	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.44	7	-4	11	13.0	14.0	-0.97	14.6	14.7	-0.14
TJ Warren	81	83	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.54	-2	5	-7	13.1	14.2	-1.09	14.1	15.9	-1.73
Tyson Chandler	62	61	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.04	7	-4	11	12.7	14.2	-1.45	15.1	14.1	0.94
Marquese Chriss	32	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	3	-3	14.1	13.1	1.05	15.7	14.2	1.43
Jared Dudley	43	43	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	-0.09	2	1	1	14.1	12.9	1.17	14.5	14.7	-0.22
PJ Tucker	42	45	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.10	-5	8	-13	14.2	12.9	1.27	14.0	15.0	-1.07
Leandro Barbosa	22	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.07	-5	8	-13	14.9	13.0	1.91	14.9	14.5	0.37
Alex Len	43	44	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.02	-7	10	-17	14.6	12.6	2.03	14.6	14.6	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.34,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.54,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.57,0.64,0.47,0.36,0.19,0.27,0.31,0.46,0.14,0.26,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.83,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.43,0.34,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	90.2%
CHI 86, CHA 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.42,0.23,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.17,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.91,0.99,1	89.8%
DEN 96, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.86,0.95,1,1	89.2%