inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 96 Excitement9.8 [74] MVPTerry Porter (MIN): +7.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves 103 Comeback9.1 [153] LVPDale Ellis (DEN): -22.2%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brooks Thompson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Tom Hammonds-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00233%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Ervin Johnson-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.000.00637%-0.0500.00450%-0.02
Bryant Stith-0.100,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.05-0.05-0.00744%-0.022-0.072100%0.01
Antonio McDyess-0.180,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18-0.16-0.03-0.022146%-0.056-0.13837%-0.12
LaPhonso Ellis-0.180,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.02-0.130.041750%-0.161-0.01887%0.03
Mark Jackson-0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.07-0.100.03867%0.016-0.20540%-0.04
Ricky Pierce-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.06-0.14-0.00954%0.103-0.31875%0.04
Dale Ellis-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.07-0.15-0.00843%-0.132-0.095100%0.05

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Terry Porter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.04-0.00862%0.111-0.0300%0.00
Cherokee Parks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.04-0.02-0.00580%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Chris Carr00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Sam Mitchell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.060.00-0.021043%-0.0400.001070%-0.01
Doug West0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.060.00750%0.011-0.0700%0.00
Kevin Garnett0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.050.011254%-0.032-0.042100%0.01
Stojko Vrankovic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.00643%-0.022-0.052100%0.01
Stephon Marbury0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.16-0.16-0.00-0.002338%-0.015-0.151100%0.03
Tom Gugliotta0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.05-0.140.022054%-0.074-0.1310100%0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.21.630.316.825.32.532.21.518.4152.6
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +17.9%
MIN +13.8%
DEN -3.2%
MIN +28.3%
DEN -6.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENMINNBADENMINNBA
this game15.515.915.696.0100.0104.4
season15.215.5102.3103.3
opponent15.515.3105.3108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.415.215.219.511.515.5
MIN15.515.414.817.516.815.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brooks Thompson540.19-0.680.870.103-101319.415.34.1416.215.80.41
Ervin Johnson8688-0.09-0.400.32-0.03-2-5315.714.01.7116.313.52.79
Tom Hammonds1110-0.10-0.390.280.13-81-915.915.40.4915.215.9-0.72
Dale Ellis5352-0.13-0.360.23-0.130-7715.315.7-0.3615.616.2-0.60
Ricky Pierce3638-0.23-0.260.03-0.20-1-6517.114.52.6117.215.12.11
Bryant Stith6667-0.26-0.23-0.03-0.12-5-2-314.317.8-3.5714.817.9-3.08
LaPhonso Ellis7074-0.43-0.06-0.37-0.29-5-2-316.014.11.9116.214.91.33
Mark Jackson9599-0.680.19-0.87-0.39-103-1315.319.4-4.1415.816.2-0.41
Antonio McDyess7883-0.720.23-0.95-0.52-70-715.017.1-2.1415.616.8-1.24

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tom Gugliotta94890.80-0.311.110.3615-82315.420.9-5.5215.514.90.63
Sam Mitchell59570.65-0.150.800.2713-61916.415.11.3316.614.02.66
Doug West78760.54-0.040.580.56-18-915.915.60.3915.216.4-1.19
Kevin Garnett86830.460.030.430.3734-115.815.9-0.0315.017.6-2.55
Stephon Marbury89850.400.090.310.2552315.915.60.2414.918.5-3.60
Terry Porter39390.050.44-0.39-0.2410-31315.616.0-0.4317.214.42.84
Chris Carr12-0.060.56-0.62-0.04-18-96.016.0-9.955.015.7-10.68
Stojko Vrankovic3131-0.100.60-0.700.10-714-2115.616.0-0.3913.616.3-2.74
Cherokee Parks3838-0.260.75-1.01-0.20-29-1116.715.41.2716.614.81.87


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.86,0.95,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 93, SAC 1060.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.68,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.24,0.15,0.34,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.93,1,1,191.6%
SAS 118, DAL 1230.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.4,0.66,0.72,0.71,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.34,0.19,0.15,0.32,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.69,0.92,191.1%
LAL 104, CHI 1060.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.95,0.84,191.0%