NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	104		Excitement	12.1 [14]		MVP	Derek Fisher (LAL): +35.5%
Chicago Bulls	106		Comeback	17.6 [31]		LVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): -90.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.36	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36	0.24	0.15	0.04	14	87%	0.36	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Brian Shaw	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.08	0.15	0.00	2	150%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.09,0.19	-0.02	0.21	-0.00	8	39%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Lindsey Hunter	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	58%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Mitch Richmond	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rick Fox	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.24	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.29,-0.28,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.25,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.22	-0.05	-0.04	14	41%	-0.12	4	-0.12	18	50%	-0.11
Kobe Bryant	-0.90	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.27,-0.33,-0.41,-0.45,-0.45,-0.9	-0.23	-0.67	0.01	25	43%	-0.69	7	-0.21	11	73%	-0.04

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ron Mercer	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.28	0.28	-0.04	0.28	-0.03	24	50%	0.38	3	-0.10	8	87%	0.05
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.02	14	55%	0.08	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Fred Hoiberg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Trenton Hassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.01	4	64%	-0.00	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Marcus Fizer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.17,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.04	-0.01	11	38%	-0.02	1	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Eddy Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.06	0.00	5	75%	0.16	2	-0.22	6	67%	-0.05
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	33%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.37	-0.37	-0.18	-0.20	-0.01	12	28%	-0.30	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	528.9	2.4	35.0	16.4	26.1	1.6	43.3	1.5	23.7	678.9
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +25.5%

CHI +5.5%

CHI +17.7%

LAL -15.9%

CHI +17.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHI	NBA	LAL	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	15.6	102.0	103.9	102.3
season	15.3	15.6		106.9	96.3
opponent	15.6	15.4		105.5	99.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAL	12.8	15.2	14.7	17.6	13.8	14.8
CHI	16.7	14.8	17.2	19.3	12.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaquille O'Neal	67	64	0.16	-0.66	0.82	0.01	5	-7	12	14.5	15.4	-0.91	16.7	15.8	0.84
Lindsey Hunter	19	19	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	2	-6	18.8	13.9	4.93	18.1	15.9	2.17
Rick Fox	53	52	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.10	3	-5	8	14.3	15.4	-1.07	16.1	16.6	-0.46
Mark Madsen	4	5	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-1	0	20.2	14.6	5.64	13.4	16.5	-3.09
Mitch Richmond	12	13	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	3	-8	11.7	15.2	-3.49	14.6	16.6	-1.98
Devean George	29	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	4	-10	14.4	15.0	-0.63	17.3	15.9	1.37
Kobe Bryant	90	89	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.52	3	-5	8	15.2	11.7	3.49	16.6	14.6	1.98
Brian Shaw	25	23	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.46	0	-2	2	16.1	14.4	1.70	16.3	16.4	-0.11
Samaki Walker	75	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.44	-1	-1	0	14.9	14.5	0.43	16.1	17.0	-0.86
Robert Horry	53	52	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	4	-10	14.8	14.9	-0.05	16.2	16.5	-0.23
Derek Fisher	83	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.56	2	-4	6	13.9	18.8	-4.93	15.9	18.1	-2.17

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	39	37	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.52	11	-9	20	15.4	16.9	-1.51	14.1	15.3	-1.18
Marcus Fizer	51	48	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.25	9	-7	16	15.0	17.7	-2.65	14.4	15.2	-0.83
Fred Hoiberg	3	3	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	-2	6	0.0	16.8	-16.84	5.3	15.1	-9.79
Ron Mercer	82	82	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.54	-4	6	-10	16.6	15.4	1.11	14.6	15.9	-1.39
Metta World Peace	68	71	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.28	0	2	-2	16.6	15.9	0.65	15.7	12.8	2.91
Trenton Hassell	43	42	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.02	6	-4	10	16.9	16.0	0.89	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Greg Anthony	55	57	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	2	-2	16.3	16.4	-0.11	14.7	15.0	-0.30
Kevin Ollie	35	34	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	2	-2	17.8	15.6	2.22	15.4	14.6	0.82
Eddy Curry	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	5	-8	16.4	16.3	0.05	11.8	15.3	-3.51
Brad Miller	58	60	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.16	-3	5	-8	16.9	15.7	1.20	15.6	13.7	1.94
Charles Oakley	51	52	-0.43	0.93	-1.36	-0.08	-12	14	-26	17.7	15.0	2.65	15.6	14.0	1.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.95,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.47,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.69,0.93,0.99,1	91.2%
DAL 109, MIA 119	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.4,0.33,0.27,0.34,0.36,0.27,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.79,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.24,0.15,0.24,0.08,0.46,0.75,0.9,0.98,0.99,1	91.1%
DEN 96, MIN 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.32,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.15,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.86,0.95,1,1	91.0%