NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	10.0 [49]		MVP	Tony Delk (PHX): +26.7%
Boston Celtics	109		Comeback	39.2 [32]		LVP	Anfernee Hardaway (PHX): -58.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Delk	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.11	0.13	-0.03	15	65%	0.27	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.09,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.04	0.08	-0.01	14	57%	0.18	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	13	52%	0.03	0	0.00	7	100%	0.07
Bo Outlaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Majerle	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	-0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17	-0.04	-0.09	0.05	15	63%	-0.02	6	-0.15	8	62%	-0.06
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.58	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.57,-0.57,-0.58,-0.58	-0.32	-0.32	-0.06	23	28%	-0.14	9	-0.44	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.34,-0.34,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	-0.17	0.32	-0.04	22	37%	0.35	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.00	3	75%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.03
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	61%	-0.00	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	4	60%	-0.05	1	-0.02	12	67%	-0.10
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.09,-0.22,-0.49,-0.58,-0.54,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35	-0.35	-0.10	-0.33	-0.07	21	50%	-0.06	5	-0.29	10	70%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	27.3	15.4	27.5	2.4	28.7	1.7	17.5	146.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +29.1%

BOS +5.2%

PHX -0.9%

BOS +14.5%

BOS +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	15.3	14.6	15.6	96.2	101.9	102.3
season	15.1	15.0		101.0	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.8		98.8	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	15.4	15.6	15.3	15.5	13.9	15.3
BOS	14.0	14.4	16.0	18.0	8.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dan Majerle	14	13	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-10	13	13.5	15.5	-2.04	15.5	14.5	1.08
Jake Tsakalidis	33	34	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-10	13	14.8	15.5	-0.75	13.7	15.0	-1.29
Tom Gugliotta	69	72	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-8	9	15.5	14.8	0.71	15.3	13.2	2.06
Shawn Marion	78	79	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.18	0	-7	7	15.4	15.0	0.37	14.4	15.1	-0.65
Anfernee Hardaway	81	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	15.2	15.4	-0.22	14.1	16.2	-2.12
Bo Outlaw	43	42	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	2	-11	14.9	15.6	-0.70	16.3	13.5	2.83
Tony Delk	61	62	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	15.1	15.4	-0.30	14.6	14.5	0.13
Rodney Rogers	63	63	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.08	-17	10	-27	15.8	14.4	1.40	14.2	15.2	-1.01
Stephon Marbury	88	89	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.39	-7	0	-7	15.4	14.7	0.73	14.3	16.0	-1.70

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Williams	70	69	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.08	20	-13	33	14.5	14.8	-0.26	16.2	13.6	2.62
Milt Palacio	58	58	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.04	18	-11	29	13.5	15.9	-2.34	15.3	15.2	0.04
Tony Battie	75	74	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	2	3	14.9	13.7	1.20	15.4	15.0	0.44
Paul Pierce	74	72	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	13.5	17.0	-3.53	15.2	15.4	-0.25
Antoine Walker	99	95	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	14.6	14.9	-0.31	15.4	13.8	1.62
Erick Strickland	29	30	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.13	-1	8	-9	13.2	15.1	-1.90	13.2	16.1	-2.94
Vitaly Potapenko	27	28	0.01	0.49	-0.49	-0.11	4	3	1	15.9	14.1	1.79	15.8	15.1	0.74
Kenny Anderson	49	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.25	-11	18	-29	15.9	13.5	2.34	15.2	15.3	-0.04
Joe Johnson	54	56	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.17	-11	18	-29	15.8	13.3	2.48	14.6	16.0	-1.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.47,0.39,0.21,0.23,0.16,0.54,0.45,0.69,0.93,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 104, CHI 106	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.46,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.1,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.95,0.84,1	91.2%
CHI 114, DAL 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.41,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.52,0.43,0.53,0.57,0.65,0.55,0.47,0.22,0.1,0.17,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.86,0.96,1	91.1%
GSW 92, UTA 99	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.41,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.59,0.53,0.46,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.17,0.54,0.69,0.85,0.97,1,1	90.3%