NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	107		Excitement	7.6 [305]		MVP	Steven Smith (ATL): +23.1%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	9999+ [1]		LVP	Rony Seikaly (ORL): -13.5%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Hardaway	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.14	0.04	0.05	-0.04	24	62%	0.28	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.03
Horace Grant	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	87%	0.09	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Brian Shaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.03	-0.01	-0.04	8	70%	0.17	2	-0.11	4	75%	0.01
Derek Strong	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.09,-0.09,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	71%	0.14	2	-0.12	4	100%	0.03
Darrell Armstrong	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gerald Wilkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	7	71%	0.05	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Scott	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09	0.00	-0.10	-0.01	9	60%	0.00	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Rony Seikaly	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	10	48%	-0.04	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.23	0.23	0.15	0.13	0.04	23	72%	0.36	4	-0.13	7	100%	0.02
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.04,-0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	-0.07	0.27	0.01	22	39%	0.23	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.18
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.04	14	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darrin Hancock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eldridge Recasner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	19	55%	0.05	4	-0.10	11	82%	0.05
Henry James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	23.5	15.6	22.2	2.7	41.0	1.6	15.0	146.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL -29.2%

ATL +33.5%

ATL +17.5%

ATL +28.5%

ORL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	ATL	NBA	ORL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.6	105.9	110.9	104.4
season	16.4	16.4		102.9	105.3
opponent	16.0	15.5		100.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ORL	15.0	15.0	19.2	14.6	16.8	15.9
ATL	18.5	15.0	17.8	13.1	13.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Wilkins	69	69	0.24	-0.74	0.99	0.27	-1	-4	3	16.9	13.6	3.30	16.9	12.8	4.13
Rony Seikaly	56	58	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.06	4	-9	13	16.8	14.6	2.18	18.4	11.9	6.57
Darrell Armstrong	19	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.28	-13	8	-21	15.5	15.9	-0.40	11.5	16.6	-5.12
Derek Strong	53	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.46	7	-12	19	15.5	16.2	-0.76	14.4	17.0	-2.57
Brian Shaw	55	54	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.31	-1	-4	3	15.4	16.3	-0.91	14.1	17.3	-3.19
Anfernee Hardaway	89	90	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	3	-11	15.5	18.5	-3.01	15.6	16.0	-0.41
Dennis Scott	76	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.89	-0.66	-1	-4	3	15.5	17.0	-1.53	15.9	14.7	1.27
Horace Grant	88	87	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.43	-12	7	-19	15.6	17.2	-1.58	15.1	19.1	-3.99

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darrin Hancock	24	23	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.54	15	-10	25	9.8	17.5	-7.66	14.6	16.2	-1.67
Mookie Blaylock	88	87	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.46	12	-7	19	15.6	16.0	-0.42	15.7	16.5	-0.75
Tyrone Corbin	83	83	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.48	8	-3	11	15.2	17.7	-2.54	15.9	15.7	0.22
Steven Smith	95	96	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	0	5	15.6	16.5	-0.92	15.9	14.0	1.95
Christian Laettner	91	92	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.33	3	2	1	15.4	17.4	-1.96	15.8	16.0	-0.16
Priest Lauderdale	13	14	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.01	-3	8	-11	13.5	15.9	-2.40	16.9	15.7	1.17
Ivano Newbill	55	53	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	10	-15	18.7	11.9	6.79	16.6	15.0	1.58
Eldridge Recasner	19	19	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	-0.12	-7	12	-19	16.2	15.5	0.65	15.8	15.9	-0.01
Henry James	37	38	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.28	-3	8	-11	17.1	14.8	2.24	15.2	16.3	-1.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 92, BOS 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.54,0.55,0.9,0.68,0.83,1	91.2%
IND 100, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.34,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.27,0.32,0.41,0.31,0.16,0.19,0.02,0.01,0,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.77,0.96,1	89.8%
ORL 81, CLE 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.01,0,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.67,0.96,1	89.4%