NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	92		Excitement	8.9 [116]		MVP	Ray Allen (BOS): +43.3%
Boston Celtics	97		Comeback	21.5 [57]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -26.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Goran Dragic	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.29,0.35,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	-0.02	0.23	-0.01	11	50%	0.31	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	10	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chandler Parsons	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.02	8	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.06	0.00	11	42%	0.07	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	11	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	8	75%	-0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.03,0.05,-0.08	-0.15	0.05	-0.03	17	41%	0.11	6	-0.19	10	80%	0.02
Patrick Patterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	9	22%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Courtney Lee	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	6	47%	-0.03	3	-0.16	3	67%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ray Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.43	0.43	0.10	0.34	0.00	15	60%	0.49	1	-0.06	5	80%	-0.02
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.1,0.1,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.08	0.24	-0.00	21	56%	0.38	2	-0.06	12	92%	0.10
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.00	0.10	0.01	7	59%	0.16	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.00	6	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.15	-0.11	0.01	12	32%	-0.15	4	-0.12	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	26.2	15.8	29.3	2.3	34.7	1.0	17.8	152.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +25.5%

BOS +19.9%

HOU -23.4%

BOS +22.8%

BOS +5.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	BOS	NBA	HOU	BOS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.1	15.6	89.3	93.3	102.8
season	15.4	15.5		103.5	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.5		97.1	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	13.9	16.1	13.7	20.0	14.2	15.7
BOS	15.5	15.9	17.0	12.2	14.4	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Patterson	42	43	0.23	-0.73	0.97	0.03	7	-12	19	13.6	17.1	-3.51	15.4	14.8	0.62
Chandler Parsons	56	56	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.09	4	-9	13	14.8	16.6	-1.82	16.2	13.7	2.46
Luis Scola	75	77	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-8	11	16.1	14.6	1.48	15.1	14.9	0.20
Kevin Martin	61	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	2	-9	15.1	16.5	-1.35	16.2	13.7	2.49
Kyle Lowry	88	88	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.37	0	-5	5	15.3	17.8	-2.52	15.0	15.6	-0.65
Courtney Lee	52	54	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-3	1	16.4	14.9	1.52	13.9	16.4	-2.51
Goran Dragic	52	55	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.29	-10	5	-15	17.1	14.2	2.84	14.1	16.2	-2.05
Samuel Dalembert	79	77	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.26	-15	10	-25	16.6	12.7	3.89	14.9	15.5	-0.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	65	65	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.49	17	-12	29	15.2	14.9	0.21	16.0	15.1	0.86
Ray Allen	80	78	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.41	19	-14	33	14.9	15.6	-0.66	16.3	13.6	2.71
Kevin Garnett	74	72	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.37	16	-11	27	14.5	16.6	-2.09	16.2	14.4	1.85
Paul Pierce	80	80	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.48	9	-4	13	14.9	15.6	-0.71	15.8	15.0	0.89
Rajon Rondo	77	77	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.12	-1	6	-7	15.1	15.1	-0.10	15.8	15.3	0.41
Greg Stiemsma	25	24	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	6	-7	15.8	14.8	0.95	16.5	15.4	1.11
Avery Bradley	16	16	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	-0.12	1	4	-3	15.7	15.0	0.72	16.1	15.6	0.49
Keyon Dooling	17	17	-0.19	0.69	-0.87	-0.10	-3	8	-11	15.4	15.0	0.40	14.8	15.8	-0.99
Mickael Pietrus	31	31	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.08	-15	20	-35	15.7	14.8	0.90	13.9	16.4	-2.45
Chris Wilcox	44	45	-0.84	1.34	-2.17	-0.19	-22	27	-49	15.6	14.7	0.85	13.8	17.1	-3.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.48,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.37,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.6,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.79,0.74,0.75,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.54,0.55,0.9,0.68,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.44,0.47,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.46,0.45,0.72,0.91,0.92,1	91.2%
DAL 118, MIA 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.4,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.57,0.69,0.42,1	87.6%
MIN 110, GSW 113	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.35,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.74,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.68,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.1,0.11,0.26,0.54,0.67,0.72,0.89,0.84,1	87.6%