inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Hornets 98 Excitement8.7 [157] MVPMichael Finley (SAS): +35.2%
San Antonio Spurs 105 Comeback40.8 [33] LVPRoger Mason Jr. (SAS): -14.9%


New Orleans Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David West0.270,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.35,0.35,0.27,0.27,0.270.200.080.012465%0.301-0.03475%-0.00
Sean Marks0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.050.002100%0.0900.0000%0.00
Chris Paul0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.020.05-0.04-0.022152%0.101-0.07875%-0.02
Tyson Chandler0.010,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01583%0.083-0.072100%0.01
Antonio Daniels-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
James Posey-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.020.04-0.020.04653%-0.0200.00540%-0.10
Devin Brown-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Melvin Ely-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.03-0.020.0020%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Peja Stojakovic-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.100.02-0.01825%0.022-0.0900%0.00
Rasual Butler-0.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.01-0.060.011146%-0.061-0.02250%-0.01

San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Finley0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.350.350.030.330.011459%0.422-0.071100%0.01
Tim Duncan0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.120.120.030.090.001167%0.264-0.14875%-0.01
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.020.00761%0.091-0.04475%-0.02
Tony Parker0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.010.010.10-0.090.002159%0.162-0.15771%0.01
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ime Udoka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01-0.010.05-0.050.01875%0.142-0.1500%0.00
Matt Bonner0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.01-0.00844%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Bruce Bowen0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
George Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Roger Mason Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.08-0.070.001229%-0.131-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.12.029.216.522.62.038.31.713.5150.0
league avg26.42.430.116.527.12.433.32.041.4140.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +38.9%
SAS +7.2%
SAS +37.5%
NOH -33.1%
NOH -0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOHSASNBANOHSASNBA
this game16.716.415.5102.1109.4106.4
season16.616.4105.9106.6
opponent15.715.6103.2106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOH15.515.617.918.415.316.7
SAS17.217.117.215.014.716.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sean Marks23250.48-0.981.460.287-142119.615.83.8317.216.20.99
Tyson Chandler3837-0.01-0.490.47-0.072-91115.217.7-2.5116.816.20.58
Antonio Daniels1111-0.09-0.410.320.03-4-3-118.816.42.3913.616.8-3.15
Peja Stojakovic7677-0.13-0.370.25-0.01-4-3-116.318.3-2.0916.615.70.86
Melvin Ely1818-0.15-0.350.210.03-6-1-518.316.32.0118.416.02.41
James Posey5353-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.25-3-4117.615.61.9415.417.7-2.39
Rasual Butler6767-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.23-5-2-316.417.4-0.9816.516.20.27
Chris Paul8585-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.32-3-4116.418.8-2.3916.813.63.15
David West8887-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.31-5-2-316.618.0-1.4216.615.11.45
Devin Brown1110-0.530.03-0.55-0.32-70-716.016.8-0.7914.116.7-2.60

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tim Duncan63640.84-0.341.180.2321-143516.017.2-1.2416.617.0-0.41
Michael Finley72720.79-0.291.080.2319-123116.117.4-1.2616.716.7-0.07
Tony Parker78800.75-0.251.000.3115-82316.516.30.1816.219.1-2.84
Ime Udoka68700.440.060.380.53-310-1316.416.5-0.0516.317.8-1.47
Roger Mason Jr.60590.130.37-0.250.0143115.917.2-1.3216.916.40.43
Kurt Thomas30300.080.42-0.340.37-1017-2718.515.53.0215.817.1-1.31
Matt Bonner49500.030.47-0.45-0.218-1917.015.81.1716.716.70.00
George Hill75-0.060.56-0.630.05-411-1515.316.5-1.2317.816.61.16
Bruce Bowen1917-0.260.76-1.020.00-916-2515.416.7-1.2517.916.41.51
Drew Gooden2524-0.290.79-1.070.01-1017-2717.316.11.2119.315.83.51


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 108, MEM 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.22,0.04,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.89,1,190.1%
POR 90, MIL 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.83,189.9%
IND 93, NJN 980.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.17,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.92,189.4%