NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	108		Excitement	9.3 [111]		MVP	Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +25.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	111		Comeback	41.9 [51]		LVP	Josh Smith (DET): -30.7%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.16,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.09	0.16	0.00	7	72%	0.25	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
Rodney Stuckey	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	13	66%	0.21	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.00	10	67%	0.19	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.05
Will Bynum	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04	0.05	0.07	0.08	11	67%	0.11	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Kyle Singler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	13	44%	-0.00	2	-0.10	1	0%	-0.03
Chauncey Billups	-0.24	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.09	-0.16	-0.01	7	28%	-0.18	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	-0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31	-0.13	-0.14	0.03	23	39%	-0.10	5	-0.20	3	67%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15	0.15	-0.01	0.17	0.01	12	62%	0.25	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	0.00	8	60%	0.20	2	-0.05	9	78%	-0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	12	71%	0.32	5	-0.20	7	100%	0.06
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.09	0.01	6	57%	0.11	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	64%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Tony Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.01	0.01	10	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.08	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	6	43%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Kosta Koufos	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.3	2.5	28.6	14.8	28.3	2.5	36.8	1.8	24.9	165.5
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	1.9	17.6	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +44.7%

MEM +7.8%

DET -1.6%

MEM +6.7%

DET -7.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	MEM	NBA	DET	MEM	NBA
this game	16.6	14.3	15.1	104.9	107.8	105.2
season	15.0	16.4		104.7	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.0		103.4	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	15.7	17.9	17.2	16.8	14.1	16.6
MEM	14.3	14.8	14.2	13.8	14.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	36	37	0.42	-0.92	1.34	0.19	8	-11	19	15.3	17.2	-1.91	14.4	14.3	0.12
Kyle Singler	38	39	0.22	-0.72	0.93	0.31	-3	0	-3	16.0	16.9	-0.91	14.3	14.3	0.01
Rodney Stuckey	46	44	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.34	9	-12	21	15.4	17.5	-2.10	14.3	14.3	-0.05
Greg Monroe	80	80	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.30	5	-8	13	16.5	16.7	-0.10	14.2	14.8	-0.62
Jonas Jerebko	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	4	-11	15.9	16.7	-0.74	14.7	14.2	0.45
Will Bynum	62	65	-0.51	0.00	-0.51	-0.21	-10	7	-17	17.4	15.4	2.01	14.6	13.9	0.69
Josh Smith	86	85	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.66	5	-8	13	16.7	16.1	0.55	14.2	14.7	-0.44
Andre Drummond	93	92	-0.81	0.31	-1.11	-0.48	-11	8	-19	16.7	15.8	0.86	14.4	13.2	1.25
Chauncey Billups	61	60	-0.90	0.40	-1.31	-0.58	-11	8	-19	17.6	15.0	2.62	14.0	14.7	-0.72

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Allen	68	67	0.92	-0.42	1.35	0.57	12	-9	21	13.9	15.1	-1.23	18.0	14.0	4.00
Marc Gasol	73	74	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.57	1	2	-1	14.2	14.5	-0.33	16.2	17.6	-1.41
Zach Randolph	71	72	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	6	-9	14.1	14.7	-0.52	16.2	17.4	-1.21
Jerryd Bayless	38	36	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.29	4	-1	5	13.0	15.1	-2.06	16.1	16.8	-0.67
Mike Miller	60	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	-3	9	14.4	14.1	0.36	16.3	17.1	-0.80
Tayshaun Prince	41	39	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	2	-1	14.0	14.5	-0.46	16.6	16.5	0.07
Mike Conley	67	67	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.14	0	3	-3	14.8	13.4	1.40	16.8	16.1	0.67
Ed Davis	32	31	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.14	6	-3	9	14.7	14.1	0.52	17.4	16.2	1.21
Kosta Koufos	30	29	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	-0.15	2	1	1	14.5	14.2	0.33	17.6	16.2	1.41
Quincy Pondexter	35	35	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	-0.10	-14	17	-31	15.7	13.6	2.05	14.4	17.7	-3.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.22,0.04,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.89,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 98, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.84,0.73,1	90.6%
LAC 109, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	90.5%
NOH 98, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.98,1	90.1%