inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 98 Excitement10.6 [33] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +50.9%
Boston Celtics 103 Comeback10.7 [122] LVPTracy McGrady (ORL): -40.2%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Darrell Armstrong0.340,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.340.040.29-0.00976%0.453-0.11367%-0.04
Pat Garrity0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.050.04-0.03675%0.151-0.0300%0.00
Michael Doleac0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01956%0.102-0.0800%0.00
Mike Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01853%0.0000.0010%-0.02
Troy Hudson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.00125%-0.0200.00250%-0.01
Monty Williams-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.01-0.00337%-0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Andrew DeClercq-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.04-0.010.00280%0.033-0.0810%-0.02
Bo Outlaw-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.01267%-0.012-0.062100%0.02
John Amaechi-0.330,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.11,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.27,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.15-0.19-0.011740%-0.074-0.26667%-0.01
Tracy McGrady-0.400,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.26,-0.19,-0.27,-0.37,-0.4-0.11-0.30-0.002645%-0.254-0.15667%-0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.34,0.34,0.5,0.6,0.51,0.510.510.090.41-0.002267%0.693-0.191771%-0.04
Tony Battie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.040.010.00378%0.0500.003100%0.02
Bryant Stith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.05-0.01945%0.0400.004100%0.09
Walter McCarty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.010.000100%0.0200.002100%0.02
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.060.01-0.01467%0.054-0.09450%-0.02
Antoine Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.14-0.14-0.05-0.11-0.012248%-0.022-0.12862%-0.03
Chris Herren0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.07-0.09-0.00629%-0.051-0.102100%0.01
Doug Overton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.08-0.001220%-0.1900.001100%0.01
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.11-0.100.00217%-0.083-0.12250%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.20.231.815.826.21.735.12.417.2157.5
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +0.7%
BOS +21.5%
BOS +20.6%
BOS +10.3%
ORL -3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLBOSNBAORLBOSNBA
this game14.315.815.593.397.2100.9
season14.615.1101.699.7
opponent15.415.8101.8100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL12.414.214.716.613.814.3
BOS16.414.116.616.116.215.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Miller27290.42-0.921.340.1310-152512.015.2-3.1912.617.0-4.47
Michael Doleac40420.17-0.670.840.112-7916.013.32.6517.314.82.54
Troy Hudson1112-0.17-0.330.170.01-61-713.614.4-0.7812.216.3-4.01
Monty Williams2224-0.18-0.320.130.05-83-1116.013.92.0516.215.70.47
Andrew DeClercq1212-0.30-0.20-0.090.06-127-1917.613.93.6713.816.1-2.22
Bo Outlaw9693-0.46-0.04-0.43-0.29-61-714.413.21.2216.411.45.03
Darrell Armstrong8788-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.44-1-4314.413.80.6016.114.21.97
John Amaechi9796-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.35-4-1-314.216.0-1.8015.914.71.22
Tracy McGrady9192-0.510.01-0.52-0.541-6713.916.9-2.9915.617.4-1.87
Pat Garrity4242-0.540.04-0.58-0.51-1-4313.414.9-1.5116.115.60.49

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Vitaly Potapenko53550.92-0.421.330.659-41316.315.31.0014.014.7-0.74
Paul Pierce96950.73-0.230.960.2915-102515.717.0-1.3214.711.13.57
Bryant Stith94920.68-0.180.860.5350515.419.3-3.9814.215.5-1.29
Chris Herren59570.68-0.180.850.3810-51515.616.1-0.5513.815.0-1.23
Antoine Walker85850.57-0.070.630.4541316.313.92.3714.414.20.16
Tony Battie50490.010.49-0.480.0105-516.115.50.6014.913.81.10
Walter McCarty2120-0.070.57-0.63-0.1014-313.916.3-2.3714.214.4-0.16
Doug Overton4748-0.180.68-0.85-0.03-510-1516.115.60.5515.013.81.23
Eric Williams2524-0.841.34-2.17-0.43-1419-3316.315.70.6313.214.7-1.46


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.59,0.54,0.66,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.64,0.75,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.31,0.35,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.24,0.16,0.46,0.55,0.71,0.84,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 108, MEM 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.22,0.04,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.89,1,190.6%
MIN 95, SAC 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.42,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.72,189.7%
LAC 109, WAS 1190.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.91,0.99,189.4%