NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	109		Excitement	9.8 [62]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (WAS): +69.7%
Washington Wizards	119		Comeback	69.4 [23]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAC): -27.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.54	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.54,0.54	0.27	0.31	0.03	16	83%	0.57	1	-0.03	9	67%	0.03
Josh Powell	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	15	44%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Al Thornton	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	4	73%	0.07	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.00
Brevin Knight	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Cuttino Mobley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	9	59%	0.12	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.04
Nick Fazekas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	52%	0.06	1	-0.07	3	33%	-0.03
Tim Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	15	47%	0.06	3	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01
Quinton Ross	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.17	-0.11	-0.00	9	11%	-0.16	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0.41,0.41,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7	0.70	0.23	0.48	0.02	22	62%	0.70	0	0.00	14	79%	0.18
Roger Mason Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.05	0.03	6	70%	0.17	2	-0.10	8	62%	-0.04
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	7	71%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Oleksiy Pecherov	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dominic McGuire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	0.01	14	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	10	100%	0.07
Darius Songaila	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	15	47%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	7	33%	-0.07	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	26.4	15.7	30.2	2.6	44.1	1.5	13.2	160.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -12.7%

WAS +38.4%

LAC -1.4%

WAS +29.1%

LAC -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	WAS	NBA	LAC	WAS	NBA
this game	15.7	15.3	15.4	105.8	116.7	105.7
season	15.6	16.1		99.5	106.8
opponent	15.5	15.1		107.4	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	15.3	15.2	17.1	16.3	13.2	15.7
WAS	16.0	16.1	15.6	13.0	16.8	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	69	68	0.36	-0.86	1.22	0.13	8	-18	26	16.2	14.7	1.48	14.2	17.6	-3.44
Nick Fazekas	48	48	0.20	-0.70	0.90	0.49	-10	0	-10	16.1	15.3	0.84	13.7	16.8	-3.13
Corey Maggette	69	66	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.07	-5	-5	0	15.1	16.8	-1.68	16.3	13.6	2.73
Al Thornton	24	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-5	0	15.3	15.8	-0.53	14.4	15.6	-1.28
Smush Parker	39	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	-6	2	15.8	15.7	0.11	13.7	16.4	-2.66
Josh Powell	61	60	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.28	-3	-7	4	15.2	16.5	-1.27	16.0	14.3	1.72
Brevin Knight	78	74	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.30	-4	-6	2	15.3	16.8	-1.51	15.8	14.0	1.82
Tim Thomas	72	71	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.39	-1	-9	8	16.0	14.9	1.14	15.9	14.0	1.95
Quinton Ross	55	57	-1.30	0.80	-2.10	-0.54	-26	16	-42	16.2	15.2	1.00	16.4	14.0	2.45

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Songaila	67	68	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.29	22	-12	34	16.0	14.1	1.84	15.5	16.2	-0.72
Antawn Jamison	86	87	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.26	12	-2	14	15.5	14.4	1.05	15.9	14.4	1.57
DeShawn Stevenson	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	3	4	16.2	13.6	2.60	15.4	16.3	-0.98
Antonio Daniels	73	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	-0.06	13	-3	16	16.1	13.3	2.81	16.5	13.7	2.77
Nick Young	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.19	1	9	-8	13.8	16.1	-2.32	14.5	16.3	-1.84
Caron Butler	75	73	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	1	8	15.8	13.9	1.90	16.2	14.4	1.88
Roger Mason Jr.	45	48	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.23	-3	13	-16	13.7	16.6	-2.85	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Oleksiy Pecherov	6	6	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	10	-10	14.7	15.4	-0.70	16.5	15.6	0.85
Dominic McGuire	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.03	-1	11	-12	13.9	15.6	-1.72	15.8	15.7	0.12
Andray Blatche	39	41	-0.32	0.82	-1.15	-0.03	-10	20	-30	13.8	16.3	-2.47	14.8	16.3	-1.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.54,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.98,1	91.3%
DET 108, MEM 111	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.38,0.53,0.53,0.35,0.22,0.15,0.11,0.22,0.04,0.46,0.69,0.72,0.89,1,1	90.5%
DET 106, IND 110	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.4,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.31,0.24,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.33,0.26,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.76,0.92,1	89.6%