NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	105		Excitement	10.1 [71]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (CLE): +43.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	112		Comeback	11.5 [156]		LVP	Cuttino Mobley (LAC): -16.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.05	0.35	-0.01	21	54%	0.49	2	-0.09	4	100%	0.10
Sam Cassell	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13	0.04	0.11	0.02	14	65%	0.34	5	-0.21	12	92%	0.09
Elton Brand	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	-0.01	-0.01	25	59%	0.15	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.02
James Singleton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	3	67%	0.11	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	5	31%	-0.03	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	15	23%	-0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.17,0.31,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.05	0.38	-0.00	11	52%	0.43	0	0.00	3	67%	0.01
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.16	0.23	0.01	14	74%	0.45	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.17
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.04	0.20	0.00	15	52%	0.26	1	-0.03	14	86%	0.15
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Jackson	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	9	45%	-0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.07,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.22,-0.22,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	20	49%	0.07	6	-0.21	17	82%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.0	2.6	30.3	15.7	28.0	2.5	39.4	2.5	15.3	163.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC -7.0%

CLE +31.3%

CLE +5.0%

CLE +11.3%

CLE +9.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	14.6	15.6	15.6	101.0	104.7	104.4
season	15.2	16.2		103.9	105.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		103.9	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	16.0	13.5	13.1	15.7	14.9	14.6
CLE	15.3	14.8	16.2	16.3	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Kaman	71	73	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.21	-1	-6	5	14.4	14.9	-0.47	15.7	15.4	0.28
Howard Eisley	19	19	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.06	-2	-5	3	16.8	14.1	2.73	16.7	15.3	1.42
Chris Wilcox	16	17	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-6	5	11.7	15.1	-3.32	17.1	15.3	1.84
Corey Maggette	64	67	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.20	1	-8	9	14.9	14.0	0.83	16.7	13.7	2.91
Elton Brand	92	94	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.25	1	-8	9	14.7	13.8	0.82	15.6	15.2	0.47
Sam Cassell	84	87	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-4	1	14.0	17.0	-3.02	15.4	16.2	-0.77
Cuttino Mobley	88	90	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-4	1	14.9	12.7	2.21	15.1	18.2	-3.10
James Singleton	29	30	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.14	-9	2	-11	15.9	14.1	1.81	15.6	15.6	0.04
Quinton Ross	48	47	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	4	-15	13.8	15.2	-1.46	14.0	16.8	-2.72

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Damon Jones	62	59	1.14	-0.64	1.78	0.46	23	-16	39	15.7	15.4	0.29	14.6	14.5	0.16
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	79	79	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-6	19	15.8	14.8	1.06	15.1	13.0	2.10
LeBron James	101	98	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.33	6	1	5	15.5	17.5	-2.04	14.8	10.7	4.13
Donyell Marshall	65	61	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-1	9	15.6	15.6	-0.00	15.2	13.7	1.47
Larry Hughes	83	82	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.32	-1	8	-9	15.8	14.9	0.90	14.5	15.0	-0.50
Sasha Pavlovic	9	10	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	5	-3	14.4	15.7	-1.23	17.1	14.3	2.81
Luke Jackson	7	5	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	7	-7	15.4	15.6	-0.15	13.6	14.6	-1.01
Drew Gooden	36	36	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.06	-5	12	-17	15.6	15.5	0.06	13.6	15.1	-1.45
Alan Henderson	34	32	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.07	-2	9	-11	14.9	15.9	-1.01	13.2	15.2	-1.93
Eric Snow	59	58	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.24	-9	16	-25	15.5	15.6	-0.06	13.9	15.4	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.54,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 109, WAS 119	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.31,0.33,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.14,0.15,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.91,0.99,1	91.3%
LAL 109, SAC 118	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.36,0.44,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.24,0.23,0.36,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.33,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.79,0.94,0.99,1	90.6%
HOU 112, NJN 117	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.61,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.47,0.5,0.38,0.63,0.57,0.83,1	89.4%