NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	112		Excitement	11.1 [22]		MVP	David Benoit (NJN): +28.8%
New Jersey Nets	117		Comeback	3.8 [368]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -38.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Willis	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.11	0.13	0.03	12	74%	0.24	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	47%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	0.02
Rodrick Rhodes	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.01	10	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Matt Bullard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Emanual Davis	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Matt Maloney	-0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.06	0.03	13	62%	0.02	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Charles Barkley	-0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	10	52%	0.00	1	-0.09	3	67%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clyde Drexler	-0.32	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.05,-0.25,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.32	-0.07	-0.27	-0.01	26	50%	0.11	5	-0.43	4	75%	-0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Benoit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.21,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.13	0.16	-0.00	8	87%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	9	52%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	33%	-0.03
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	11	73%	-0.01
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Michael Cage	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.18,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	17	53%	0.23	3	-0.28	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.07,-0.13,-0.12	-0.12	0.05	-0.15	0.02	16	66%	0.04	3	-0.16	6	50%	-0.08
Sam Cassell	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.25	-0.25	-0.05	-0.19	0.00	16	46%	-0.20	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.32,-0.32,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.39	-0.14	-0.26	-0.01	13	33%	-0.29	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.7	2.5	24.5	14.8	25.2	1.8	33.0	1.5	16.6	141.4
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -13.6%

NJN +17.9%

NJN +53.2%

NJN +5.9%

HOU -13.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	15.3	16.5	15.6	112.0	117.0	102.5
season	15.7	15.6		104.5	104.9
opponent	15.2	15.2		103.9	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	15.7	15.8	13.1	16.2	16.6	15.3
NJN	15.0	15.5	17.5	19.9	13.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rodrick Rhodes	57	59	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.16	7	-12	19	15.0	15.7	-0.70	17.4	15.2	2.25
Emanual Davis	1	0	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-5	5	9.0	15.4	-6.36	0.0	16.5	-16.50
Matt Maloney	79	79	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.38	10	-15	25	14.8	17.1	-2.33	16.4	16.9	-0.45
Kevin Willis	77	78	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.38	10	-15	25	14.5	17.9	-3.39	16.4	16.7	-0.29
Clyde Drexler	81	81	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.39	7	-12	19	14.9	17.2	-2.36	16.7	15.7	0.94
Matt Bullard	15	15	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	5	-15	16.9	15.0	1.92	15.4	16.7	-1.29
Othella Harrington	31	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.07	-10	5	-15	16.5	14.7	1.81	16.0	16.7	-0.67
Brent Price	11	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	0.11	-12	7	-19	16.5	15.2	1.30	14.7	16.7	-1.99
Mario Elie	41	38	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.07	-11	6	-17	16.8	14.3	2.51	16.1	16.7	-0.64
Charles Barkley	77	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-5	5	15.3	15.4	-0.18	17.0	15.0	2.00
Eddie Johnson	30	32	-0.78	0.28	-1.05	-0.31	-16	11	-27	16.1	14.9	1.19	15.7	16.9	-1.24

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sherman Douglas	46	46	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-15	35	17.0	16.1	0.89	15.3	15.3	-0.03
Lucious Harris	28	29	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.17	23	-18	41	15.4	16.9	-1.54	16.2	14.9	1.28
Keith Van Horn	88	87	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.39	3	2	1	16.0	20.0	-3.98	15.2	16.2	-1.07
Jayson Williams	91	91	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	7	-9	16.2	19.3	-3.11	15.0	18.4	-3.46
David Benoit	25	27	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.05	11	-6	17	18.5	15.8	2.69	16.4	14.9	1.57
Kendall Gill	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.36	-4	9	-13	16.2	17.4	-1.19	15.0	16.2	-1.22
Michael Cage	9	9	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.01	7	-2	9	19.3	16.2	3.11	18.4	15.0	3.46
Sam Cassell	68	68	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.55	-12	17	-29	16.7	16.0	0.74	15.5	14.9	0.53
Kerry Kittles	73	71	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.39	-21	26	-47	16.6	16.2	0.43	14.9	16.4	-1.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.61,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.47,0.5,0.38,0.63,0.57,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, CLE 112	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.58,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.28,0.23,0.15,0.54,0.53,0.85,0.84,0.98,1	89.4%
MIN 107, DEN 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.84,0.8,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.15,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,1	88.7%
ORL 96, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.49,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.55,0.98,1	88.6%