inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Minnesota Timberwolves 107 Excitement11.4 [24] MVPKeon Clark (DEN): +36.8%
Denver Nuggets 109 Comeback7.4 [112] LVPNick Van Exel (DEN): -48.7%


Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wally Szczerbiak0.330,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.070.23-0.041463%0.3210.0220%-0.05
LaPhonso Ellis0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.05-0.01540%0.0500.0000%0.00
Dean Garrett0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Anthony Peeler-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.01-0.01743%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Chauncey Billups-0.040,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.04-0.070.02964%0.001-0.05475%-0.03
Rasho Nesterovic-0.060,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.06-0.011059%0.093-0.15250%-0.01
Sam Mitchell-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.06-0.020.00520%-0.061-0.0300%0.00
Terrell Brandon-0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.1,-0.11-0.03-0.09-0.002050%-0.013-0.102100%0.02
Kevin Garnett-0.410,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.32,-0.32,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.56,-0.56,-0.41-0.11-0.300.002246%-0.183-0.231267%0.07

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keon Clark0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.370.37-0.070.42-0.011036%0.401-0.0320%-0.05
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.280.280.060.21-0.011261%0.2800.00771%-0.08
George McCloud0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.32,0.35,0.29,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.020.18-0.001257%0.231-0.024100%0.04
Robert Pack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.040.03-0.00667%0.0800.00367%-0.00
Tariq Abdul-Wahad0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00367%0.0300.0000%0.00
Terry Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.090.02-0.041242%0.023-0.05250%-0.01
James Posey0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01550%0.022-0.062100%0.02
Voshon Lenard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.02-0.090.011361%0.022-0.10771%-0.07
Nick Van Exel0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.49-0.49-0.08-0.400.021838%-0.471-0.023100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game23.02.826.214.825.41.730.01.815.1140.9
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +46.5%
MIN -17.2%
MIN -16.8%
DEN +28.7%
DEN +8.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMINDENNBAMINDENNBA
this game16.516.115.5110.3111.2100.9
season15.015.2102.9101.4
opponent15.215.9104.1101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIN15.216.715.519.715.016.5
DEN14.814.615.219.220.016.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chauncey Billups7878-0.15-0.350.20-0.5012-142616.118.2-2.1516.415.11.30
Dean Garrett1416-0.15-0.350.190.08-86-1419.416.03.3612.616.8-4.19
Sam Mitchell3232-0.18-0.320.130.14-119-2018.115.72.3516.515.90.59
Anthony Peeler2324-0.22-0.280.060.16-1311-2417.316.21.0214.216.8-2.60
LaPhonso Ellis3637-0.26-0.24-0.020.06-119-2016.816.30.5514.617.0-2.43
Rasho Nesterovic6767-0.27-0.23-0.03-0.5610-122216.117.2-1.0817.114.03.12
Kevin Garnett7776-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.445-71216.118.0-1.9116.714.02.69
Wally Szczerbiak8282-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.646-81415.720.5-4.7915.718.1-2.38
Terrell Brandon7678-0.500.00-0.51-0.500-2216.815.31.5316.713.82.87

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Keon Clark72680.91-0.411.320.4416-143016.415.50.9116.716.00.69
Voshon Lenard66650.84-0.341.180.3118-163416.515.31.1717.015.51.47
George McCloud60590.420.080.340.198-61415.916.5-0.5617.315.31.96
Raef LaFrentz74740.370.130.230.51-57-1216.913.73.2716.217.3-1.07
Nick Van Exel66680.330.170.160.53-79-1617.213.83.4016.017.6-1.52
Robert Pack39360.140.36-0.22-0.129-71614.017.5-3.5017.316.01.31
James Posey38380.080.42-0.340.25-68-1416.515.90.5615.317.3-1.96
Terry Davis870.010.49-0.48-0.0211011.916.5-4.6414.416.6-2.22
Antonio McDyess4245-0.280.78-1.07-0.05-810-1815.116.9-1.7716.916.10.80
Tariq Abdul-Wahad2525-0.310.81-1.120.16-1618-3415.516.4-0.8815.316.9-1.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.63,0.7,0.84,0.8,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.48,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.15,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.73,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 920.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.43,0.34,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,188.8%
HOU 112, NJN 1170.5,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.66,0.73,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.46,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.43,0.33,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.61,0.45,0.36,0.33,0.47,0.5,0.38,0.63,0.57,0.83,188.7%
POR 111, LAL 1160.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.58,188.6%