NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	111		Excitement	10.3 [62]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +153.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	116		Comeback	35.5 [73]		LVP	Jarrett Jack (POR): -14.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.31	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.11	0.20	0.00	11	70%	0.31	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Ime Udoka	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.29,0.29	0.16	0.13	0.00	12	79%	0.29	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.22	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,-0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	20	65%	0.31	3	-0.09	8	100%	0.10
Martell Webster	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17	0.09	0.08	-0.00	5	90%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.02	0.12	-0.00	9	50%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Sergio Rodriguez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dan Dickau	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Fred Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.22,-0.22,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11	-0.14	0.01	-0.02	21	32%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Jarrett Jack	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	6	42%	0.01	6	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.99,1.13,1.2,1.2,1.2,1.54	1.54	0.43	1.05	-0.05	39	72%	1.61	2	-0.07	12	92%	0.16
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.01	0.07	-0.05	14	47%	0.13	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.14
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.00	6	70%	0.13	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.04
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.04	4	50%	-0.06
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	12	33%	0.02	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.6	2.7	30.6	16.3	24.5	2.4	39.3	1.6	17.1	158.2
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	1.9	17.4	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +68.9%

LAL +5.2%

LAL +2.5%

POR -13.6%

POR -13.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	LAL	NBA	POR	LAL	NBA
this game	17.5	13.8	15.4	109.9	113.7	104.5
season	16.7	15.3		103.1	106.3
opponent	14.9	15.4		107.3	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	19.6	17.6	16.8	17.4	15.1	17.5
LAL	14.7	11.9	15.3	13.9	13.4	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	44	43	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.23	-3	-2	-1	18.3	16.9	1.38	12.8	14.6	-1.80
Travis Outlaw	30	30	0.13	-0.63	0.75	0.16	-1	-4	3	17.8	17.4	0.36	11.9	14.6	-2.74
Martell Webster	32	34	0.10	-0.60	0.70	0.10	0	-5	5	17.0	17.8	-0.80	11.8	14.9	-3.06
Dan Dickau	12	12	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.07	0	-5	5	16.4	17.7	-1.25	13.2	13.9	-0.66
Sergio Rodriguez	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	0	-5	21.2	17.0	4.24	11.2	14.2	-2.93
Fred Jones	10	12	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-1	-3	22.1	17.0	5.09	11.5	14.1	-2.64
Brandon Roy	82	84	-0.34	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-8	11	17.1	19.2	-2.09	14.7	9.9	4.72
Ime Udoka	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.47	0	-5	5	17.6	17.2	0.40	14.8	11.0	3.80
Zach Randolph	69	71	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.54	-2	-3	1	17.6	17.4	0.16	14.4	12.5	1.94
LaMarcus Aldridge	61	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.53	-5	0	-5	17.0	18.3	-1.30	14.4	13.0	1.37
Jarrett Jack	79	75	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.47	-8	3	-11	16.9	19.8	-2.89	14.1	13.2	0.88

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Maurice Evans	76	75	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.29	13	-8	21	13.6	14.7	-1.10	16.8	19.5	-2.73
Kwame Brown	78	77	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.34	11	-6	17	14.2	12.6	1.63	17.5	17.7	-0.25
Lamar Odom	87	86	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.44	3	2	1	14.0	12.9	1.06	17.3	18.6	-1.27
Kobe Bryant	95	94	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.34	4	1	3	14.1	10.6	3.50	17.6	15.7	1.93
Smush Parker	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	5	-5	14.4	11.9	2.56	17.4	17.9	-0.53
Jordan Farmar	24	24	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.05	5	0	5	11.9	14.4	-2.56	17.9	17.4	0.53
Ronny Turiaf	21	21	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.07	1	4	-3	12.7	14.1	-1.41	19.3	17.0	2.30
Sasha Vujacic	27	27	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.07	-6	11	-17	14.1	13.7	0.43	18.2	17.3	0.91
Andrew Bynum	24	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	11	-17	12.6	14.2	-1.63	17.7	17.5	0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.36,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.37,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.31,0.22,0.09,0.08,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 90, NJN 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.43,0.32,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.43,0.34,0.08,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.68,0.73,1	91.4%
UTA 82, CHH 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.58,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.22,0.19,0.02,0.09,0.16,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.9,0.72,1	90.1%
DAL 118, MIA 119	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.4,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.27,0.46,0.39,0.57,0.69,0.42,1	89.7%