NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	9.2 [92]		MVP	Andrew Lang (MIL): +39.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	34.1 [24]		LVP	Arvydas Sabonis (POR): -44.7%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.06	0.01	16	61%	0.13	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.11
Kenny Anderson	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.02	0.08	0.00	23	61%	0.22	5	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Gary Trent	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelvin Cato	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Vincent Askew	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	5	42%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	-0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.31,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.24	-0.18	-0.05	17	30%	-0.16	5	-0.20	6	50%	-0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.45	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.35,-0.35,-0.45	-0.20	-0.26	-0.01	11	25%	-0.13	5	-0.32	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.39	0.39	0.03	0.36	0.00	2	100%	0.41	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.03,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.07	0.01	13	64%	0.17	4	-0.12	7	43%	-0.05
Ervin Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.05,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.05	-0.01	20	53%	0.04	2	-0.06	3	67%	-0.03
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.28,-0.28,-0.22,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.16	-0.17	-0.05	17	39%	-0.07	5	-0.21	4	75%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.35,-0.35,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.11	-0.17	0.00	21	43%	-0.13	4	-0.15	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.4	1.5	34.4	15.7	25.1	1.8	35.0	1.5	20.4	157.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	1.6	18.4	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +42.6%

MIL +3.0%

POR -12.2%

MIL +19.0%

POR -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIL	NBA	POR	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	14.8	15.6	86.5	93.1	102.5
season	15.9	16.0		101.9	101.1
opponent	15.1	15.4		102.8	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	18.6	15.3	14.6	15.6	17.3	16.1
MIL	12.7	15.3	14.2	16.4	16.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent	35	32	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-10	15	15.1	16.6	-1.48	15.7	14.3	1.39
Kenny Anderson	86	85	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-5	5	16.3	15.2	1.12	14.6	15.4	-0.71
Alvin Williams	40	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-11	17	15.1	16.7	-1.58	15.8	14.2	1.65
Stacey Augmon	15	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	3	-11	18.4	15.7	2.69	11.7	15.2	-3.54
Kelvin Cato	47	47	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-7	9	15.5	16.6	-1.03	15.4	14.2	1.19
Arvydas Sabonis	78	77	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	0	-5	16.6	14.6	2.03	14.8	14.6	0.27
Vincent Askew	51	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	-4	3	15.5	16.6	-1.11	14.8	14.7	0.11
Rasheed Wallace	86	86	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	3	-11	16.3	15.2	1.06	14.5	16.4	-1.91
Isaiah Rider	82	83	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.32	-16	11	-27	16.4	15.1	1.27	14.4	16.3	-1.84

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Armen Gilliam	91	92	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.45	9	-4	13	14.5	16.6	-2.10	16.0	16.7	-0.64
Terrell Brandon	74	77	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.22	14	-9	23	15.2	13.6	1.55	16.9	13.7	3.18
Ray Allen	88	90	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.36	8	-3	11	14.4	16.9	-2.51	16.1	16.1	0.03
Glenn Robinson	94	95	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.34	5	0	5	14.8	14.5	0.29	15.9	17.7	-1.72
Andrew Lang	66	67	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.30	-2	7	-9	15.4	13.6	1.78	16.4	15.6	0.78
Ervin Johnson	47	49	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.05	3	2	1	14.3	15.1	-0.83	15.9	16.3	-0.45
Michael Curry	23	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	10	-15	15.4	14.6	0.81	16.7	15.9	0.77
Elliot Perry	27	27	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.05	-7	12	-19	14.1	15.0	-0.89	13.7	16.9	-3.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1	90.4%
NOH 98, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.98,1	89.9%
OKC 89, MEM 90	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.11,0.02,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.67,0.84,1	88.7%