NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	93		Excitement	9.1 [137]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +43.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	14.3 [129]		LVP	Andrei Kirilenko (UTA): -19.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Harpring	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	8	65%	0.16	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	0.08	0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	14	56%	0.15	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	75%	0.10	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.04
Gordan Giricek	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	18	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Devin Brown	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	4	31%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.05
Kris Humphries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Deron Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Keith McLeod	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.10	-0.00	14	45%	0.03	3	-0.17	3	67%	-0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	19	39%	-0.12	3	-0.07	6	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.03,0.21,0.35,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.12	0.30	-0.01	24	54%	0.45	1	-0.02	17	88%	0.09
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.01	19	58%	0.14	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Yaroslav Korolev	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Daniel Ewing	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	5	20%	-0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.07	0.04	10	59%	-0.01	5	-0.12	9	89%	-0.01
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	9	58%	0.05	6	-0.21	8	87%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	29.3	15.5	28.4	2.4	31.9	2.0	13.9	151.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +1.5%

LAC +34.8%

LAC +1.4%

LAC +15.1%

UTA -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAC	NBA	UTA	LAC	NBA
this game	16.3	15.0	15.6	90.3	102.0	104.4
season	17.0	15.2		101.7	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.0		102.1	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	15.8	15.0	17.7	17.6	15.2	16.3
LAC	13.0	15.0	15.0	18.4	13.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	47	48	0.38	-0.88	1.26	0.00	13	-22	35	16.1	16.4	-0.26	16.3	13.9	2.41
Greg Ostertag	46	46	0.26	-0.76	1.01	0.11	5	-14	19	15.9	16.6	-0.68	16.6	13.7	2.90
Devin Brown	10	11	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-9	9	14.2	16.5	-2.32	13.4	15.2	-1.86
Keith McLeod	26	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.02	-3	-6	3	17.7	15.8	1.82	15.0	15.0	-0.08
Kris Humphries	9	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.00	-6	-3	-3	9.2	17.0	-7.75	14.7	15.0	-0.38
Deron Williams	36	34	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.3	16.8	-1.47	13.8	15.7	-1.86
Mehmet Okur	74	75	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-3	-6	3	17.4	13.4	4.01	15.1	14.8	0.24
Milt Palacio	62	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-6	3	15.8	17.0	-1.22	15.7	14.0	1.65
Gordan Giricek	57	54	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	-2	-5	16.7	15.8	0.96	14.9	15.2	-0.33
Jarron Collins	57	53	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.22	-14	5	-19	16.6	15.9	0.68	13.9	16.2	-2.29
Andrei Kirilenko	91	87	-0.94	0.44	-1.38	-0.32	-21	12	-33	16.4	15.2	1.18	14.5	18.7	-4.22

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quinton Ross	64	66	0.83	-0.33	1.15	0.53	10	-1	11	15.0	15.1	-0.14	15.8	17.2	-1.36
Sam Cassell	81	84	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-5	19	14.8	16.1	-1.34	16.5	15.3	1.20
Elton Brand	88	92	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.23	15	-6	21	14.4	19.6	-5.19	16.4	15.3	1.14
Cuttino Mobley	89	94	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.20	13	-4	17	15.0	14.9	0.12	16.9	9.4	7.50
Chris Kaman	73	77	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.01	6	3	3	15.2	14.6	0.64	17.2	13.7	3.53
James Singleton	8	8	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	7	-5	17.2	14.8	2.42	14.2	16.5	-2.21
Yaroslav Korolev	8	7	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.15	-2	11	-13	12.6	15.2	-2.60	10.9	16.7	-5.83
Chris Wilcox	32	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.10	-7	16	-23	16.5	14.3	2.18	13.9	17.3	-3.37
Daniel Ewing	13	13	-0.21	0.71	-0.91	-0.12	-3	12	-15	17.1	14.7	2.36	17.3	16.1	1.16
Shaun Livingston	44	44	-0.37	0.87	-1.23	-0.28	-3	12	-15	14.8	15.2	-0.32	16.0	16.5	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.17,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.92,1	90.8%
POR 90, MIL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.75,0.54,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.63,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.25,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.46,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.83,1	90.4%
PHX 96, NYK 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.7,0.61,0.64,0.74,0.82,0.84,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.78,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.55,0.27,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.92,1	89.1%