NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	93		Excitement	9.7 [65]		MVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): +30.7%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	48.0 [39]		LVP	Jason Kidd (NJN): -48.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Rogers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	20	57%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.03
Jonathan Bender	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Austin Croshere	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.06	-0.08	0.02	13	70%	0.10	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Jeff Foster	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	16	41%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	17	45%	-0.00	4	-0.13	6	67%	-0.02
Travis Best	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.27	-0.11	-0.19	-0.03	11	27%	-0.10	2	-0.18	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.31,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.12	0.21	0.02	15	73%	0.41	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	16	60%	0.16	1	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	7	68%	0.09	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Derrick Dial	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	10	32%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	6	17%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.09	-0.00	4	25%	-0.09	3	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.14,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.25,-0.33,-0.38	-0.38	-0.13	-0.25	-0.00	18	38%	-0.21	4	-0.17	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.26,-0.26,-0.32,-0.36,-0.36,-0.33,-0.33,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.45,-0.48	-0.48	-0.24	-0.25	-0.01	15	27%	-0.26	7	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	25.7	14.7	27.0	1.6	34.9	0.8	17.0	144.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -13.4%

IND -1.1%

NJN +47.5%

NJN +21.6%

IND -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NJN	NBA	IND	NJN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.8	15.6	86.1	89.9	102.3
season	15.3	14.7		101.6	101.4
opponent	16.0	15.4		98.0	100.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
IND	13.3	16.0	13.0	15.9	15.2	14.5
NJN	13.3	17.5	13.7	15.4	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Foster	41	37	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.11	11	-16	27	12.8	15.5	-2.67	16.2	14.1	2.08
Carlos Rogers	9	9	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-10	15	13.9	14.5	-0.63	18.9	14.5	4.41
Jonathan Bender	21	21	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.07	3	-8	11	16.0	14.1	1.85	17.7	14.2	3.50
Austin Croshere	8	10	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-5	5	14.9	14.4	0.44	13.6	15.0	-1.37
Travis Best	55	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-7	9	15.4	13.5	1.84	16.3	13.3	3.01
Jamaal Tinsley	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.18	-7	2	-9	13.5	15.4	-1.84	13.1	16.5	-3.33
Al Harrington	90	91	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.09	-11	6	-17	15.1	11.4	3.69	15.0	14.1	0.94
Jalen Rose	76	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.16	-9	4	-13	14.7	14.0	0.70	13.9	17.3	-3.34
Reggie Miller	93	93	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.30	-6	1	-7	14.0	17.2	-3.18	14.7	15.8	-1.14
Jermaine O'Neal	95	96	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.38	-12	7	-19	14.5	13.8	0.70	14.3	18.7	-4.37

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	93	92	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.42	13	-8	21	13.7	21.7	-8.02	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Todd MacCulloch	74	75	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-10	25	13.1	18.5	-5.41	14.5	14.5	-0.03
Keith Van Horn	68	69	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.40	12	-7	19	13.8	16.6	-2.87	14.5	14.4	0.12
Kerry Kittles	87	88	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.25	11	-6	17	13.8	19.0	-5.15	14.4	14.6	-0.23
Kenyon Martin	53	54	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.12	12	-7	19	14.2	15.4	-1.20	14.4	14.6	-0.19
Derrick Dial	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	6	-7	22.9	14.2	8.67	14.7	14.4	0.31
Richard Jefferson	54	51	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.15	-12	17	-29	15.5	14.2	1.30	14.4	14.5	-0.06
Lucious Harris	32	29	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.07	-11	16	-27	18.6	13.3	5.26	14.2	14.6	-0.35
Jason Collins	35	33	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	-0.02	-10	15	-25	17.4	13.6	3.72	14.1	14.6	-0.54
Aaron Williams	31	31	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.10	-9	14	-23	19.0	13.2	5.76	15.2	14.2	1.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.17,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 93, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.66,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.81,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.28,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,1	90.8%
DAL 107, NOH 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.46,0.56,0.63,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.43,0.25,0.32,0.47,0.24,0.33,0.39,0.28,0.1,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.71,0.96,0.95,1	89.6%
NOH 98, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.98,1	89.4%