NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	89		Excitement	11.8 [23]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +87.4%
Memphis Grizzlies	90		Comeback	92.5 [13]		LVP	Zach Randolph (MEM): -92.6%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Martin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	13	55%	0.16	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Reggie Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.06	-0.00	5	64%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	1	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.04
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.19,-0.19,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.22,-0.22,-0.01	-0.15	0.12	-0.02	25	34%	0.07	2	-0.08	8	75%	0.05
Derek Fisher	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.13	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,0.06,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.23,-0.13	-0.03	-0.13	-0.02	28	48%	0.05	4	-0.18	10	90%	0.06

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.87	0.87	-0.06	0.91	-0.03	12	47%	0.92	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.04
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.49	0.10	0.38	-0.02	10	77%	0.60	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.09
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	0.00	8	50%	0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tony Wroten	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.04	-0.12	0.00	21	50%	-0.07	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.02
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.10	-0.09	0.00	13	27%	-0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.32,-0.38,-0.47,-0.47,-0.49,-0.49,-0.55,-0.61,-0.61,-0.61,-0.93	-0.93	-0.28	-0.67	-0.02	23	30%	-0.64	7	-0.29	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.3	1.8	29.2	15.6	28.2	2.7	45.2	2.3	14.4	166.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +57.1%

OKC -20.8%

MEM +22.2%

OKC -9.8%

MEM +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	MEM	NBA	OKC	MEM	NBA
this game	15.2	17.1	15.4	89.9	91.8	104.1
season	14.8	16.5		109.3	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		99.1	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
OKC	15.0	16.0	14.8	14.6	16.6	15.2
MEM	15.7	17.5	19.5	14.8	20.9	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Martin	61	61	1.01	-1.51	2.53	0.52	17	-18	35	15.9	14.1	1.80	16.9	17.5	-0.61
Reggie Jackson	41	38	0.27	-0.77	1.04	0.04	8	-9	17	16.6	14.1	2.51	17.9	16.6	1.24
Nick Collison	54	53	0.27	-0.77	1.04	-0.14	14	-15	29	15.6	14.7	0.91	17.5	16.7	0.78
Derek Fisher	21	19	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.06	10	-11	21	16.0	14.9	1.00	18.1	16.9	1.14
Hasheem Thabeet	9	10	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-3	5	16.6	15.0	1.53	15.3	17.3	-2.04
Serge Ibaka	42	43	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.00	-8	7	-15	14.6	15.6	-0.98	17.1	17.2	-0.11
Kevin Durant	90	88	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.46	-3	2	-5	15.0	16.6	-1.53	17.3	15.3	2.04
Russell Westbrook	76	77	-0.80	0.30	-1.09	-0.44	-12	11	-23	14.9	16.1	-1.21	16.9	18.0	-1.16
Thabo Sefolosha	38	39	-1.37	0.87	-2.23	-0.93	-15	14	-29	14.1	15.9	-1.80	17.0	17.2	-0.26
Kendrick Perkins	63	62	-1.39	0.89	-2.28	-0.86	-18	17	-35	14.3	16.7	-2.37	16.8	17.8	-1.02

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	81	82	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.66	-2	3	-5	16.2	21.4	-5.11	14.5	18.4	-3.92
Mike Conley	89	89	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.44	4	-3	7	17.4	14.2	3.20	14.9	17.3	-2.38
Tayshaun Prince	81	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	-1	3	17.0	17.6	-0.55	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Jerryd Bayless	53	55	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.62	-3	4	-7	16.6	17.7	-1.11	14.6	15.9	-1.30
Zach Randolph	75	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-8	17	18.6	12.3	6.37	15.5	14.2	1.34
Austin Daye	1	2	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.26	3	-2	5	1.0	17.3	-16.30	1.0	15.5	-14.45
Quincy Pondexter	26	28	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.02	1	0	1	17.2	17.1	0.13	16.0	14.8	1.22
Tony Wroten	9	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	4	-7	14.2	17.4	-3.20	17.3	14.9	2.38
Ed Davis	12	11	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.00	-3	4	-7	15.7	17.3	-1.58	17.5	14.9	2.58
Tony Allen	63	64	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.35	-3	4	-7	17.5	16.4	1.10	16.0	13.7	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.11,0.02,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.67,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 127, TOR 131	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.53,0.69,0.59,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.43,0.53,0.64,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.31,0.15,0.16,0.46,0.47,0.72,0.76,0.98,1	89.1%
ORL 102, WAS 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.87,0.82,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.98,1	88.9%
NOH 98, SAS 105	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.44,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.77,0.98,1	88.8%