inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 102 Excitement9.9 [54] MVPCourtney Alexander (WAS): +45.9%
Washington Wizards 107 Comeback4.5 [197] LVPMike Miller (ORL): -23.7%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Troy Hudson0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.030.07-0.001065%0.142-0.0400%0.00
Horace Grant0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.060.030.040.01964%0.151-0.094100%0.04
Patrick Ewing0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.00280%0.0300.0010%-0.01
Monty Williams0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Tracy McGrady0.010,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.14,-0.15,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,0,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,0.01-0.080.08-0.012448%0.102-0.091464%-0.12
Steven Hunter0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pat Garrity-0.000,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0-0.070.07-0.001238%0.092-0.102100%0.01
Don Reid-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.00-0.0010%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Darrell Armstrong-0.170,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17-0.03-0.130.011055%-0.013-0.152100%0.02
Mike Miller-0.240,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24-0.09-0.15-0.011841%-0.102-0.14560%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Courtney Alexander0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.46,0.46,0.460.460.120.30-0.032264%0.481-0.026100%0.05
Hubert Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.070.11-0.00583%0.1800.00250%-0.03
Etan Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01375%0.011-0.0220%-0.04
Kwame Brown0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Tyrone Nesby0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.010.01850%-0.0200.004100%0.01
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.02-0.00837%-0.011-0.0400%0.00
Brendan Haywood0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01312%-0.0600.00250%-0.02
Popeye Jones0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.011338%0.012-0.1000%0.00
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14-0.140.04-0.160.021367%-0.033-0.104100%0.13
Christian Laettner0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2-0.20-0.08-0.13-0.011250%0.055-0.2500%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.71.828.015.524.62.433.62.521.4152.5
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.01.716.7149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL -1.8%
WAS +21.4%
WAS +18.0%
WAS +2.4%
WAS +10.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLWASNBAORLWASNBA
this game14.817.615.6104.1109.2102.3
season14.616.5104.6102.2
opponent15.315.8103.9103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
ORL15.516.914.015.011.414.8
WAS18.118.216.518.615.917.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Don Reid22210.36-0.861.220.215-101512.115.6-3.4816.917.8-0.90
Troy Hudson42420.16-0.660.810.044-91315.014.70.2917.018.0-0.99
Steven Hunter100.05-0.550.600.050-555.014.9-9.940.017.6-17.61
Monty Williams76-0.10-0.400.310.02-4-1-311.615.1-3.5217.517.6-0.12
Patrick Ewing1515-0.11-0.390.280.04-50-517.214.42.7918.317.50.85
Horace Grant6970-0.22-0.280.07-0.241-6715.213.91.3818.116.31.86
Mike Miller7371-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.10-61-715.114.20.9118.016.61.41
Darrell Armstrong7576-0.34-0.16-0.17-0.31-1-4314.914.50.4117.119.2-2.08
Tracy McGrady9495-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-3-2-114.914.20.6117.521.0-3.49
Pat Garrity8183-1.110.61-1.71-0.78-116-1715.212.92.3618.015.72.22

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tyrone Nesby53540.72-0.220.950.498-31117.218.1-0.9215.114.50.61
Chris Whitney77780.62-0.120.750.3011-61717.219.0-1.7114.814.80.05
Courtney Alexander91910.480.020.460.3932117.716.90.8114.814.9-0.02
Popeye Jones54570.390.110.280.2450518.316.81.4414.914.70.26
Hubert Davis54530.380.120.250.2932117.517.7-0.1714.315.5-1.21
Brendan Haywood26260.230.27-0.03-0.039-41319.217.12.1016.614.22.42
Christian Laettner77750.160.34-0.190.36-712-1918.116.02.0515.113.91.21
Kwame Brown13120.060.44-0.37-0.0232118.217.50.7115.414.80.66
Etan Thomas2019-0.120.62-0.74-0.06-27-915.918.1-2.1513.215.2-2.02
Tyronn Lue2525-0.430.93-1.36-0.20-813-2116.318.1-1.7913.415.3-1.93


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.83,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.87,0.82,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.53,0.64,0.34,0.4,0.45,0.29,0.43,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.84,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 89, MEM 900.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.68,0.71,0.77,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.43,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.38,0.28,0.11,0.02,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.67,0.84,188.9%
LAL 93, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.57,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.67,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.65,0.68,0.47,0.29,0.23,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.87,188.7%
DET 91, LAL 990.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.64,0.66,0.59,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.78,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.69,0.56,0.56,0.71,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.63,0.71,0.59,0.6,0.45,0.21,0.32,0.04,0.54,0.67,0.84,0.97,1,188.6%