NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	98		Excitement	10.5 [58]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +98.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	237.1 [9]		LVP	Smush Parker (LAL): -27.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.04	0.18	-0.01	10	60%	0.27	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.10	0.10	0.01	13	62%	0.20	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Raja Bell	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	-0.00	0.13	-0.01	7	50%	0.15	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.00	16	58%	0.31	5	-0.24	4	75%	0.02
James Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.01	10	38%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eddie House	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	22	48%	0.14	2	-0.24	2	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.98	0.98	-0.01	0.98	-0.01	14	67%	1.23	7	-0.25	8	75%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.09	0.20	-0.00	7	79%	0.30	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.2,0.13	0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	16	54%	0.30	4	-0.17	14	79%	0.09
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.11	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	12	40%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.01	-0.11	0.01	5	60%	-0.02	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Smush Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.25,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.12	-0.15	0.01	12	21%	-0.24	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.0	3.5	31.7	17.0	31.2	3.6	42.0	2.6	17.1	174.8
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	1.8	17.8	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +13.8%

LAL +36.6%

PHX -4.5%

PHX -0.5%

LAL +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.8	17.3	15.6	98.0	101.0	104.4
season	13.8	15.6		110.2	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.1		104.3	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHX	12.4	15.6	14.4	17.8	13.8	14.8
LAL	18.3	18.7	14.4	18.2	18.0	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	81	81	0.19	-0.69	0.89	0.11	3	-4	7	15.4	12.1	3.34	17.5	16.5	0.98
Eddie House	22	21	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	1	-3	14.4	14.9	-0.57	15.4	17.9	-2.43
Leandro Barbosa	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	6	-13	13.6	15.4	-1.75	16.3	17.8	-1.57
Boris Diaw	87	85	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.51	6	-7	13	15.0	13.7	1.28	17.3	17.5	-0.14
James Jones	63	62	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.54	3	-4	7	14.6	15.2	-0.69	17.9	16.4	1.45
Steve Nash	79	78	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.52	-1	0	-1	15.0	14.1	0.90	18.0	14.9	3.06
Raja Bell	82	81	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.52	-2	1	-3	14.9	14.2	0.72	17.9	14.7	3.18
Tim Thomas	53	50	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.53	-5	4	-9	14.3	15.4	-1.08	16.0	18.7	-2.65

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Vujacic	55	58	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.63	10	-9	19	15.9	19.1	-3.17	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Devean George	36	40	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.64	6	-5	11	18.8	16.5	2.28	15.3	14.5	0.86
Lamar Odom	90	93	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.53	4	-3	7	17.2	18.7	-1.54	14.9	13.3	1.64
Kobe Bryant	73	75	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.48	-1	2	-3	16.5	19.9	-3.41	15.1	14.0	1.08
Luke Walton	76	75	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.49	-3	4	-7	16.9	19.0	-2.09	14.2	16.6	-2.33
Kwame Brown	65	64	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.16	2	-1	3	17.2	17.6	-0.41	14.9	14.7	0.14
Brian Cook	20	21	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.06	-2	3	-5	20.2	16.6	3.60	16.1	14.5	1.63
Smush Parker	75	74	-0.51	1.01	-1.53	-0.19	-11	12	-23	18.5	13.6	4.93	14.4	16.0	-1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.09,0.54,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 101, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.52,0.59,0.44,0.41,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.6,0.41,0.42,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.3,0.26,0.16,0.17,0.38,0.37,0.24,0.27,0.54,0.39,0.55,0.43,0.58,1	91.3%
CLE 107, DET 109	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.43,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.15,0.11,0.2,0.02,0.46,0.31,0.37,0.22,0.27,1	90.9%
WAS 110, DET 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.28,0.37,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.57,0.58,1	90.0%