NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Excitement	9.2 [149]		MVP	Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL): +28.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	106		Comeback	1.9 [1098]		LVP	Gorgui Dieng (MIN): -13.7%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shabazz Napier	0.18	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.06	0.02	13	73%	0.22	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Jaylen Nowell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.01,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	11	48%	0.10	2	-0.07	3	67%	0.02
Jordan Bell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	8	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.06
Naz Reid	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Keita Bates-Diop	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.00	4	70%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Kelan Martin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Culver	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	14	34%	0.03	3	-0.11	1	0%	-0.02
Gorgui Dieng	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.14	-0.02	-0.14	-0.02	14	44%	-0.12	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.15	-0.01	22	62%	0.41	4	-0.13	8	37%	-0.09
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	67%	0.11	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	8	44%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.03	0.01	5	64%	0.04	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	6	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	-0.00	18	35%	-0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	12	41%	-0.05	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	1.6	28.4	15.3	30.5	2.7	39.0	142.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +36.0%

MIN -7.4%

MIL +31.0%

MIN -12.8%

MIL +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MIL	NBA	MIN	MIL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.2	14.2	98.1	102.9	109.6
season	13.8	13.2		107.1	111.0
opponent	14.1	13.8		102.6	110.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	12.4	14.2	13.7	13.0	13.3
MIL	14.8	12.0	14.6	15.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Okogie	58	54	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-10	18	12.4	14.4	-2.02	15.2	13.1	2.10
Naz Reid	41	39	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.11	3	-5	8	11.8	14.3	-2.49	15.9	13.2	2.62
Kelan Martin	53	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.19	2	-4	6	13.3	13.3	0.02	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Keita Bates-Diop	46	46	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	2	-6	13.3	13.4	-0.12	14.6	13.9	0.66
Jordan Bell	33	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.03	-5	3	-8	13.3	13.3	-0.04	14.3	14.2	0.11
Gorgui Dieng	51	50	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	0	-2	14.6	12.1	2.46	13.2	15.2	-2.07
Shabazz Napier	69	67	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.33	0	-2	2	13.3	13.3	0.05	13.9	14.8	-0.87
Robert Covington	73	73	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.43	1	-3	4	13.6	12.8	0.83	13.6	15.7	-2.06
Jaylen Nowell	34	33	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.24	-6	4	-10	13.5	13.3	0.21	13.4	14.7	-1.29
Jarrett Culver	72	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.45	-7	5	-12	13.7	12.5	1.27	14.6	13.6	0.98

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Giannis Antetokounmpo	66	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.42	4	-2	6	13.7	15.2	-1.56	14.1	11.9	2.17
Khris Middleton	70	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	-2	6	13.8	15.2	-1.47	14.2	11.6	2.54
Brook Lopez	67	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.38	1	1	0	13.3	15.9	-2.57	13.9	12.4	1.50
Pat Connaughton	55	59	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.41	0	2	-2	14.6	13.8	0.81	12.3	14.6	-2.31
Donte DiVincenzo	52	55	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	-2	6	13.2	15.3	-2.08	14.6	12.0	2.64
George Hill	48	50	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.32	-5	7	-12	15.5	13.2	2.28	11.4	15.1	-3.73
Ersan Ilyasova	37	39	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	1	0	15.2	13.7	1.56	11.6	14.3	-2.67
Eric Bledsoe	44	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	2	-2	13.9	14.5	-0.58	14.1	12.8	1.32
Kyle Korver	40	40	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.03	3	-1	4	14.8	13.9	0.91	13.2	13.4	-0.17
Robin Lopez	36	36	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	4	-6	15.9	13.3	2.57	12.7	13.7	-0.96

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.58,0.69,0.8,0.72,0.81,0.93,0.85,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 109, ATL 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.96,0.97,0.95,1	93.2%
BKN 96, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.91,1	92.9%
LAL 103, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.98,1	92.8%