NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	96		Excitement	7.7 [306]		MVP	David West (IND): +25.5%
Indiana Pacers	97		Comeback	1.7 [1104]		LVP	Luis Scola (IND): -22.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaun Livingston	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.09	-0.02	-0.01	18	60%	0.11	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Alan Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.00	4	55%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	67%	0.12	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.06	0.05	-0.09	0.01	9	60%	0.01	2	-0.07	7	100%	0.05
Deron Williams	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.03	0.01	0.04	12	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.08
Joe Johnson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	14	53%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jason Terry	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	4	10%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David West	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.14	-0.01	7	77%	0.27	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.07
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	62%	0.22	5	-0.17	6	100%	0.03
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.03	0.02	8	70%	0.13	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.05
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	30%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.02	0.00	7	38%	0.01	2	-0.05	7	86%	0.02
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	19	48%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.02
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	5	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.7	29.1	16.4	28.2	2.3	41.4	143.4
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +8.0%

IND +23.3%

IND +44.2%

BKN -28.4%

IND +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	IND	NBA	BKN	IND	NBA
this game	14.2	15.4	15.1	98.0	100.0	105.2
season	15.7	15.8		105.1	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		99.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	16.5	14.0	12.7	13.5	14.2
IND	14.8	14.2	18.6	14.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	40	40	0.14	-0.64	0.78	0.11	1	-2	3	14.9	13.6	1.30	14.8	15.8	-1.01
Alan Anderson	40	38	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-1	1	14.0	14.2	-0.17	15.3	15.5	-0.21
Reggie Evans	10	10	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.02	-2	1	-3	13.1	14.3	-1.17	13.2	15.6	-2.44
Jason Terry	26	26	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.00	-4	3	-7	14.5	14.0	0.52	14.7	15.6	-0.90
Mirza Teletovic	33	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	3	-7	14.8	13.8	0.91	15.3	15.4	-0.07
Deron Williams	79	78	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.43	3	-4	7	13.8	15.4	-1.57	15.6	14.7	0.81
Paul Pierce	65	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.46	3	-4	7	13.8	14.8	-0.91	15.4	15.3	0.07
Joe Johnson	79	79	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.46	0	-1	1	14.1	14.5	-0.40	15.2	16.2	-0.95
Shaun Livingston	71	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.52	-2	1	-3	14.3	13.8	0.52	15.7	14.5	1.21
Kevin Garnett	47	47	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.60	0	-1	1	14.0	14.3	-0.25	16.4	14.5	1.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	69	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.54	-1	2	-3	16.1	13.7	2.31	14.9	12.5	2.39
Paul George	80	79	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.44	2	-1	3	15.5	14.7	0.83	14.2	14.1	0.12
Roy Hibbert	68	67	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-5	11	15.9	14.2	1.74	14.9	12.6	2.21
George Hill	66	67	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.38	2	-1	3	15.0	16.2	-1.18	14.2	14.1	0.04
David West	65	64	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.43	-2	3	-5	15.5	15.2	0.30	13.5	15.4	-1.84
CJ Watson	41	44	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.21	1	0	1	14.1	16.4	-2.28	13.2	14.9	-1.76
Luis Scola	32	35	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.05	5	-4	9	15.2	15.5	-0.30	14.9	13.7	1.18
Ian Mahinmi	27	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	6	-11	15.2	15.5	-0.23	13.7	14.3	-0.56
Danny Granger	37	39	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	4	-7	15.1	15.5	-0.41	13.3	14.7	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, UTA 108	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.44,0.51,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.89,0.85,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.62,0.49,0.62,0.58,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.97,0.99,1,1	92.8%
LAL 103, CHA 104	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.98,1	92.4%
NOH 80, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.8,0.84,0.77,0.74,0.87,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.97,0.87,1	92.3%