NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	7.2 [366]		MVP	Gerald Henderson (CHA): +27.9%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	1.6 [976]		LVP	Wayne Ellington (LAL): -16.4%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	8	68%	0.11	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	7	62%	0.11	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.02
Jordan Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	-0.03	0.05	0.02	13	38%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.05	0.01	19	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Kelly	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	6	44%	-0.03	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Jeremy Lin	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.07	0.09	-0.09	0.07	16	68%	0.12	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.00
Wayne Ellington	-0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.08	0.01	8	39%	-0.06	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Henderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.11	0.15	-0.02	15	62%	0.28	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.02	0.01	6	71%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	1	100%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.06	0.01	19	47%	0.07	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.07
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.09
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.03	14	54%	0.07	4	-0.10	9	89%	0.04
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	2	62%	0.02	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.3	27.4	14.8	26.3	3.0	41.0	136.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +53.1%

LAL -7.2%

LAL -5.1%

CHA +8.4%

CHA +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	15.1	103.0	104.0	104.2
season	15.5	15.6		101.9	98.9
opponent	15.1	14.7		102.6	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.6	13.5	17.8	13.6	14.8
CHA	16.1	12.7	13.5	14.1	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	51	51	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.05	-1	0	-1	15.5	14.0	1.43	14.5	13.6	0.94
Ed Davis	49	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-5	9	14.8	14.8	0.01	14.4	13.7	0.79
Ryan Kelly	43	42	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	3	-7	17.1	13.0	4.08	14.0	14.0	-0.01
Wesley Johnson	55	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.33	5	-6	11	12.8	17.2	-4.42	14.0	14.1	-0.11
Jeremy Lin	65	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.42	6	-7	13	13.7	16.8	-3.08	13.9	14.3	-0.48
Robert Sacre	42	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	8	-17	16.5	13.6	2.90	14.7	13.5	1.13
Jordan Hill	49	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.42	0	-1	1	14.0	15.5	-1.43	13.6	14.5	-0.94
Jordan Clarkson	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.44	-1	0	-1	14.8	14.8	-0.05	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Wayne Ellington	77	78	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.45	-5	4	-9	14.9	14.3	0.55	13.8	14.9	-1.07

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	77	77	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.41	13	-12	25	13.1	17.1	-3.97	15.5	12.2	3.32
Mo Williams	75	75	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.41	6	-5	11	14.4	12.9	1.53	15.3	13.1	2.25
Al Jefferson	75	73	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.28	9	-8	17	14.4	12.9	1.53	15.9	11.8	4.05
Gerald Henderson	78	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.54	-2	3	-5	14.2	13.3	0.97	14.8	14.8	-0.00
Marvin Williams	58	59	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.45	-6	7	-13	13.6	14.6	-0.97	13.7	16.2	-2.50
Cody Zeller	45	44	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.25	-1	2	-3	13.7	14.3	-0.62	15.4	14.3	1.06
Lance Stephenson	23	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.01	-1	2	-3	13.6	14.2	-0.60	12.8	15.3	-2.50
Bismack Biyombo	22	24	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	1	-1	14.5	13.9	0.60	12.9	15.4	-2.49
Jeff Taylor	12	12	-0.14	0.64	-0.77	0.10	-8	9	-17	16.2	13.7	2.52	13.9	14.9	-0.97
Brian Roberts	35	36	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	-0.06	-5	6	-11	14.3	13.9	0.39	13.4	15.5	-2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.82,0.71,0.81,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.79,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 80, IND 87	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.46,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.72,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.61,0.81,0.78,0.95,1	92.8%
IND 97, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.79,0.98,1,1	92.5%
BKN 96, IND 97	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.42,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.44,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.63,0.62,0.72,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.91,1	92.4%