NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	97		Excitement	7.7 [293]		MVP	Austin Croshere (IND): +19.7%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.5 [482]		LVP	Reggie Miller (IND): -25.0%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Croshere	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.01	11	72%	0.26	1	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Sam Perkins	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	87%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	86%	0.08	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.05	0.01	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Mark Jackson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.04	0.02	8	44%	-0.03	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	20	45%	-0.09	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Travis Best	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.24,-0.25,-0.25	-0.18	-0.09	-0.02	8	30%	-0.13	5	-0.12	4	100%	0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.05	-0.01	6	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dee Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	8	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.05	0.01	12	75%	0.12	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.03
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.03	-0.02	12	58%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	23	48%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Muggsy Bogues	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	10	37%	-0.05	2	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	16	40%	-0.06	3	-0.09	8	75%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.5	24.3	16.6	27.3	2.3	28.6	124.8
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +1.3%

IND -2.7%

TOR +35.7%

TOR +16.0%

IND -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	TOR	NBA	IND	TOR	NBA
this game	14.3	15.7	15.2	101.0	109.4	101.7
season	15.4	15.5		106.5	101.8
opponent	14.9	15.1		102.1	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.8	12.8	14.2	15.6	14.3
TOR	14.6	16.6	15.8	15.7	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Harrington	29	27	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.00	7	-15	22	15.5	13.8	1.65	15.1	15.9	-0.72
Travis Best	41	41	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.01	5	-13	18	13.9	14.6	-0.71	15.2	16.0	-0.74
Sam Perkins	28	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-10	12	13.6	14.6	-0.97	15.3	15.8	-0.54
Chris Mullin	14	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.03	0	-8	8	12.5	14.6	-2.15	15.2	15.8	-0.55
Rik Smits	41	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.04	-7	-1	-6	14.3	14.3	-0.03	15.7	15.6	0.06
Austin Croshere	49	48	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.20	-2	-6	4	15.0	13.6	1.40	15.8	15.5	0.25
Jalen Rose	82	83	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	0	-8	14.2	14.9	-0.70	16.2	12.5	3.71
Reggie Miller	69	69	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	5	-18	14.1	14.9	-0.77	15.5	16.1	-0.62
Dale Davis	72	74	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.28	-11	3	-14	14.4	14.2	0.11	15.6	15.9	-0.31
Mark Jackson	55	55	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.26	-13	5	-18	14.6	13.9	0.71	16.0	15.2	0.74

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Oakley	69	68	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.29	18	-10	28	15.4	16.4	-1.03	14.1	14.9	-0.74
Tracy McGrady	61	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	15.5	15.9	-0.43	14.5	14.1	0.37
Vince Carter	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	3	2	15.6	16.1	-0.48	14.3	14.3	0.07
Antonio Davis	74	75	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.21	4	4	0	16.1	14.1	2.04	14.6	13.3	1.28
Alvin Williams	34	34	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	0	8	14.6	16.2	-1.58	14.7	14.1	0.62
Muggsy Bogues	30	29	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	3	2	15.2	15.9	-0.68	13.1	14.9	-1.81
Dell Curry	30	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	8	-8	15.7	15.7	0.05	14.7	14.2	0.46
Dee Brown	52	51	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	9	-10	16.5	14.7	1.73	14.3	14.4	-0.13
Kevin Willis	52	53	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	14	-20	15.8	15.5	0.35	14.4	14.3	0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.5,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.73,0.79,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.79,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 88, CHI 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.68,0.73,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.86,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.59,0.67,0.61,0.64,0.85,0.9,1	93.6%
SAS 86, PHX 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.39,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.59,0.55,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.53,0.53,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.78,0.99,0.96,1	92.9%
NYK 96, NOH 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.74,0.6,0.78,0.8,0.96,0.97,0.98,1	92.6%