inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 109 Excitement6.6 [509] MVPMike Bibby (ATL): +22.6%
Atlanta Hawks 112 Comeback1.7 [891] LVPJosh Smith (ATL): -12.9%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Conley0.050,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.050.08-0.030.011379%0.244-0.182100%0.01
Zach Randolph0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.050.020.03-0.001647%0.0500.00887%0.01
Tony Allen0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.040.030.020.00667%0.071-0.0300%0.00
O.J. Mayo0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.020.02-0.00859%0.061-0.021100%0.01
Marc Gasol0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.02876%0.093-0.07580%-0.02
Hasheem Thabeet0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Sam Young-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
DeMarre Carroll-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Xavier Henry-0.040,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.00427%-0.0400.00333%-0.04
Greivis Vasquez-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.00325%-0.0400.0020%-0.03
Rudy Gay-0.100,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.10.02-0.080.042053%-0.023-0.083100%0.02

Atlanta Hawks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike Bibby0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.140.110.02883%0.2300.00250%-0.01
Al Horford0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.210.210.100.110.001462%0.2100.004100%0.03
Josh Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.120.080.04-0.00989%0.213-0.0800%0.00
Marvin Williams0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.080.030.001158%0.1100.00475%-0.01
Maurice Evans0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.01-0.01475%0.081-0.024100%0.02
Jeff Teague0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.00657%0.0500.002100%0.01
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09-0.09-0.01-0.070.021250%-0.012-0.09875%-0.00
Josh Smith0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.020.011541%-0.004-0.13250%-0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.62.529.015.825.32.542.5145.2
league avg26.22.430.316.427.22.433.9140.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ATL +36.2%
ATL +9.5%
MEM -5.9%
ATL +5.8%
ATL +4.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMATLNBAMEMATLNBA
this game15.315.915.5117.2121.7105.7
season15.516.5106.1104.0
opponent15.515.5105.1103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM14.518.014.813.815.3
ATL17.513.316.516.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Greivis Vasquez1920-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-3314.815.4-0.5912.916.7-3.74
Tony Allen2626-0.12-0.380.26-0.06-2-1-114.015.7-1.6917.515.22.26
Xavier Henry4142-0.12-0.380.26-0.151-4515.615.00.6717.514.52.94
DeMarre Carroll44-0.13-0.370.24-0.01-41-514.015.3-1.3112.716.0-3.27
Hasheem Thabeet1515-0.15-0.350.200.08-85-1316.415.01.3615.316.0-0.65
O.J. Mayo5150-0.21-0.290.07-0.272-5715.215.3-0.1413.318.9-5.56
Sam Young1918-0.22-0.280.060.01-85-1318.414.43.9812.916.6-3.65
Rudy Gay7171-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.455-81314.318.5-4.2516.812.64.23
Marc Gasol6160-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.424-71115.015.7-0.6516.415.01.40
Zach Randolph8381-0.42-0.08-0.35-0.34-30-315.810.65.2216.015.10.90
Mike Conley7573-0.47-0.03-0.43-0.41-2-1-115.215.6-0.3716.513.62.90

Atlanta Hawks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marvin Williams76780.73-0.230.960.4410-71716.313.82.5015.314.90.47
Jamal Crawford66660.56-0.060.620.338-51315.217.6-2.3615.215.4-0.26
Mike Bibby62620.490.010.490.4421116.514.61.8515.913.91.98
Al Horford71710.420.080.340.4203-316.514.02.5015.315.3-0.02
Josh Smith44450.240.26-0.020.45-710-1717.114.72.4114.116.4-2.31
Josh Powell44450.230.27-0.05-0.018-51314.417.3-2.9116.614.02.60
Zaza Pachulia25250.090.41-0.32-0.065-2714.716.3-1.5915.015.4-0.35
Jeff Teague3031-0.010.51-0.52-0.0412-114.616.5-1.8513.915.9-1.98
Maurice Evans4242-0.270.77-1.040.08-1215-2716.115.70.4815.215.3-0.04


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.96,0.97,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 84, UTA 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.51,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.72,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.76,0.91,0.86,0.71,0.73,0.8,0.89,0.99,1,193.1%
PHX 84, NOH 930.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.76,0.72,0.74,0.59,0.77,0.9,0.97,1,1,193.0%
NYK 81, MIA 870.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.67,0.58,0.6,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.66,0.7,0.59,0.58,0.72,0.6,0.54,0.77,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.96,192.9%