NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	10.7 [49]		MVP	Aaron Holiday (IND): +43.9%
Indiana Pacers	120		Comeback	8.9 [214]		LVP	Domantas Sabonis (IND): -21.9%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.26,0.26	-0.00	0.23	-0.03	18	52%	0.34	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Lowry	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.27,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.23	0.06	0.18	0.00	21	62%	0.43	5	-0.20	6	83%	-0.01
Terence Davis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	-0.01	0.14	-0.01	9	44%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.04
Chris Boucher	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.05	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	13	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Malcolm Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick McCaw	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.09	0.01	21	55%	0.08	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron Holiday	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.26,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.25,0.25,0.44	0.44	0.08	0.34	-0.02	16	59%	0.45	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.15,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.08	0.33	0.01	19	59%	0.45	1	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17,0.35,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.20	0.17	0.02	12	92%	0.39	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.01	9	60%	0.12	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.02
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	5	30%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	9	60%	0.06	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.03
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.13	-0.04	14	34%	-0.03	3	-0.19	7	29%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	2.7	29.0	14.8	23.4	2.5	31.2	2.5	15.4	148.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +52.6%

TOR -2.2%

TOR -5.6%

IND +4.6%

IND +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	IND	NBA	TOR	IND	NBA
this game	15.1	15.2	14.2	109.5	114.3	109.6
season	14.0	14.4		109.9	108.7
opponent	14.4	14.5		107.4	104.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	15.0	16.1	12.9	17.0	14.4	15.1
IND	13.2	14.5	14.8	17.3	18.9	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terence Davis	38	40	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.05	10	-15	25	15.7	14.8	0.92	15.0	15.3	-0.23
Malcolm Miller	8	7	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.03	3	-8	11	15.0	15.1	-0.10	16.9	15.1	1.79
Patrick McCaw	44	44	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.07	4	-9	13	14.2	15.8	-1.61	14.3	15.8	-1.46
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	64	63	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.04	2	-7	9	15.9	13.8	2.12	14.8	15.7	-0.87
Chris Boucher	28	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.10	3	-8	11	15.6	14.9	0.70	12.7	16.2	-3.47
OG Anunoby	82	82	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	1	-7	14.9	15.7	-0.71	15.9	12.7	3.25
Fred VanVleet	81	79	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.22	-13	8	-21	15.0	15.5	-0.58	15.8	13.5	2.30
Serge Ibaka	83	80	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.22	-13	8	-21	15.1	15.2	-0.17	15.8	13.2	2.61
Kyle Lowry	88	90	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.47	-10	5	-15	14.9	16.0	-1.08	14.6	19.0	-4.44

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lamb	69	70	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.29	19	-14	33	15.3	14.9	0.46	14.9	15.4	-0.50
Aaron Holiday	58	61	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.44	13	-8	21	16.0	14.2	1.77	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Myles Turner	72	73	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.29	11	-6	17	15.3	15.0	0.32	14.5	16.4	-1.93
Domantas Sabonis	80	80	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.41	6	-1	7	15.5	14.3	1.20	15.3	14.4	0.86
T.J. Warren	81	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.32	8	-3	11	15.5	14.2	1.27	14.5	17.1	-2.61
Justin Holiday	44	41	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.00	-3	8	-11	13.8	16.2	-2.36	15.6	14.7	0.88
T.J. McConnell	49	47	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	11	-17	14.5	15.8	-1.24	15.5	14.7	0.79
Edmond Sumner	27	25	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.00	-10	15	-25	15.3	15.2	0.09	17.2	14.4	2.71
Doug McDermott	45	46	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.00	-13	18	-31	14.8	15.5	-0.76	15.4	14.8	0.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.86,0.8,0.76,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.71,0.6,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.4,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.14,0.28,0.46,0.62,0.46,0.77,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 93, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.7,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.42,0.37,0.26,0.29,0.17,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.17,0.46,0.53,0.64,0.86,0.92,1	89.5%
DET 105, MIL 108	0.5,0.49,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.71,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.23,0.14,0.19,0.05,0.15,0.29,0.16,0.28,0.54,0.69,0.55,0.57,0.59,1	89.3%
DEN 102, BOS 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.85,1	89.1%