inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 102 Excitement12.2 [14] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +41.9%
Boston Celtics 104 Comeback3.6 [443] LVPBryant Stith (BOS): -43.3%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Voshon Lenard0.240,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.240.080.170.011370%0.292-0.054100%0.03
Antonio McDyess0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,0.03,0.03-0.030.060.002754%0.153-0.121573%-0.03
George McCloud0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.020.00762%0.072-0.052100%0.01
Ryan Bowen-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.000.001100%0.021-0.021100%0.00
Mark Strickland-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Robert Pack-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.01-0.001100%0.032-0.052100%0.01
James Posey-0.110,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.05-0.07-0.00741%-0.091-0.023100%0.01
Keon Clark-0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.05-0.080.00444%-0.1300.00862%-0.05
Tracy Murray-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.04-0.10-0.00844%-0.102-0.0400%0.00
Nick Van Exel-0.160,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.36,-0.36,-0.16-0.180.00-0.031323%0.014-0.1700%0.00
Raef LaFrentz-0.370,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37-0.11-0.27-0.0070%-0.3700.0000%0.00

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,0.04,0.420.42-0.020.43-0.011464%0.534-0.111681%0.04
Tony Battie0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.01855%-0.0100.00667%-0.03
Jerome Moiso0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00631%-0.0600.00425%-0.04
Eric Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.00-0.00621%-0.0700.00250%-0.01
Milt Palacio0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.04-0.0020%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Adrian Griffin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.040.0020%-0.0700.0000%0.00
Vitaly Potapenko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.06-0.02-0.01536%-0.061-0.02475%-0.01
Antoine Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.02-0.06-0.002160%0.187-0.261100%0.02
Bryant Stith0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.26,-0.37,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43,-0.43-0.43-0.12-0.320.001240%-0.233-0.20683%-0.08
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.32.032.214.725.22.434.52.316.4155.0
league avg28.82.228.916.626.22.233.11.717.2139.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +52.0%
BOS +8.1%
DEN -13.8%
DEN -7.1%
BOS +10.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENBOSNBADENBOSNBA
this game14.413.915.590.392.9100.9
season15.215.1101.499.7
opponent15.415.2101.8104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN14.811.313.018.916.314.4
BOS12.314.413.216.213.713.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
George McCloud54540.28-0.781.070.058-101812.715.9-3.1616.012.04.00
Keon Clark44430.14-0.640.79-0.1510-122213.814.7-0.9416.312.43.95
Ryan Bowen13120.14-0.640.77-0.108-101812.814.6-1.7215.813.72.17
Tracy Murray3534-0.13-0.370.240.04-64-1013.514.8-1.2414.813.51.29
Mark Strickland87-0.17-0.330.150.06-86-1412.114.5-2.4213.014.0-0.95
Nick Van Exel8986-0.21-0.290.09-0.5010-122215.79.36.4513.614.7-1.09
Robert Pack2426-0.29-0.21-0.090.06-1210-229.315.7-6.4514.713.61.09
Antonio McDyess10099-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.526-81415.09.75.2913.913.50.40
Voshon Lenard8788-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.573-5814.613.51.0813.316.2-2.95
Raef LaFrentz6163-0.650.15-0.81-0.07-2018-3814.414.30.0811.916.5-4.58
James Posey5048-0.770.27-1.05-0.51-97-1616.312.83.4912.115.2-3.17

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bryant Stith90880.77-0.271.030.4411-92013.316.3-3.0214.713.41.30
Paul Pierce93940.66-0.160.830.554-2613.117.6-4.5014.513.60.89
Tony Battie71700.56-0.060.630.425-3813.215.0-1.8215.512.53.08
Milt Palacio42430.53-0.030.560.56-13-415.013.21.8513.614.8-1.24
Antoine Walker90920.370.130.240.52-57-1213.515.5-2.0615.59.65.84
Vitaly Potapenko29310.070.43-0.35-0.075-3814.713.61.1212.515.1-2.60
Jerome Moiso3231-0.060.56-0.610.03-35-815.913.12.8210.615.8-5.18
Adrian Griffin910-0.180.68-0.87-0.10-35-820.113.36.7616.914.12.77
Eric Williams3436-0.200.70-0.90-0.02-68-1415.813.12.6912.415.3-2.91


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.67,0.64,0.6,0.65,0.59,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.41,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.36,0.43,0.27,0.54,0.55,0.78,0.78,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 108, TOR 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.97,0.99,190.1%
PHX 121, LAC 1220.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.71,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.4,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.29,0.13,0.11,0.29,0.22,0.27,0.46,0.55,0.78,0.68,0.57,190.1%
WAS 103, MEM 1120.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.93,0.98,1,189.6%