NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	103		Excitement	9.2 [131]		MVP	Marc Gasol (MEM): +42.7%
Memphis Grizzlies	112		Comeback	30.9 [40]		LVP	Wade Baldwin (MEM): -14.8%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcin Gortat	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.12	0.05	0.01	3	87%	0.17	0	0.00	10	100%	0.06
Marcus Thornton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.03	0.04	6	73%	0.06	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Kelly Oubre	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	4	56%	0.12	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Jason Smith	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.03	0.01	9	42%	0.05	1	-0.05	1	0%	-0.04
Tomas Satoransky	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sheldon McClellan	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Burke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Otto Porter	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.03	-0.01	15	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
John Wall	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.06,-0.04,0.06,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	19	51%	0.17	5	-0.21	5	100%	0.07
Markieff Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	8	69%	0.09	4	-0.16	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	17	39%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.18,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.43	0.43	0.10	0.36	0.03	14	59%	0.43	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.00	6	112%	0.29	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.09,-0.17,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.11	0.01	19	56%	0.23	5	-0.15	5	100%	0.04
Andrew Harrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	8	47%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Jarell Martin	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.05	4	40%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	0.00	16	63%	0.14	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.02
Deyonta Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.08	-0.00	6	58%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	10	35%	-0.08	2	-0.03	3	33%	-0.02
Wade Baldwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	5	0%	-0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.6	2.0	31.0	15.5	25.3	2.4	36.4	2.5	14.3	156.1
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	2.2	17.9	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +45.1%

WAS -11.4%

MEM +3.6%

MEM +14.5%

WAS -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	MEM	NBA	WAS	MEM	NBA
this game	15.6	16.6	14.8	104.0	113.1	107.7
season	14.4	16.1		109.9	106.4
opponent	14.9	14.9		106.7	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	14.5	13.9	16.8	16.8	17.2	15.6
MEM	14.3	16.7	18.3	16.7	18.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Nicholson	47	46	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.34	-8	-1	-7	16.0	15.1	0.89	15.7	17.3	-1.54
Kelly Oubre	25	26	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.17	-4	-5	1	16.8	15.1	1.61	17.4	16.3	1.16
Marcus Thornton	29	29	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.11	-3	-6	3	16.3	15.2	1.12	15.7	16.9	-1.19
Jason Smith	7	10	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-8	7	16.9	15.5	1.40	16.9	16.5	0.37
Tomas Satoransky	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	14.5	15.6	-1.08	18.5	16.5	1.97
Sheldon McClellan	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	14.5	15.6	-1.08	18.5	16.5	1.97
Trey Burke	28	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.10	-12	3	-15	16.2	15.3	0.92	16.3	16.7	-0.35
John Wall	71	68	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.34	3	-12	15	15.3	16.2	-0.92	16.7	16.3	0.35
Bradley Beal	76	76	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.38	-4	-5	1	15.0	17.4	-2.39	16.6	16.3	0.34
Markieff Morris	66	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.51	-1	-8	7	15.1	16.5	-1.48	17.0	15.7	1.34
Marcin Gortat	74	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.27	-10	1	-11	15.6	15.3	0.32	16.5	16.8	-0.37
Otto Porter	68	68	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.37	-7	-2	-5	15.4	15.9	-0.51	16.6	16.5	0.07

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marc Gasol	54	55	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.13	22	-13	35	16.8	16.3	0.51	16.0	15.0	0.92
JaMychal Green	72	77	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.36	14	-5	19	15.9	18.4	-2.48	15.8	14.8	0.95
Mike Conley	72	73	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.36	10	-1	11	16.4	17.1	-0.75	15.2	16.5	-1.23
Vince Carter	56	57	0.57	-0.07	0.65	-0.01	20	-11	31	17.2	15.7	1.53	16.8	13.9	2.83
James Ennis	64	64	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.43	3	6	-3	16.8	16.1	0.79	15.0	16.5	-1.44
Jarell Martin	37	35	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	9	-9	16.3	16.7	-0.39	15.5	15.6	-0.11
Deyonta Davis	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	17.0	16.6	0.44	0.0	15.6	-15.56
Troy Williams	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	12	-15	17.0	16.6	0.44	0.0	15.6	-15.56
Wade Baldwin	33	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.09	-3	12	-15	16.5	16.6	-0.17	15.7	15.5	0.19
Zach Randolph	48	48	-0.26	0.76	-1.01	-0.05	-7	16	-23	16.5	16.6	-0.09	15.2	15.9	-0.75
Andrew Harrison	57	54	-0.36	0.86	-1.21	-0.12	-8	17	-25	16.7	16.3	0.40	14.9	16.3	-1.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.61,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.65,0.7,0.6,0.64,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.17,0.1,0.21,0.2,0.42,0.46,0.69,0.93,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 107, PHI 115	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.77,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.7,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.33,0.19,0.05,0,0.08,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.86,0.98,1	90.8%
GSW 108, TOR 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.77,0.71,0.66,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.57,0.46,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.32,0.27,0.46,0.69,0.78,0.97,0.99,1	90.7%
GSW 117, PHI 125	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.69,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.83,0.85,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.65,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.5,0.66,0.6,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.22,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.94,0.96,1	90.1%