NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	101		Excitement	8.3 [235]		MVP	LeBron James (LAL): +18.6%
Atlanta Hawks	96		Comeback	1.3 [1067]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -17.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.07	-0.01	21	65%	0.30	4	-0.11	7	57%	-0.05
Danny Green	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.03	0.01	8	45%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Jared Dudley	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Davis	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	23	51%	0.13	5	-0.14	7	71%	-0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	11	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Rajon Rondo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	10	50%	0.03	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.12	0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
JaVale McGee	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.01	5	-0.16	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damian Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	4	83%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Bruno Fernando	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Trae Young	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.05,0,0.05,-0.01,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	22	55%	0.12	6	-0.16	11	82%	0.05
Vince Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	10	35%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	5	30%	-0.01	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	7	36%	0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.00	10	42%	-0.03	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	-0.00	10	36%	-0.03	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	33.5	15.5	29.3	2.5	38.5	147.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.7%

ATL -9.6%

LAL +16.5%

LAL +2.1%

LAL +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	13.2	13.9	14.2	95.3	89.7	109.6
season	14.2	13.8		111.8	106.6
opponent	14.0	14.4		113.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	12.7	11.5	12.4	16.2	13.2
ATL	14.4	14.6	12.8	13.7	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	82	82	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-5	15	12.9	13.9	-0.98	14.3	12.4	1.98
Dwight Howard	47	47	0.45	0.06	0.39	0.21	8	-3	11	14.2	12.3	1.93	14.5	13.4	1.17
Rajon Rondo	53	54	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	5	-5	14.6	11.8	2.81	14.3	13.5	0.84
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.22	0	5	-5	12.2	14.6	-2.35	13.5	14.4	-0.86
Anthony Davis	81	81	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	7	-9	12.7	14.6	-1.83	13.4	15.4	-1.99
Avery Bradley	49	50	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	2	1	14.4	12.1	2.40	14.2	13.6	0.53
Danny Green	50	50	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	0	5	11.8	14.3	-2.50	13.6	14.2	-0.60
Alex Caruso	36	36	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.13	1	4	-3	12.4	13.5	-1.08	12.0	14.8	-2.87
Jared Dudley	33	35	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	5	-5	14.8	12.4	2.41	14.6	13.5	1.03
JaVale McGee	36	37	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	5	-5	12.1	13.7	-1.59	14.3	13.6	0.68

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Allen Crabbe	41	39	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-10	15	13.1	14.3	-1.23	13.4	13.0	0.35
Vince Carter	47	47	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.21	10	-15	25	12.7	14.8	-2.14	13.0	13.3	-0.29
Bruno Fernando	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.00	-1	-4	3	14.0	13.9	0.13	14.0	13.1	0.90
Kevin Huerter	52	50	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	-2	-1	14.8	13.0	1.88	13.0	13.3	-0.27
Damian Jones	49	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	1	-7	14.9	13.1	1.81	12.5	13.6	-1.13
Alex Len	51	53	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-8	11	12.9	14.7	-1.83	13.8	12.5	1.23
Trae Young	83	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	0	-5	13.9	14.0	-0.10	12.6	15.2	-2.57
Cam Reddish	63	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-2	-1	13.4	14.6	-1.17	14.7	10.9	3.78
Jabari Parker	59	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.11	-13	8	-21	15.0	12.5	2.58	13.1	13.2	-0.13
De'Andre Hunter	83	83	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.34	-12	7	-19	13.9	13.8	0.06	12.6	15.3	-2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.4,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.25,0.31,0.26,0.22,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 90, ATL 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0	93.4%
PHX 110, BOS 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.04,0	93.0%
LAL 96, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.34,0.37,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.06,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.05,0	92.7%