NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	110		Excitement	6.6 [461]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +34.4%
Boston Celtics	103		Comeback	1.3 [165]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -13.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.34	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.25	0.12	0.03	16	79%	0.40	2	-0.05	11	73%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	13	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.03
Channing Frye	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	7	50%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	-0.00	-0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Lou Amundson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	11	62%	0.12	6	-0.16	4	75%	-0.01
Earl Clark	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.02	20	65%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.00	11	73%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	6	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.05
J.R. Giddens	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	60%	0.08	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	12	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.09
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	12	33%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	15	44%	-0.04	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	33.2	15.0	26.3	2.6	37.3	139.4
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +40.5%

PHX +18.7%

BOS -5.0%

BOS -9.1%

PHX +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	BOS	NBA	PHX	BOS	NBA
this game	14.6	15.1	15.3	112.2	107.3	106.0
season	14.4	15.5		113.5	105.7
opponent	15.7	15.5		102.1	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	13.9	14.0	17.3	14.6
BOS	14.6	14.9	15.5	15.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	80	79	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.33	7	0	7	14.3	15.9	-1.64	14.6	17.4	-2.82
Jared Dudley	59	58	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-7	21	14.3	15.0	-0.70	17.2	11.8	5.43
Channing Frye	78	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.33	5	2	3	14.5	15.1	-0.63	14.6	17.2	-2.64
Goran Dragic	27	29	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.02	12	-5	17	15.9	14.1	1.78	16.9	14.3	2.53
Lou Amundson	33	32	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.07	10	-3	13	15.5	14.1	1.38	17.5	13.9	3.66
Earl Clark	13	13	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	0	7	15.1	14.5	0.55	16.5	14.9	1.58
Grant Hill	54	52	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.18	-4	11	-15	14.7	14.5	0.27	13.0	17.5	-4.48
Steve Nash	76	71	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	14	-21	14.2	15.9	-1.63	14.6	16.6	-1.98
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	69	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.26	-9	16	-25	14.6	14.6	0.04	14.4	16.9	-2.50

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Garnett	71	75	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.27	9	-16	25	14.3	17.4	-3.06	14.3	15.7	-1.49
Kendrick Perkins	54	56	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-6	5	14.1	16.3	-2.16	13.0	16.7	-3.65
Rajon Rondo	76	80	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.24	4	-11	15	14.1	18.7	-4.56	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Ray Allen	62	66	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.32	3	-10	13	14.1	16.8	-2.68	15.1	13.6	1.54
Paul Pierce	84	86	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.27	-2	-5	3	15.0	15.9	-0.94	14.2	17.3	-3.11
Eddie House	21	19	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	5	-17	18.2	14.2	3.96	15.1	14.5	0.56
Shelden Williams	23	21	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.02	-14	7	-21	17.4	14.4	3.08	15.7	14.3	1.35
Rasheed Wallace	44	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.20	-8	1	-9	16.3	14.1	2.26	16.7	12.9	3.77
Marquis Daniels	45	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	7	-21	16.8	13.6	3.17	14.9	14.3	0.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.26,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 100, MIA 91	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.22,0.3,0.33,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0	93.4%
LAL 104, CLE 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.2%
TOR 90, CHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.18,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.09,0.13,0.14,0.07,0.03,0.02,0	93.0%