inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Los Angeles Lakers 104 Excitement6.3 [557] MVPShaquille O'Neal (LAL): +11.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 97 Comeback1.1 [1143] LVPAndre Miller (CLE): -31.2%


Los Angeles Lakers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal0.110,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.040.06-0.012555%0.152-0.03683%0.03
Devean George0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.030.00475%0.0800.0000%0.00
Kobe Bryant0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.010.06-0.022454%0.122-0.061155%-0.04
Rick Fox0.060,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.040.030.00856%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jelani McCoy0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.000.02-0.03250%0.0500.0000%0.00
Slava Medvedenko0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.00-0.01267%0.0300.002100%0.01
Robert Horry0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.000.01375%0.0200.002100%0.01
Derek Fisher0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.010.03-0.00944%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Brian Shaw0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.000.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Mark Madsen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.00240%-0.0100.0010%-0.02
Lindsey Hunter-0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.00520%-0.0600.0000%0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.10.100.090.020.011268%0.1000.00475%-0.01
Lamond Murray0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.060.030.011368%0.132-0.05887%0.03
Wesley Person0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.02-0.03850%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Jumaine Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.020.020.00367%0.0400.0000%0.00
Michael Doleac0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.01-0.00360%0.0200.004100%0.03
DeSagana Diop00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Mihm0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.01-0.020.01956%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.04-0.021142%-0.0600.00425%-0.05
Tyrone Hill0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23-0.23-0.15-0.09-0.00719%-0.133-0.10250%-0.01
Andre Miller0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31-0.31-0.23-0.080.001243%-0.049-0.27683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.827.114.725.01.731.2127.0
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAL +37.3%
LAL +3.5%
CLE -32.5%
LAL +38.3%
LAL +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsLALCLENBALALCLENBA
this game16.615.415.6116.9106.6102.3
season15.315.8106.9102.6
opponent15.515.4106.299.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
LAL16.515.817.517.016.6
CLE14.813.217.616.515.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Derek Fisher50500.54-0.040.580.279-21116.117.4-1.2815.215.5-0.30
Devean George46450.51-0.010.510.3361515.917.4-1.4615.115.7-0.56
Kobe Bryant73750.480.020.470.2870716.915.51.3915.713.91.82
Mark Madsen35340.420.080.340.159-21115.617.3-1.7615.115.5-0.46
Shaquille O'Neal66690.190.31-0.110.1134-117.015.61.4515.913.62.29
Slava Medvedenko12130.140.36-0.22-0.0152314.716.9-2.2812.515.9-3.40
Jelani McCoy870.110.39-0.280.0816-517.116.60.5318.615.13.46
Robert Horry54560.090.41-0.330.14-29-1117.315.61.7615.814.71.16
Brian Shaw17170.070.43-0.360.0125-315.117.0-1.8813.115.9-2.85
Rick Fox4547-0.010.51-0.510.08-310-1317.415.81.5815.515.20.24
Lindsey Hunter3942-0.040.54-0.580.02-29-1117.416.11.2815.215.6-0.38

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Mihm34340.04-0.540.57-0.053-101316.714.62.1317.915.82.10
DeSagana Diop12-0.00-0.500.50-0.124-11158.015.5-7.4618.016.61.39
Wesley Person6360-0.17-0.330.15-0.14-1-6515.614.80.8517.215.41.77
Tyrone Hill5655-0.21-0.290.07-0.12-3-4116.214.02.2816.716.60.13
Lamond Murray6260-0.22-0.280.06-0.13-3-4115.415.30.1417.015.91.15
Michael Doleac3232-0.26-0.24-0.03-0.09-6-1-515.215.5-0.2916.216.9-0.61
Jumaine Jones3029-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.08-103-1312.916.6-3.6415.817.0-1.21
Andre Miller8482-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.28-4-3-115.612.72.8816.913.13.80
Ricky Davis4343-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.24-70-715.315.5-0.2215.717.5-1.87
Zydrunas Ilgauskas5048-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.21-81-914.616.4-1.8115.518.0-2.43


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.39,0.25,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.45,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.03,0.01,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 92, MEM 880.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.37,0.31,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.41,0.4,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,094.4%
NYK 93, WAS 790.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,093.8%
DET 93, MIL 840.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.3,0.33,0.3,0.38,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.01,0,093.8%