NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	90		Excitement	6.6 [511]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +28.8%
Atlanta Hawks	83		Comeback	1.1 [1067]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -20.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.29	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.29,0.29	0.11	0.19	0.01	18	64%	0.36	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	4	62%	0.10	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.10	3	-0.08	7	57%	-0.04
Jordan Farmar	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Evans	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Smush Parker	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.00	-0.00	8	19%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.15	-0.07	-0.01	17	36%	-0.09	4	-0.12	8	87%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	0.01	7	70%	0.16	0	0.00	6	100%	0.05
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.02	0.01	16	54%	0.12	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.02
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	4	61%	0.01	0	0.00	10	60%	-0.08
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	0.02	8	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Speedy Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.14	-0.03	-0.01	6	0%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.16,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	26	44%	-0.02	6	-0.13	9	56%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.4	32.3	15.6	29.4	2.6	35.0	144.9
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.2%

ATL -2.4%

LAL +12.8%

ATL -7.6%

ATL -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	16.1	15.9	15.4	100.0	92.2	104.5
season	15.3	16.1		106.3	101.1
opponent	15.3	14.9		106.1	107.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.4	14.1	16.8	20.0	16.1
ATL	13.8	15.9	18.4	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lamar Odom	78	78	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.20	12	-5	17	16.2	15.7	0.51	15.9	15.5	0.45
Maurice Evans	53	53	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	2	3	17.0	14.8	2.25	15.2	16.8	-1.57
Kobe Bryant	78	78	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	3	1	15.5	19.9	-4.39	15.7	16.8	-1.09
Andrew Bynum	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	0	7	16.2	15.8	0.38	16.4	14.5	1.95
Smush Parker	58	57	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.17	7	0	7	15.6	17.1	-1.52	16.4	15.0	1.36
Jordan Farmar	32	33	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	7	-7	17.1	15.6	1.52	15.0	16.4	-1.36
Ronny Turiaf	23	23	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.02	3	4	-1	16.5	16.0	0.55	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Sasha Vujacic	13	14	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	6	-5	20.2	15.4	4.82	16.9	15.7	1.23
Vladimir Radmanovic	50	49	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	11	-15	14.5	18.1	-3.53	16.0	15.8	0.24

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royal Ivey	4	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-7	7	14.2	16.0	-1.72	8.3	16.4	-8.05
Shelden Williams	14	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-6	5	14.1	16.2	-2.07	14.5	16.4	-1.93
Marvin Williams	41	41	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.02	-4	-3	-1	16.4	15.4	1.01	14.4	17.5	-3.12
Speedy Claxton	36	36	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.09	-2	-5	3	15.6	16.1	-0.51	17.3	15.3	2.04
Lorenzen Wright	29	29	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	0	-7	17.3	15.2	2.10	13.7	17.3	-3.62
Zaza Pachulia	46	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-5	3	15.8	16.0	-0.22	18.5	13.6	4.84
Tyronn Lue	47	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-3	-1	16.0	15.8	0.23	15.5	16.8	-1.27
Joe Johnson	86	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.39	0	-7	7	15.9	15.2	0.67	16.4	11.2	5.20
Josh Childress	64	64	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.29	-5	-2	-3	15.5	16.9	-1.40	16.8	14.4	2.37
Josh Smith	83	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.24	-10	3	-13	15.9	15.7	0.19	16.0	17.3	-1.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.27,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.17,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, WAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.39,0.45,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.29,0.22,0.24,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.17,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0	94.5%
NOH 95, MIN 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.32,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.37,0.21,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0	93.7%
VAN 101, NJN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.31,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.18,0.24,0.07,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	93.7%