NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	104		Excitement	9.6 [112]		MVP	Doug McDermott (IND): +12.4%
New York Knicks	103		Comeback	1.8 [771]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -31.9%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Doug McDermott	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	11	70%	0.17	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	19	60%	0.17	1	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
Justin Holiday	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	70%	0.17	5	-0.16	5	60%	-0.01
Goga Bitadze	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	15	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Aaron Holiday	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Myles Turner	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	8	44%	-0.02	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.02	-0.00	9	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.23,0.17,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.15	-0.07	0.04	17	68%	0.08	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Bobby Portis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damyean Dotson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	11	45%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	7	56%	-0.03	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Frank Ntilikina	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	5	8%	-0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	11	43%	-0.08	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.04
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.3,-0.32	-0.32	-0.07	-0.23	0.01	18	38%	-0.29	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.30

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.7	25.0	15.6	24.9	1.8	31.1	124.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +85.5%

IND +6.6%

NYK -17.0%

NYK -27.8%

IND +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NYK	NBA	IND	NYK	NBA
this game	14.8	14.0	14.2	104.0	103.0	109.6
season	14.4	14.5		108.7	105.4
opponent	14.4	14.4		111.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	14.3	14.6	15.1	15.4	14.8
NYK	13.4	13.1	13.7	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	65	64	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.46	2	-1	3	15.1	14.3	0.75	14.3	13.3	1.04
Domantas Sabonis	77	79	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.44	-2	3	-5	15.3	13.3	1.98	14.3	12.9	1.41
T.J. Warren	77	79	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.31	2	-1	3	14.9	14.7	0.23	14.3	12.6	1.71
Jeremy Lamb	71	70	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.42	-2	3	-5	15.1	14.3	0.78	14.4	12.9	1.53
Aaron Holiday	56	56	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	6	-11	15.7	13.7	1.97	14.6	13.2	1.33
Justin Holiday	47	46	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	-7	15	13.5	16.0	-2.45	13.1	14.7	-1.68
Doug McDermott	42	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	-2	5	14.8	14.9	-0.08	13.2	14.5	-1.26
T.J. McConnell	44	44	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	-5	11	13.7	15.7	-1.97	13.2	14.6	-1.33
Goga Bitadze	21	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.05	-7	8	-15	14.4	14.9	-0.57	12.2	14.4	-2.21

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Morris Sr.	66	68	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.40	14	-15	29	14.5	12.9	1.60	15.3	13.7	1.59
Taj Gibson	32	32	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.06	1	-2	3	14.3	13.8	0.55	15.2	14.7	0.53
Elfrid Payton	34	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.39	11	-12	23	14.7	13.6	1.07	15.2	14.6	0.53
Frank Ntilikina	41	40	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	1	-3	13.7	14.2	-0.49	15.0	14.7	0.24
RJ Barrett	73	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.39	9	-10	19	14.4	12.7	1.73	14.9	14.5	0.43
Julius Randle	72	74	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.43	10	-11	21	14.4	12.9	1.45	15.2	13.7	1.54
Dennis Smith Jr.	25	24	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.05	-10	9	-19	13.5	14.1	-0.65	14.1	15.1	-0.98
Kevin Knox II	31	29	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.06	-10	9	-19	13.2	14.3	-1.17	13.9	15.2	-1.36
Bobby Portis	41	40	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	8	-17	12.6	14.9	-2.26	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Damyean Dotson	33	31	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	10	-21	12.4	14.7	-2.31	14.5	15.0	-0.45
Mitchell Robinson	52	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.35	-8	7	-15	14.3	13.6	0.78	14.6	15.1	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.49,0.53,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.56,0.48,0.37,0.29,0.19,0.1,0.21,0.14,0.32,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, MIN 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.17,0.15,0	92.6%
HOU 97, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0	92.0%
HOU 100, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0	91.9%