NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	6.6 [509]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +26.2%
Charlotte Bobcats	89		Comeback	1.4 [907]		LVP	Gary Neal (CHA): -18.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.15	0.04	19	69%	0.33	3	-0.07	7	71%	-0.02
Jeremy Lin	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	6	71%	0.08	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Jordan Hamilton	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.03	0.01	15	58%	0.06	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Donatas Motiejunas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	11	42%	0.03	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	10	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.06	0.01	9	45%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.05

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	5	83%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	46%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	17	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	10	52%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	47%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	13	46%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.12,-0.15,-0.13,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.01	-0.12	0.03	19	50%	-0.04	3	-0.12	6	100%	0.04
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.15	-0.04	-0.01	8	0%	-0.14	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	28.3	15.4	25.5	2.3	29.7	127.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +74.3%

CHA -18.3%

CHA -8.4%

CHA -1.0%

HOU +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHA	NBA	HOU	CHA	NBA
this game	15.7	17.0	15.1	113.6	101.1	105.2
season	14.3	15.7		109.5	102.4
opponent	15.1	15.2		103.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.6	15.2	14.9	16.0	15.7
CHA	16.1	19.0	17.1	16.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donatas Motiejunas	33	34	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.05	16	-5	21	12.2	17.8	-5.65	16.5	17.4	-0.94
James Harden	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.15	10	1	9	16.0	14.3	1.72	17.0	17.3	-0.33
Omer Asik	32	31	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.11	10	1	9	12.7	17.4	-4.66	16.3	17.5	-1.17
Patrick Beverley	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.03	11	0	11	16.8	13.3	3.54	18.4	14.3	4.11
Jeremy Lin	40	40	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	5	1	13.4	17.6	-4.14	15.9	18.0	-2.05
Jordan Hamilton	26	27	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.10	4	7	-3	13.4	16.6	-3.21	15.8	17.6	-1.78
Chandler Parsons	68	67	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	9	-7	16.5	12.8	3.66	17.1	17.0	0.06
Dwight Howard	56	57	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.07	1	10	-9	17.4	12.7	4.66	17.5	16.3	1.17
Terrence Jones	55	54	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.12	-5	16	-21	17.8	12.2	5.65	17.4	16.5	0.94

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	42	41	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.05	3	-14	17	17.6	16.5	1.10	17.5	14.1	3.34
Kemba Walker	69	69	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.13	0	-11	11	17.0	17.4	-0.41	16.9	11.4	5.43
Bismack Biyombo	10	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.03	-6	-5	-1	20.7	16.6	4.12	13.7	16.0	-2.23
Josh McRoberts	60	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	17.9	15.2	2.69	16.4	14.1	2.32
Gary Neal	30	28	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.03	-7	-4	-3	16.4	17.4	-0.93	13.0	16.9	-3.99
Gerald Henderson	55	56	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-7	3	17.4	16.5	0.90	17.0	13.3	3.67
Cody Zeller	28	27	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-3	-5	15.2	17.9	-2.69	14.1	16.4	-2.32
Al Jefferson	78	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.21	-5	-6	1	16.6	20.7	-4.12	16.0	13.7	2.23
Luke Ridnour	19	19	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.05	-11	0	-11	17.4	17.0	0.41	11.4	16.9	-5.43
Chris Douglas-Roberts	49	51	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.15	-14	3	-17	16.6	17.7	-1.12	14.3	17.6	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	94.7%
DAL 94, MEM 85	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	94.4%
MIA 109, CHA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.3%