NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	6.3 [545]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +7.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	85		Comeback	1.7 [889]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -20.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07	-0.06	0.10	-0.03	18	52%	0.13	3	-0.06	10	60%	-0.04
Juwan Howard	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.01	0.03	23	67%	0.15	3	-0.09	8	50%	-0.05
Donnell Harvey	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Evan Eschmeyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	13	43%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Danny Manning	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Shawn Bradley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.01	-0.02	13	26%	-0.11	4	-0.10	5	80%	-0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	-0.04	9	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Dickerson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	10	15%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	17	52%	0.02	5	-0.17	6	83%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.06	0.04	21	56%	-0.01	5	-0.15	17	76%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.7	2.4	30.3	17.3	30.8	1.8	33.4	141.7
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +56.5%

MEM -16.1%

MEM -16.3%

DAL +19.9%

DAL +6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	MEM	NBA	DAL	MEM	NBA
this game	13.7	14.9	15.6	93.1	85.0	102.3
season	14.8	15.7		109.6	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.5		103.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	12.5	11.6	15.3	15.7	13.7
MEM	13.7	18.4	14.1	13.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Hardaway	59	59	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-9	27	13.4	14.2	-0.73	15.7	13.9	1.81
Michael Finley	89	87	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.18	12	-3	15	14.5	8.1	6.42	14.3	18.9	-4.60
Donnell Harvey	37	38	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-3	15	14.8	13.1	1.64	15.9	14.3	1.66
Danny Manning	74	73	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	7	-5	13.2	15.3	-2.07	15.2	14.3	0.85
Evan Eschmeyer	19	19	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.14	4	5	-1	13.1	13.9	-0.78	13.6	15.2	-1.59
Juwan Howard	90	89	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.18	2	7	-5	14.1	11.1	2.98	14.6	17.2	-2.54
Shawn Bradley	62	62	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.04	3	6	-3	13.0	14.9	-1.88	15.0	14.7	0.30
Steve Nash	75	73	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.20	-8	17	-25	13.5	14.5	-1.02	14.8	15.1	-0.26

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	87	88	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-14	19	14.6	17.2	-2.66	13.9	12.8	1.03
Jason Williams	80	81	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.22	6	-15	21	14.7	15.7	-0.97	13.0	16.5	-3.50
Michael Dickerson	66	67	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-10	11	15.2	14.4	0.73	13.1	15.0	-1.90
Stromile Swift	65	64	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.15	2	-11	13	15.6	13.6	2.03	13.4	14.4	-0.96
Tony Massenburg	7	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	-5	1	19.1	14.6	4.54	15.2	13.7	1.51
Grant Long	10	10	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.08	-10	1	-11	17.6	14.6	2.98	12.0	13.9	-1.93
Lorenzen Wright	93	95	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.25	-5	-4	-1	14.6	19.1	-4.54	13.7	15.2	-1.51
Pau Gasol	35	37	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	2	-13	13.6	15.6	-2.03	14.4	13.4	0.96
Brevin Knight	20	20	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.01	-15	6	-21	15.7	14.7	0.97	16.5	13.0	3.50
Nick Anderson	37	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.09	-14	5	-19	14.6	15.1	-0.56	15.1	13.0	2.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.32,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 100, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.48,0.32,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0	94.4%
SAS 91, MIN 85	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.04,0	94.2%
POR 115, PHX 110	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.41,0.33,0.27,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.15,0	94.1%