NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	6.2 [604]		MVP	Jim Jackson (HOU): +11.2%
Portland Trail Blazers	93		Comeback	1.7 [347]		LVP	Derek Anderson (POR): -13.5%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jim Jackson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11	0.07	0.06	0.01	9	71%	0.13	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.03
Bostjan Nachbar	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	2	150%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	11	70%	0.16	4	-0.08	5	100%	0.04
Dikembe Mutombo	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.02	-0.00	10	60%	0.07	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Tyronn Lue	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	9	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0	-0.10	0.05	-0.06	15	43%	0.10	3	-0.09	7	71%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	11	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	0.00	22	56%	0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.04
Darius Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	11	57%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Theo Ratliff	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	1	75%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	17	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	6	56%	-0.04	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	5	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.05	0.01	12	36%	-0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.8	28.2	20.4	23.0	1.5	37.5	136.5
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.7%

HOU +0.1%

HOU +4.3%

POR -6.4%

HOU +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	POR	NBA	HOU	POR	NBA
this game	18.3	17.3	15.5	118.3	116.3	104.0
season	16.0	15.8		104.2	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.8		105.4	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	17.4	17.0	19.3	19.6	18.3
POR	16.9	16.5	19.6	16.4	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	76	74	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.29	8	-4	12	18.3	17.2	1.18	17.4	16.2	1.21
Dikembe Mutombo	36	36	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.03	14	-10	24	19.4	17.4	1.97	16.7	17.8	-1.08
Maurice Taylor	54	52	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.29	5	-1	6	17.1	20.4	-3.30	17.8	16.3	1.54
Jim Jackson	61	60	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	5	-6	18.0	19.0	-1.06	18.0	15.2	2.78
Tyronn Lue	50	49	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	0	4	17.7	19.1	-1.37	15.9	19.5	-3.59
Charlie Ward	32	31	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.17	0	4	-4	19.1	17.7	1.37	19.5	15.9	3.59
Bostjan Nachbar	26	25	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	1	2	19.1	17.9	1.26	15.2	18.2	-3.04
Yao Ming	45	44	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.38	-8	12	-20	17.6	19.0	-1.36	17.8	16.7	1.08
Juwan Howard	28	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.09	-1	5	-6	20.4	17.1	3.30	16.3	17.8	-1.54
Ryan Bowen	1	1	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	6	-8	6.0	18.4	-12.41	21.0	17.2	3.76
Scott Padgett	1	0	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.03	-2	6	-8	6.0	18.4	-12.41	0.0	17.3	-17.29

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ruben Patterson	16	15	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.04	4	-8	12	15.7	17.7	-2.00	23.0	17.2	5.81
Theo Ratliff	49	49	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.31	8	-12	20	17.1	17.6	-0.53	18.1	18.5	-0.48
Derek Anderson	65	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.38	3	-7	10	17.5	16.4	1.09	18.1	18.9	-0.81
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	66	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-3	2	16.8	19.8	-3.03	17.4	22.5	-5.09
Damon Stoudamire	61	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.33	1	-5	6	17.7	15.9	1.83	17.5	20.9	-3.37
Darius Miles	33	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.14	-7	3	-10	17.4	17.2	0.18	19.7	17.3	2.46
Nick Van Exel	34	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	6	-16	16.1	18.2	-2.03	18.9	17.8	1.07
Joel Przybilla	11	11	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	6	-16	20.2	16.8	3.36	19.3	18.1	1.17
Zach Randolph	65	67	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.31	-8	4	-12	17.8	14.9	2.90	17.8	20.3	-2.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.53,0.61,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.13,0.22,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 100, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.39,0.4,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.35,0.45,0.31,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	94.1%
MIN 112, DEN 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.37,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.17,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.22,0.12,0.17,0.07,0.01,0.03,0,0	94.0%
PHI 114, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.18,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.26,0.2,0.03,0.07,0.11,0,0,0	93.7%