NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	104		Excitement	10.6 [59]		MVP	Trae Young (ATL): +38.6%
Indiana Pacers	105		Comeback	7.8 [517]		LVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): -35.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trae Young	0.39	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.53,0.45,0.34,0.46,0.39,0.39	0.20	0.26	0.08	28	75%	0.72	9	-0.34	9	100%	0.08
DeAndre' Bembry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.00	13	56%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.02	8	68%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	-0.04
Bruno Fernando	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damian Jones	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	6	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allen Crabbe	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Reddish	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Jabari Parker	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.13	-0.01	8	22%	-0.17	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
De'Andre Hunter	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.10	-0.25	0.00	8	44%	-0.10	5	-0.26	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.07	0.24	0.02	11	57%	0.29	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	15	62%	0.22	1	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.06	0.00	8	50%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	11	57%	0.22	2	-0.18	8	62%	0.04
Goga Bitadze	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	7	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	14	47%	0.09	2	-0.13	8	62%	-0.02
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Brogdon	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.29,-0.29,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.31	-0.31	-0.09	-0.21	0.01	15	47%	-0.13	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	29.4	15.3	25.6	1.8	31.1	2.5	14.2	146.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +31.2%

ATL -3.6%

IND +14.0%

IND +5.1%

IND +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	14.6	14.0	14.2	94.5	92.9	109.6
season	13.8	14.4		106.6	108.7
opponent	14.4	14.0		107.4	113.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	13.4	13.6	16.5	15.9	12.4	14.6
IND	12.3	14.0	14.8	14.1	16.0	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Andre Hunter	71	72	0.33	-0.83	1.17	0.01	11	-12	23	15.3	13.2	2.09	14.9	12.4	2.48
Damian Jones	41	44	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.09	10	-11	21	15.0	14.3	0.79	14.9	13.4	1.50
Cam Reddish	26	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.18	-7	6	-13	15.0	14.4	0.63	11.8	14.7	-2.84
Bruno Fernando	31	31	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	1	-3	13.7	14.9	-1.22	14.0	14.0	0.08
Alex Len	61	61	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.36	5	-6	11	14.8	14.2	0.56	13.6	14.4	-0.80
Jabari Parker	64	64	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	9	-19	14.9	14.1	0.84	14.7	13.0	1.75
DeAndre' Bembry	83	86	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.62	13	-14	27	14.1	16.0	-1.87	14.3	12.9	1.43
Evan Turner	31	30	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	6	-13	14.1	14.7	-0.64	11.7	14.8	-3.05
Allen Crabbe	23	23	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.00	-13	12	-25	14.6	14.5	0.07	12.0	14.5	-2.42
Trae Young	86	90	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-2	3	14.6	14.2	0.39	14.6	11.7	2.91
Vince Carter	23	26	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.46	-5	4	-9	13.2	14.9	-1.69	11.3	14.8	-3.41

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	78	76	1.16	-0.66	1.82	0.63	18	-17	35	14.4	12.9	1.53	15.4	12.7	2.68
Malcolm Brogdon	81	78	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.39	8	-7	15	14.7	12.2	2.54	15.1	13.2	1.97
T.J. Warren	71	69	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.30	11	-10	21	14.5	13.1	1.36	15.3	13.3	1.97
Jeremy Lamb	84	82	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.41	5	-4	9	14.6	12.2	2.38	14.7	14.1	0.60
Domantas Sabonis	85	83	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.19	4	-3	7	15.0	10.8	4.24	15.2	12.6	2.55
Justin Holiday	53	53	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.34	-5	6	-11	12.7	15.1	-2.37	13.6	15.5	-1.91
Aaron Holiday	33	32	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.06	-4	5	-9	11.9	14.8	-2.87	14.1	14.7	-0.65
Goga Bitadze	13	11	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.07	-6	7	-13	10.7	14.4	-3.71	10.2	15.0	-4.86
T.J. McConnell	32	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.08	-7	8	-15	12.2	14.7	-2.54	13.2	15.1	-1.97
Doug McDermott	35	34	-0.67	1.17	-1.85	-0.12	-19	20	-39	12.9	14.4	-1.53	12.7	15.4	-2.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.33,0.3,0.22,0.21,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.23,0.28,0.34,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.64,0.78,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.74,0.76,0.47,0.68,0.46,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.8,0.85,0.78,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, NOK 103	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.22,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.79,0.89,0.85,0.54,0.68,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	89.0%
CLE 109, MEM 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.41,0.37,0.28,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.66,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.39,0.45,0.63,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.69,0.63,0.78,0.58,1	87.5%
CHI 103, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	87.3%