NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	11.1 [25]		MVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): +39.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	106		Comeback	3.3 [381]		LVP	Luol Deng (CHI): -29.5%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.13	0.06	0.09	0.03	10	71%	0.20	3	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Brad Miller	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	6	53%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.19,0.1,0.17,0.06,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.08	0.00	22	56%	0.35	4	-0.25	10	90%	0.09
Tyrus Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	67%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.05
Kirk Hinrich	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.02,0.02,0	0.03	-0.04	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Taj Gibson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.06	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.30	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.23,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.05	-0.24	0.00	17	50%	-0.12	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.35,0.4	0.40	0.05	0.31	-0.04	19	56%	0.48	2	-0.08	7	29%	-0.18
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.13	-0.00	11	54%	0.18	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.03
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.08	0.00	1	150%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	9	68%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.01
Rodney Carney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	7	14%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	0.04	-0.23	0.02	22	57%	-0.07	3	-0.15	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.1	2.0	26.6	16.0	23.0	1.7	38.2	1.5	19.2	154.2
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	2.0	39.8	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +59.4%

CHI -18.9%

CHI -6.9%

PHI +24.5%

CHI -8.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	PHI	NBA	CHI	PHI	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	15.3	98.1	102.9	106.0
season	14.7	15.1		101.9	104.2
opponent	15.8	15.7		108.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
CHI	15.0	15.4	16.2	14.6	9.5	14.6
PHI	14.4	16.6	15.1	18.1	16.1	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brad Miller	54	54	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.27	9	-12	21	14.7	14.5	0.21	16.6	15.3	1.26
John Salmons	71	72	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.28	9	-12	21	14.0	15.8	-1.75	15.9	16.2	-0.31
Joakim Noah	53	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	3	-9	15.6	13.6	1.99	16.4	15.6	0.80
Taj Gibson	30	30	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	4	-11	15.8	14.1	1.66	15.5	16.2	-0.72
Tyrus Thomas	32	34	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.08	-4	1	-5	14.7	14.5	0.24	13.7	17.1	-3.44
Devin Brown	23	23	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.07	-5	2	-7	14.8	14.5	0.26	12.7	17.0	-4.32
Derrick Rose	82	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.35	2	-5	7	14.5	14.8	-0.26	17.0	12.7	4.32
Luol Deng	78	75	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	2	-7	14.7	14.3	0.43	16.6	14.4	2.22
Kirk Hinrich	89	86	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.42	-5	2	-7	14.6	14.6	-0.05	16.0	15.9	0.08

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	91	93	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.35	11	-8	19	15.9	17.2	-1.31	14.6	14.5	0.09
Samuel Dalembert	56	59	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.47	4	-1	5	16.8	15.1	1.70	14.3	15.0	-0.67
Willie Green	65	66	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.26	6	-3	9	16.6	15.0	1.56	14.8	14.2	0.60
Lou Williams	65	66	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.50	-4	7	-11	16.0	16.0	-0.03	13.6	16.2	-2.58
Elton Brand	71	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.25	4	-1	5	17.5	12.8	4.68	14.8	14.0	0.85
Marreese Speights	30	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.03	4	-1	5	13.5	17.0	-3.49	14.0	14.8	-0.78
Royal Ivey	15	15	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.15	-1	4	-5	14.7	16.2	-1.57	14.2	14.6	-0.44
Jrue Holiday	58	59	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.02	2	1	1	15.8	16.3	-0.50	15.6	13.3	2.31
Thaddeus Young	46	45	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	4	-5	15.0	16.8	-1.75	15.2	14.1	1.04
Rodney Carney	18	19	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	13	-23	15.0	16.2	-1.22	13.6	14.8	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 74, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.99,1	91.5%
MIA 89, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1	90.4%
ATL 86, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.75,0.55,0.45,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.77,0.67,0.85,1	90.3%