NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	86		Excitement	10.9 [33]		MVP	Zaza Pachulia (ATL): +12.7%
Boston Celtics	88		Comeback	3.6 [353]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -60.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zaza Pachulia	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.01	8	57%	0.13	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.09
Kirk Hinrich	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	45%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Ivan Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,0.02,0.08,0,0,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.01	12	75%	0.20	5	-0.21	4	100%	0.05
Tracy McGrady	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Willie Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	7	29%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.06	-0.14	0.00	4	0%	-0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.23	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.16,-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	0.00	17	36%	-0.13	2	-0.10	5	80%	0.02
Josh Smith	-0.60	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.36,-0.6	-0.08	-0.51	0.01	19	50%	-0.22	6	-0.39	2	50%	-0.05

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.11	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	17	58%	0.15	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	7	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.01	20	50%	-0.02	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.08	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.31,-0.37,-0.37	-0.37	-0.23	-0.16	-0.02	16	28%	-0.19	6	-0.18	4	100%	0.03
Paul Pierce	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.27,-0.27,-0.41,-0.41,-0.34,-0.42,-0.42,-0.49	-0.49	-0.13	-0.35	0.01	19	36%	-0.30	4	-0.19	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	31.2	15.4	23.4	2.5	36.2	1.6	20.0	154.9
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +18.4%

ATL -7.7%

BOS +62.4%

ATL -32.8%

BOS +9.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	15.0	15.9	15.6	83.5	85.4	102.8
season	15.7	15.5		102.5	99.4
opponent	16.2	15.9		97.1	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
ATL	14.8	14.2	15.8	13.2	21.4	15.0
BOS	14.0	14.6	16.2	19.9	14.3	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	73	72	0.18	-0.68	0.86	0.12	2	-4	6	13.9	17.7	-3.74	15.9	15.8	0.02
Kirk Hinrich	47	48	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.26	13	-15	28	13.7	16.1	-2.34	14.7	16.8	-2.07
Zaza Pachulia	79	79	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.37	15	-17	32	13.9	18.6	-4.65	16.2	14.7	1.55
Josh Smith	84	83	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.41	9	-11	20	14.3	18.2	-3.85	16.1	14.7	1.37
Joe Johnson	84	85	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.38	7	-9	16	14.1	19.2	-5.14	15.9	15.8	0.09
Jannero Pargo	16	16	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.22	-1	-1	0	18.2	14.4	3.75	18.4	15.4	2.98
Tracy McGrady	27	28	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	6	-14	16.2	14.6	1.63	14.7	16.3	-1.61
Willie Green	18	18	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.03	-11	9	-20	19.4	14.1	5.29	15.8	15.9	-0.09
Ivan Johnson	24	24	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	15	-32	18.6	13.9	4.65	14.7	16.2	-1.55
Marvin Williams	55	53	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.16	-17	15	-32	16.2	13.6	2.57	16.5	15.1	1.43

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mickael Pietrus	54	52	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-9	20	16.5	15.1	1.43	16.7	13.3	3.34
Rajon Rondo	92	93	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.40	6	-4	10	15.7	17.4	-1.69	14.6	18.6	-3.97
Brandon Bass	85	85	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	0	2	15.3	18.3	-2.94	14.7	16.6	-1.93
Sasha Pavlovic	25	25	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.01	12	-10	22	15.8	15.9	-0.02	17.4	14.2	3.20
Kevin Garnett	63	65	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.21	0	2	-2	16.7	14.5	2.21	14.7	15.6	-0.97
Paul Pierce	81	81	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.44	-9	11	-20	15.8	16.0	-0.13	14.4	17.2	-2.81
Greg Stiemsma	46	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.05	0	2	-2	16.2	15.6	0.54	15.2	14.9	0.24
Avery Bradley	62	62	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.40	-13	15	-28	15.3	16.7	-1.34	14.1	16.4	-2.28
Keyon Dooling	7	6	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	1	0	14.6	15.9	-1.38	21.7	14.6	7.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.75,0.55,0.45,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.77,0.67,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 95, MIN 100	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.43,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.42,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.73,0.46,0.61,0.71,0.78,0.91,1	90.4%
CHI 103, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	90.3%
SAS 74, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.99,1	90.3%