NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	89		Excitement	11.4 [18]		MVP	Mario Chalmers (MIA): +18.6%
Los Angeles Clippers	95		Comeback	3.0 [194]		LVP	LeBron James (MIA): -48.3%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Chalmers	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.23,0.19	0.09	0.11	0.02	13	64%	0.21	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Udonis Haslem	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	60%	0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Joel Anthony	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16	-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	17	40%	-0.11	2	-0.04	8	62%	-0.07
Norris Cole	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-0.00	5	8%	-0.12	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Bosh	-0.24	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24	-0.08	-0.20	-0.04	16	43%	-0.10	3	-0.14	5	60%	-0.08
LeBron James	-0.48	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48	-0.15	-0.33	-0.01	19	42%	-0.14	6	-0.34	17	53%	-0.40

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	11	74%	0.24	2	-0.11	5	100%	0.03
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	-0.08	0.19	-0.00	11	41%	0.29	4	-0.18	7	86%	0.13
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.09	-0.00	0.09	-0.00	5	80%	0.18	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.10	-0.14	-0.01	21	57%	0.05	1	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	0%	-0.03
Blake Griffin	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.18,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	23	40%	-0.14	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.9	3.5	36.2	18.6	27.4	2.7	50.0	2.0	13.8	180.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	1.9	17.4	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +30.8%

LAC +40.7%

MIA -21.2%

LAC +6.5%

MIA -6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	LAC	NBA	MIA	LAC	NBA
this game	13.7	17.2	15.6	88.1	90.5	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		105.6	106.0
opponent	15.7	15.8		104.5	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIA	12.4	12.2	16.9	12.8	14.9	13.7
LAC	17.6	18.3	15.8	17.0	16.6	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	49	52	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.24	-7	1	-8	12.9	14.3	-1.43	15.8	18.5	-2.63
Norris Cole	25	26	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.03	2	-8	10	11.9	14.2	-2.36	18.9	16.6	2.30
Joel Anthony	54	55	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.04	-7	1	-8	14.7	12.5	2.22	17.0	17.3	-0.32
Dwyane Wade	80	84	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-8	10	13.2	15.3	-2.12	17.9	14.0	3.88
Chris Bosh	82	86	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.31	-2	-4	2	13.1	15.9	-2.83	17.9	13.7	4.17
Udonis Haslem	60	60	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	-5	4	14.1	13.0	1.02	16.9	17.5	-0.55
Mario Chalmers	76	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.39	-8	2	-10	14.2	11.9	2.36	16.6	18.9	-2.30
LeBron James	79	83	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.39	-9	3	-12	14.1	12.1	2.00	16.7	18.9	-2.22

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caron Butler	83	79	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.44	10	-4	14	16.9	18.0	-1.01	14.3	11.3	3.04
Chris Paul	89	85	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.32	13	-7	20	16.8	19.2	-2.47	14.1	11.1	3.00
Blake Griffin	79	76	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-3	12	17.4	16.5	0.82	14.4	11.4	2.99
DeAndre Jordan	79	73	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.30	9	-3	12	17.6	15.8	1.79	14.0	12.7	1.35
Chauncey Billups	77	74	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.26	7	-1	8	17.5	16.2	1.28	13.9	12.9	1.09
Mo Williams	43	42	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.13	0	6	-6	16.5	17.6	-1.05	12.5	14.5	-1.93
Brian Cook	9	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.01	-2	8	-10	16.6	17.2	-0.65	9.9	14.1	-4.17
Ryan Gomes	11	11	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	9	-12	18.7	17.0	1.76	11.0	14.0	-2.98
Reggie Evans	42	42	-0.26	0.76	-1.03	-0.15	-4	10	-14	16.4	17.6	-1.21	12.8	14.3	-1.49
Randy Foye	13	13	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	-0.04	-9	15	-24	18.6	16.9	1.67	10.0	14.2	-4.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 102, CLE 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.89,0.98,1	91.2%
MIA 109, TOR 117	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.95,1	91.2%
SAS 74, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.99,1	90.7%