inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 109 Excitement10.3 [85] MVPNorman Powell (TOR): +51.6%
Toronto Raptors 117 Comeback4.0 [456] LVPKyle Lowry (TOR): -19.2%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dwyane Wade0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.15,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.210.130.07-0.011468%0.251-0.043100%0.01
James Johnson0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.33,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.160.060.110.001164%0.232-0.06683%-0.01
Hassan Whiteside0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.010.00978%0.1200.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.080.11-0.00739%0.093-0.06475%0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kelly Olynyk-0.020,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.01646%-0.0200.001100%0.01
Dion Waiters-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.050.04-0.070.021653%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Rodney McGruder-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.08-0.06-0.00614%-0.1400.0020%-0.06
Goran Dragic-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14-0.05-0.090.001237%-0.091-0.0500%0.00
Justise Winslow-0.170,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17-0.09-0.10-0.021838%-0.103-0.06367%-0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Norman Powell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.520.520.260.270.017115%0.5200.00683%0.02
Pascal Siakam0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.230.230.160.100.031096%0.313-0.084100%0.06
Kawhi Leonard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.2,0.20.200.030.16-0.011949%0.221-0.02771%0.03
Danny Green0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.180.180.150.050.011375%0.201-0.022100%0.01
Marc Gasol0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.020.01467%0.0600.004100%0.02
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.04-0.001443%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Fred VanVleet0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.09-0.09-0.01819%-0.141-0.0400%0.00
OG Anunoby0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.10-0.08-0.0040%-0.112-0.0800%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.11-0.060.02825%-0.142-0.05475%-0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.42.624.115.424.52.430.82.612.1141.8
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.93.315.6132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +42.0%
TOR +23.2%
MIA -26.8%
TOR +8.2%
TOR +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIATORNBAMIATORNBA
this game16.013.714.3101.9109.3109.3
season14.814.3106.3111.5
opponent14.514.3105.9106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA14.215.816.617.517.816.0
TOR10.614.912.218.514.013.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Hassan Whiteside43450.15-0.650.800.015-131816.715.61.1413.713.7-0.03
Rodney McGruder45490.15-0.650.79-0.098-162416.016.0-0.0313.513.9-0.39
Kelly Olynyk3836-0.15-0.350.190.02-6-2-415.216.5-1.3611.414.8-3.46
Derrick Jones Jr.66-0.18-0.320.150.09-91-1019.815.84.0214.513.60.87
Goran Dragic8077-0.21-0.290.08-0.12-3-5215.816.6-0.7913.613.8-0.12
Dwyane Wade6264-0.22-0.280.06-0.251-91016.215.80.4914.412.61.80
James Johnson5759-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.405-131816.815.11.7215.411.63.77
Justise Winslow7169-0.510.01-0.51-0.07-157-2215.616.8-1.2013.813.50.32
Dion Waiters6967-0.640.14-0.78-0.26-135-1816.016.1-0.1112.915.0-2.10
Bam Adebayo6463-0.640.14-0.78-0.26-135-1815.616.7-1.1413.513.9-0.39

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marc Gasol66680.78-0.281.070.1123-153813.813.50.3215.916.3-0.34
Danny Green72740.71-0.210.910.1818-102813.214.7-1.5815.916.5-0.60
Pascal Siakam75760.68-0.180.850.1219-113013.214.7-1.5215.517.3-1.81
Kawhi Leonard77780.62-0.120.730.4171613.414.5-1.1816.115.80.29
Kyle Lowry85860.460.040.430.2671613.912.81.1416.115.90.17
Norman Powell41400.090.41-0.32-0.0344014.513.21.3916.615.70.94
Fred VanVleet45430.030.47-0.430.0117-613.713.60.0916.415.80.56
Serge Ibaka3937-0.290.79-1.080.21-1725-4214.013.50.5016.515.80.77
OG Anunoby3533-0.581.08-1.660.06-2230-5214.213.40.8115.916.1-0.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 103, ORL 1120.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.55,0.57,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.46,0.67,0.46,0.32,0.26,0.46,0.75,0.72,0.84,1,191.8%
MIA 89, LAC 950.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,191.2%
NYK 102, CLE 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.89,0.98,190.3%