NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	119		Excitement	9.4 [130]		MVP	Josh Richardson (PHI): +41.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	127		Comeback	8.3 [128]		LVP	Nerlens Noel (OKC): -8.8%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Richardson	0.42	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42	0.13	0.26	-0.02	15	78%	0.50	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.07
Tobias Harris	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.13	0.01	16	62%	0.27	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.04
Joel Embiid	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.06,0.24,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.11	0.03	0.04	24	57%	0.14	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.02
Mike Scott	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	2	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Simmons	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	8	73%	0.17	5	-0.15	6	67%	-0.00
Al Horford	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Ennis III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matisse Thybulle	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Korkmaz	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.17	0.24	0.01	11	85%	0.47	3	-0.08	11	100%	0.15
Terrance Ferguson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.21	0.18	-0.01	9	106%	0.39	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.41,0.41,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.12	0.04	13	71%	0.27	0	0.00	12	100%	0.13
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.04	0.22	0.00	19	55%	0.30	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steven Adams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Abdel Nader	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	9	36%	-0.02	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	3	75%	0.04	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.0	27.7	14.8	27.4	1.8	40.0	1.6	14.0	155.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +26.2%

OKC +15.7%

PHI -31.0%

OKC +20.9%

OKC +18.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	OKC	NBA	PHI	OKC	NBA
this game	16.2	14.6	14.2	115.5	122.1	109.6
season	14.8	14.3		110.0	108.8
opponent	14.5	14.1		107.6	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
PHI	15.0	16.5	16.5	18.2	13.3	16.2
OKC	14.4	14.8	14.8	13.9	15.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Scott	38	35	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.27	-1	-7	6	14.7	17.0	-2.35	14.0	14.8	-0.81
James Ennis III	34	33	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.00	8	-16	24	15.6	16.5	-0.90	15.8	14.0	1.88
Raul Neto	12	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.07	-6	-2	-4	16.1	16.2	-0.09	15.8	14.4	1.43
Matisse Thybulle	10	10	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-2	-4	16.8	16.1	0.70	13.3	14.7	-1.40
Tobias Harris	72	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-8	8	17.2	13.8	3.42	15.1	13.2	1.80
Ben Simmons	88	89	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.36	-1	-7	6	16.4	14.7	1.75	14.6	14.1	0.51
Furkan Korkmaz	53	51	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	0	-8	15.2	17.2	-1.93	14.5	14.7	-0.23
Josh Richardson	65	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.10	-12	4	-16	16.3	15.9	0.39	14.2	15.3	-1.09
Joel Embiid	73	75	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	2	-12	16.2	16.1	0.14	14.1	15.7	-1.56
Al Horford	70	72	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	-4	0	16.3	15.8	0.55	14.5	14.7	-0.22

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danilo Gallinari	72	70	0.91	-0.41	1.32	0.53	13	-5	18	14.2	15.3	-1.08	16.6	15.2	1.45
Chris Paul	76	75	0.81	-0.31	1.13	0.34	16	-8	24	14.5	14.7	-0.25	16.7	14.9	1.80
Steven Adams	62	60	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.45	8	0	8	14.3	15.0	-0.77	16.2	16.0	0.20
Terrance Ferguson	75	73	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.37	9	-1	10	14.6	14.4	0.21	16.6	15.0	1.60
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	81	79	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.47	1	7	-6	14.5	15.0	-0.50	15.7	17.7	-1.96
Mike Muscala	8	7	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.07	3	5	-2	18.0	14.3	3.72	17.7	16.1	1.66
Abdel Nader	32	34	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.20	3	5	-2	13.8	14.9	-1.14	15.7	16.4	-0.73
Nerlens Noel	34	36	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	-0.12	-3	11	-14	14.3	14.7	-0.36	15.7	16.4	-0.68
Dennis Schroder	48	48	-0.34	0.84	-1.17	-0.19	-5	13	-18	15.3	13.9	1.35	15.8	16.5	-0.70
Darius Bazley	32	33	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.26	-5	13	-18	15.3	14.2	1.08	15.2	16.6	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.3,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.59,0.56,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.29,0.27,0.38,0.54,0.77,0.58,0.54,0.69,0.64,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 131, WAS 135	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.28,0.57,0.69,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	87.7%
BOS 118, ORL 124	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.95,0.98,1	87.3%
UTA 112, MIL 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.69,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	87.1%