NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	131		Excitement	11.6 [40]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +38.4%
Washington Wizards	135		Comeback	4.8 [191]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -25.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.35	0.21	0.16	0.02	23	68%	0.37	1	-0.03	7	57%	-0.03
Clint Capela	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.03	0.19	-0.03	14	57%	0.27	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.02
Danuel House	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.05	-0.01	5	33%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Clark	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Ennis III	-0.07	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.00	-0.05	0.03	9	53%	-0.04	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18	-0.06	-0.11	0.01	7	36%	-0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	-0.26	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.23,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.57,0.44,0.32,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.23,-0.26	0.15	-0.40	0.01	32	68%	0.45	11	-0.71	15	87%	0.02

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.38	0.38	0.21	0.18	0.01	18	78%	0.55	2	-0.16	5	80%	-0.01
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.33	0.15	0.18	0.01	12	79%	0.36	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.08	0.16	-0.00	6	87%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.04	-0.05	-0.01	11	54%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.05
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	46%	0.02	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.02
John Wall	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.08	-0.13	-0.01	23	63%	0.23	6	-0.28	11	73%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	31.1	1.8	32.5	15.3	27.3	1.8	33.7	1.7	18.0	163.3
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	3.3	15.6	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +52.2%

HOU -5.1%

HOU -43.3%

WAS +48.0%

HOU -1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	WAS	NBA	HOU	WAS	NBA
this game	15.0	14.4	14.3	120.2	125.0	109.3
season	14.8	13.8		114.0	109.8
opponent	14.3	14.4		112.4	109.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	10.1	16.1	14.1	19.8	18.4	15.0
WAS	15.3	11.2	16.6	14.5	14.9	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	13	12	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.07	6	-10	16	13.1	15.2	-2.13	17.7	13.9	3.73
Marquese Chriss	13	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	1	-6	13.0	15.2	-2.22	11.2	14.7	-3.49
Gary Clark	37	38	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	15.6	14.6	1.01	15.1	13.9	1.20
Michael Carter-Williams	7	7	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	3	-10	16.6	14.8	1.73	10.0	14.7	-4.65
PJ Tucker	90	89	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.37	7	-11	18	14.4	17.5	-3.12	14.5	13.8	0.68
James Harden	98	96	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.42	7	-11	18	14.7	17.5	-2.78	14.5	13.1	1.43
Danuel House	55	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	2	-8	15.1	14.8	0.35	14.7	14.0	0.68
Eric Gordon	91	89	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.60	1	-5	6	15.1	14.4	0.61	14.2	14.8	-0.59
Clint Capela	76	76	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.49	-4	0	-4	15.7	13.3	2.32	14.5	13.9	0.63
James Ennis III	65	68	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.21	-15	11	-26	15.2	14.5	0.69	13.6	15.6	-2.02

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Otto Porter Jr.	79	79	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.51	3	1	2	13.9	15.4	-1.50	14.3	16.7	-2.41
Jeff Green	55	58	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-5	14	14.0	14.7	-0.64	16.6	13.1	3.45
Tomas Satoransky	39	39	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.18	21	-17	38	13.4	14.9	-1.51	16.1	14.3	1.79
Bradley Beal	101	100	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	5	-6	14.7	10.0	4.65	15.0	14.7	0.31
John Wall	83	83	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.49	-8	12	-20	14.4	14.2	0.25	14.5	16.5	-1.98
Markieff Morris	73	73	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.27	17	-13	30	13.6	15.9	-2.23	15.9	13.0	2.96
Austin Rivers	31	32	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.15	6	-2	8	14.6	14.2	0.37	17.1	14.1	3.07
Thomas Bryant	26	27	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.27	-17	21	-38	16.2	13.8	2.42	11.1	16.2	-5.06
Kelly Oubre Jr.	44	45	-0.25	0.75	-1.01	0.16	-14	18	-32	15.3	13.7	1.67	12.3	16.8	-4.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.28,0.57,0.69,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 101, HOU 107	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.18,0.33,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.83,0.94,0.98,1	91.1%
UTA 112, MIL 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.69,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.98,1	88.5%
BOS 104, CHI 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1	88.3%