NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	104		Excitement	12.1 [23]		MVP	Pau Gasol (CHI): +27.0%
Chicago Bulls	109		Comeback	3.1 [694]		LVP	Jeff Green (BOS): -40.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Zeller	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.00	5	83%	0.20	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jared Sullinger	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.16,0.16,0.16	-0.03	0.18	-0.01	17	47%	0.29	2	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.08	-0.00	7	62%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Avery Bradley	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.1	0.01	0.11	0.01	15	53%	0.14	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Smart	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandan Wright	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	36%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.2,0.34,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.04,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19	0.02	-0.21	-0.00	22	63%	0.06	7	-0.25	2	50%	-0.02
Jeff Green	-0.40	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.14,-0.31,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4,-0.4	-0.18	-0.23	-0.01	18	28%	-0.26	4	-0.14	3	100%	0.05

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.29,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.19	-0.00	16	67%	0.39	5	-0.12	11	91%	0.06
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	15	54%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.03
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	7	44%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	4	30%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Mirotic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	0.00	10	37%	-0.13	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	10	33%	-0.04	4	-0.10	4	50%	-0.02
Derrick Rose	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.23,-0.15	-0.15	-0.17	0.02	-0.01	18	32%	-0.04	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.25,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	10	40%	-0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.9	1.7	28.2	15.6	23.3	0.2	38.4	2.4	16.6	150.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	2.0	17.8	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS -45.1%

CHI +24.8%

CHI +39.3%

CHI +22.5%

CHI +8.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	13.7	15.1	15.1	94.5	98.2	104.2
season	14.3	15.5		103.1	105.4
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.5	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
BOS	12.4	16.0	12.9	14.6	12.2	13.7
CHI	14.3	15.3	15.4	17.3	11.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Avery Bradley	79	80	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-11	17	13.3	14.7	-1.35	14.5	16.5	-2.06
Phil Pressey	26	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.06	-1	-4	3	14.5	13.5	1.09	15.9	14.8	1.11
Brandan Wright	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-7	9	14.7	13.3	1.36	15.0	15.1	-0.13
Kelly Olynyk	28	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	14.7	13.4	1.35	14.3	15.3	-0.97
Jae Crowder	30	31	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	13.6	13.8	-0.20	16.4	14.6	1.79
Brandon Bass	29	28	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.17	-11	6	-17	13.7	13.7	-0.03	15.2	15.0	0.15
Jared Sullinger	77	76	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-10	15	13.4	14.4	-0.98	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Jeff Green	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-3	1	13.8	13.6	0.20	14.6	16.4	-1.79
Tyler Zeller	55	57	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	13.3	14.2	-0.91	16.1	14.0	2.11
Marcus Smart	32	33	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	8	-21	14.3	13.4	0.90	15.8	14.8	0.99
Evan Turner	84	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	-1	-3	13.5	14.5	-1.09	14.8	15.9	-1.11

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	61	60	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.11	13	-8	21	15.9	14.0	1.93	14.7	12.6	2.11
E'Twaun Moore	32	32	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	-7	19	15.7	14.8	0.88	14.3	13.4	0.90
Pau Gasol	79	80	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.37	2	3	-1	15.4	14.2	1.27	13.7	13.7	0.06
Tony Snell	27	26	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.15	8	-3	11	16.1	14.7	1.38	13.8	13.7	0.18
Nikola Mirotic	80	80	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.31	1	4	-3	14.3	16.9	-2.60	14.1	12.8	1.30
Aaron Brooks	40	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.03	7	-2	9	16.9	14.0	2.95	13.6	13.8	-0.18
Joakim Noah	81	79	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.30	-6	11	-17	14.2	17.4	-3.16	13.1	15.3	-2.20
Derrick Rose	76	76	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.20	-5	10	-15	14.3	16.7	-2.45	13.2	14.8	-1.57
Kirk Hinrich	79	78	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.23	-7	12	-19	14.8	15.7	-0.88	13.4	14.3	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.67,0.66,0.74,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.49,0.45,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.5,0.48,0.38,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.71,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.57,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.9,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 115, POR 120	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.69,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.53,0.71,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.73,0.54,0.74,0.57,0.9,0.98,1	89.6%
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	89.4%
TOR 113, ATL 118	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.4,0.45,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.56,0.5,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.58,0.66,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.69,0.6,0.53,0.69,0.54,0.68,0.85,0.5,0.68,0.55,0.76,0.73,1	89.4%