NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	10.6 [36]		MVP	Cuttino Mobley (HOU): +46.0%
Houston Rockets	107		Comeback	5.1 [382]		LVP	Raja Bell (UTA): -50.4%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raul Lopez	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.02	0.20	-0.00	7	76%	0.32	3	-0.10	7	86%	0.05
Sasha Pavlovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	10	86%	0.12	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.08	-0.00	6	61%	0.11	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.09
Curtis Borchardt	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	43%	0.07	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0	50%	-0.03	3	-0.08	4	50%	-0.03
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.19	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.19,-0.19	0.01	-0.18	0.02	11	66%	-0.12	3	-0.07	7	86%	-0.12
Matt Harpring	-0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.11,-0.16,-0.2,-0.2,-0.29,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	19	41%	-0.27	2	-0.11	8	62%	-0.05
Raja Bell	-0.50	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.37,-0.37,-0.42,-0.48,-0.5,-0.5	-0.17	-0.34	-0.01	12	23%	-0.41	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.10

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.46	0.46	0.16	0.30	0.00	18	74%	0.51	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.05
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	9	72%	0.18	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.09	0.16	-0.01	12	59%	0.29	6	-0.20	10	80%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	42%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Steve Francis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.14	-0.04	10	56%	-0.01	3	-0.16	14	79%	-0.08
Maurice Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	4	60%	-0.01	6	-0.21	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.0	2.0	30.0	15.7	28.2	1.6	40.6	2.4	13.5	157.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	2.0	17.4	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +105.5%

UTA -19.0%

UTA -16.5%

UTA -17.1%

UTA -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	17.2	15.6	15.7	104.1	110.3	100.5
season	17.2	16.5		99.4	98.8
opponent	15.6	15.2		97.1	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	17.0	19.5	14.0	18.0	18.2	17.2
HOU	14.3	14.1	17.3	17.1	15.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raul Lopez	66	66	0.36	-0.86	1.22	-0.11	16	-22	38	16.2	19.2	-2.92	15.8	15.1	0.70
Sasha Pavlovic	36	37	0.28	-0.78	1.06	-0.19	16	-22	38	14.8	18.6	-3.81	16.1	15.3	0.81
Curtis Borchardt	15	15	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.15	-8	2	-10	17.0	17.2	-0.21	15.7	15.6	0.07
Andrei Kirilenko	84	83	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.34	6	-12	18	17.2	17.1	0.11	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Jarron Collins	26	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.09	-11	5	-16	17.0	17.3	-0.29	15.3	15.7	-0.38
Greg Ostertag	80	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.48	2	-8	10	17.2	17.2	-0.00	15.5	16.0	-0.48
Matt Harpring	86	87	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.39	-7	1	-8	17.3	16.5	0.71	15.8	14.1	1.68
Raja Bell	58	57	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.14	-22	16	-38	18.5	15.2	3.38	15.7	15.5	0.14
Mo Williams	34	34	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.20	-22	16	-38	19.2	16.1	3.13	14.5	16.2	-1.66

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Piatkowski	66	64	1.13	-0.63	1.76	0.46	23	-17	40	15.6	15.6	-0.01	18.3	15.0	3.30
Maurice Taylor	63	63	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.17	17	-11	28	15.7	15.4	0.30	17.8	15.9	1.90
Yao Ming	87	88	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.30	11	-5	16	15.4	17.6	-2.22	17.5	13.6	3.99
Cuttino Mobley	93	93	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.31	9	-3	12	15.8	11.7	4.02	17.3	15.0	2.27
Steve Francis	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.52	1	5	-4	15.2	16.7	-1.46	16.7	18.7	-1.99
Moochie Norris	30	29	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.20	0	6	-6	16.5	15.2	1.29	18.1	16.8	1.32
Kelvin Cato	43	42	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.17	-16	22	-38	15.8	15.5	0.33	15.6	18.4	-2.79
Bostjan Nachbar	30	32	-0.55	1.04	-1.59	-0.11	-15	21	-36	15.3	15.8	-0.49	14.7	18.4	-3.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.33,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.18,0.33,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.66,0.55,0.52,0.32,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.83,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 131, WAS 135	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.34,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.64,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.37,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.53,0.4,0.52,0.38,0.28,0.57,0.69,0.54,0.69,0.79,0.89,0.96,1	91.1%
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	89.8%
CLE 93, CHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.37,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.34,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.52,0.61,0.45,0.35,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.48,0.36,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.58,0.59,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.37,0.22,0.28,0.54,0.68,0.89,1,1,1	89.2%