NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	112		Excitement	9.7 [76]		MVP	Glenn Robinson (MIL): +38.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	119		Comeback	2.3 [530]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -33.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.34	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.1,0.1,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.12,0.01,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.34	-0.01	0.35	-0.00	27	59%	0.60	6	-0.26	10	80%	0.03
Antoine Carr	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Chris Morris	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.00	8	58%	0.07	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Jamie Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.04	0.00	3	100%	0.07	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Greg Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	60%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Jeff Hornacek	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.11	-0.02	16	50%	0.03	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.06
Bryon Russell	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.02	10	30%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.3,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.10	-0.19	0.04	11	48%	-0.18	5	-0.15	3	100%	0.03

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glenn Robinson	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.09,0.16,0.28,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.09	0.29	-0.01	18	75%	0.55	5	-0.16	15	73%	0.09
Vin Baker	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	-0.00	13	66%	0.20	4	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Chucky Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	3	50%	-0.01	1	0.01	4	75%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.01	6	72%	0.03	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Andrew Lang	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sherman Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	9	67%	-0.01
Johnny Newman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.02	-0.13	-0.00	8	68%	0.10	2	-0.21	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	25.1	15.4	26.9	2.0	39.0	0.7	25.2	159.5
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +24.2%

MIL +34.7%

UTA -17.1%

MIL +15.2%

UTA -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	MIL	NBA	UTA	MIL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.0	15.6	108.7	115.5	104.4
season	15.6	16.0		110.8	103.9
opponent	15.5	16.0		106.0	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	16.8	15.5	13.9	14.4	12.5	14.8
MIL	15.9	17.2	16.1	16.3	13.5	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	49	52	0.23	-0.73	0.96	0.05	6	-13	19	15.6	14.1	1.46	15.8	16.3	-0.49
Greg Foster	54	53	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.17	9	-16	25	14.9	14.8	0.09	15.7	16.4	-0.76
Jamie Watson	14	13	0.09	-0.60	0.69	0.15	-2	-5	3	13.1	15.1	-1.97	17.7	15.8	1.90
Howard Eisley	33	32	0.03	-0.54	0.57	-0.03	2	-9	11	15.4	14.6	0.81	15.6	16.2	-0.68
Greg Ostertag	30	30	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.00	-3	-4	1	15.8	14.5	1.35	18.3	15.1	3.16
Adam Keefe	6	5	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.01	-7	0	-7	12.0	15.0	-3.02	14.4	16.1	-1.71
Karl Malone	90	89	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.34	-3	-4	1	14.6	16.4	-1.76	15.7	18.3	-2.61
Jeff Hornacek	79	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.37	-5	-2	-3	14.6	15.5	-0.91	15.3	18.5	-3.17
John Stockton	78	79	-0.56	0.05	-0.61	-0.27	-10	3	-13	15.0	14.4	0.64	16.5	14.6	1.83
Chris Morris	45	44	-0.56	0.05	-0.62	-0.38	-6	-1	-5	14.9	14.8	0.08	17.2	15.2	2.05
Antoine Carr	37	39	-0.64	0.13	-0.77	-0.17	-16	9	-25	14.2	15.2	-0.98	15.3	16.5	-1.20

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Johnny Newman	63	62	0.76	-0.25	1.01	0.26	17	-10	27	15.9	16.2	-0.36	14.2	15.8	-1.55
Chucky Brown	40	38	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-2	11	15.5	16.3	-0.82	14.2	15.2	-1.09
Vin Baker	95	95	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.39	6	1	5	15.9	17.2	-1.32	14.9	13.6	1.32
Sherman Douglas	61	59	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.56	-3	10	-13	15.5	16.8	-1.32	15.7	13.7	2.03
Glenn Robinson	89	89	0.46	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	1	5	15.9	16.6	-0.71	14.8	15.3	-0.51
Elliot Perry	42	44	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.26	10	-3	13	16.8	15.5	1.32	13.7	15.7	-2.03
Andrew Lang	38	41	-0.08	0.59	-0.67	0.04	-4	11	-15	15.9	16.1	-0.17	15.3	14.5	0.74
Armen Gilliam	33	31	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	-0.06	-1	8	-9	17.1	15.5	1.52	15.0	14.8	0.27
Ray Allen	54	56	-0.22	0.73	-0.95	-0.08	-5	12	-17	16.4	15.7	0.68	15.5	14.1	1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.69,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 100, BOS 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.75,0.84,1,1,1	90.0%
DAL 86, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.44,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.61,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.79,0.96,0.96,1	89.8%
LAC 93, SAC 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.68,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.24,0.15,0.34,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.93,1,1,1	89.6%