inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New York Knicks 100 Excitement10.8 [49] MVPMark Blount (BOS): +29.2%
Boston Celtics 114 Comeback2.3 [747] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -41.3%


New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Antonio Davis0.240,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.000.23-0.01669%0.373-0.131100%0.00
Quentin Richardson0.040,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.05-0.010.01779%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Maurice Taylor0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.01-0.00667%0.081-0.0400%0.00
Matt Barnes0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.010.040.02764%0.102-0.0700%0.00
Jerome James0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00367%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Trevor Ariza-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.010.00450%-0.0000.00250%-0.02
Malik Rose-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.010.0020%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Stephon Marbury-0.090,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.04,-0.13,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.03-0.021846%0.085-0.171242%-0.17
Nate Robinson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.04-0.050.00520%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Eddy Curry-0.160,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.06-0.090.011543%-0.092-0.071450%-0.06
Jamal Crawford-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.13-0.11-0.031142%-0.016-0.204100%0.02

Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mark Blount0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.290.290.030.25-0.011358%0.353-0.067100%0.10
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.18,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.010.100.032252%0.172-0.08862%-0.08
Delonte West0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.040.01958%0.101-0.04667%-0.01
Orien Greene0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.030.001100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.000.001100%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Justin Reed0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.030.0020%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.050.00527%-0.0700.001100%0.00
Brian Scalabrine0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00437%0.023-0.1100%0.00
Raef LaFrentz0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.14,0.04,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.100.03-0.070.051256%-0.002-0.1010%-0.02
Paul Pierce0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.34,-0.43,-0.42,-0.42,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41-0.41-0.02-0.340.051850%-0.294-0.132475%-0.17
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game27.22.633.915.829.42.635.11.513.2161.5
league avg33.92.429.514.726.72.434.01.817.8144.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK -43.9%
BOS +21.0%
BOS +61.9%
BOS +15.2%
NYK -4.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNYKBOSNBANYKBOSNBA
this game14.614.215.690.1103.6104.4
season15.714.8102.1103.3
opponent15.815.4104.8108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NYK13.816.113.614.515.614.6
BOS14.414.512.616.811.614.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Maurice Taylor44460.31-0.811.12-0.0412-263814.114.9-0.7315.513.22.27
Trevor Ariza33330.16-0.660.82-0.078-223014.314.7-0.4316.413.23.18
Quentin Richardson49480.10-0.600.700.31-7-7014.714.50.1713.115.1-2.02
Jerome James16150.03-0.530.55-0.063-172013.814.7-0.8915.913.91.93
Malik Rose10100.01-0.510.52-0.052-161814.814.60.2516.014.01.98
Nate Robinson1719-0.15-0.350.200.06-7-7015.814.41.4016.713.73.00
Stephon Marbury9692-0.36-0.14-0.21-0.15-7-7014.316.3-1.9513.816.3-2.48
Antonio Davis6360-0.37-0.13-0.250.01-13-1-1214.414.7-0.3113.515.0-1.50
Jamal Crawford7576-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-5-414.814.10.7314.314.00.33
Eddy Curry8888-0.47-0.03-0.430.00-162-1814.913.31.5514.015.0-0.94
Matt Barnes5352-0.900.40-1.29-0.25-228-3014.414.7-0.3513.215.1-1.98

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raef LaFrentz61650.89-0.391.270.2422-83013.515.0-1.4814.614.50.06
Ricky Davis95940.83-0.331.150.0626-123814.115.0-0.9314.614.20.47
Delonte West86860.70-0.200.90-0.0325-113614.014.8-0.8114.913.41.57
Mark Blount88910.54-0.040.570.1015-11613.815.7-1.8514.913.11.74
Paul Pierce92940.52-0.020.540.0516-21813.716.6-2.8214.913.01.86
Kendrick Perkins2018-0.020.52-0.54-0.02014-1415.813.81.9614.314.6-0.36
Al Jefferson2726-0.130.63-0.75-0.01-418-2215.113.91.2614.914.50.45
Ryan Gomes1718-0.180.68-0.850.09-923-3216.513.82.6914.514.6-0.09
Brian Scalabrine2322-0.190.69-0.89-0.11-317-2015.413.91.5613.015.0-1.91
Orien Greene2122-0.210.71-0.930.08-1024-3415.413.91.5212.515.1-2.53
Justin Reed2019-0.240.74-0.98-0.00-822-3013.814.3-0.4913.614.8-1.14


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.65,0.69,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.73,0.62,0.55,0.69,0.85,0.46,0.75,0.84,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
DAL 106, DET 1130.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.34,0.39,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.66,0.6,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.59,0.53,0.54,0.45,0.63,0.77,0.84,0.5,0.61,0.63,0.76,0.98,190.4%
WAS 114, NJN 1200.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.4,0.37,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.49,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.6,0.67,0.53,0.64,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.69,0.72,0.54,0.61,0.78,0.97,0.99,190.2%
UTA 112, MIL 1190.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.45,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.64,0.73,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.48,0.44,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.48,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.69,0.54,0.69,0.93,0.96,0.98,190.0%