inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 118 Excitement10.3 [43] MVPTracy McGrady (ORL): +51.5%
Orlando Magic 124 Comeback9.7 [152] LVPPaul Pierce (BOS): -28.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Walter McCarty0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.25,0.22,0.220.030.190.001064%0.362-0.14250%-0.01
Jiri Welsch0.120,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.040.08-0.003100%0.182-0.064100%0.03
Marcus Banks0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.04-0.001164%0.142-0.0600%0.00
Mike James0.080,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.100.030.055120%0.122-0.0400%0.00
Vin Baker0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.00675%0.091-0.044100%0.03
Chris Mihm0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.040.03775%0.102-0.062100%0.01
Mark Blount0.000,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.010.01-0.01862%0.052-0.05862%-0.01
Ricky Davis-0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.160.00-0.170.00675%0.073-0.2400%0.00
Paul Pierce-0.280,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.3,-0.21,-0.23,-0.18,-0.18,-0.36,-0.13,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28-0.24-0.08-0.042634%-0.075-0.22667%-0.07

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tracy McGrady0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.4,0.48,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.520.520.160.36-0.003163%0.612-0.10887%0.04
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.07,0.36,0.36,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.440.440.160.290.021873%0.581-0.14875%-0.03
Rod Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.010.00387%0.0600.002100%0.01
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.01490%0.112-0.082100%0.00
Zaza Pachulia0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.010.00-0.00458%0.0100.00475%-0.00
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Juwan Howard0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04-0.04-0.090.04-0.011146%0.074-0.11250%-0.01
Lee Nailon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.000.0010%-0.0500.0020%-0.03
Shammond Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.04-0.030.0010%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Keith Bogans0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.020.021042%-0.0700.00475%-0.00
Tyronn Lue0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.10-0.03-0.00714%-0.101-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game26.22.532.316.522.31.835.71.714.1153.2
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.82.017.4150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +15.5%
BOS -3.1%
ORL +3.0%
ORL +41.3%
BOS -6.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSORLNBABOSORLNBA
this game14.916.115.7115.7120.4100.5
season14.415.799.5100.9
opponent15.415.9108.2102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
BOS14.614.813.917.513.114.9
ORL14.815.818.016.814.216.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Mihm48450.38-0.881.260.158-142215.014.80.1715.816.3-0.51
Marcus Banks39380.28-0.781.050.222-81016.613.82.8014.816.9-2.09
Vin Baker32310.19-0.690.880.103-91216.814.02.7714.716.7-1.95
Jiri Welsch4648-0.15-0.350.19-0.181-7815.014.80.2015.516.6-1.14
Ricky Davis4851-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.14-71-814.715.1-0.4216.615.60.95
Paul Pierce8989-0.520.02-0.55-0.32-71-814.915.1-0.1916.016.8-0.79
Mike James6668-0.760.26-1.02-0.53-82-1013.617.3-3.7016.715.01.72
Walter McCarty6466-0.780.28-1.06-0.49-104-1414.515.6-1.1516.515.50.97
Mark Blount7879-0.780.28-1.07-0.43-126-1814.815.4-0.6116.813.73.07

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Juwan Howard64650.71-0.210.920.3911-51617.713.64.0914.615.5-0.99
Tyronn Lue66650.66-0.160.820.428-21016.515.41.0513.916.6-2.73
Drew Gooden71720.54-0.040.570.308-21015.816.7-0.8415.314.11.20
Keith Bogans86840.410.090.330.2460615.917.2-1.2814.815.4-0.65
Tracy McGrady87870.400.100.310.4006-616.513.92.6414.417.9-3.46
Lee Nailon14140.110.39-0.28-0.0660615.816.2-0.3717.014.62.42
Andrew DeClercq24230.100.40-0.29-0.0142215.816.2-0.3613.515.3-1.79
Gordan Giricek31290.070.43-0.370.0706-613.817.1-3.2915.614.60.94
Shammond Williams560.070.43-0.37-0.0233014.216.2-2.0021.314.56.82
Rod Strickland3231-0.220.72-0.95-0.08-511-1615.616.3-0.7015.714.51.19
Zaza Pachulia3534-0.350.85-1.19-0.02-1117-2815.716.3-0.6815.914.41.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.52,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.44,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.57,0.58,0.46,0.62,0.64,0.95,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 81, TOR 850.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.36,0.72,0.77,0.92,191.7%
OKC 108, DAL 1100.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.52,0.3,0.3,0.43,0.28,0.23,0.14,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.94,189.6%
SAC 91, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.25,0.37,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.98,188.8%