NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	91		Excitement	8.8 [144]		MVP	Alec Burks (UTA): +16.9%
Utah Jazz	98		Comeback	10.3 [229]		LVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): -28.8%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.00	0.03	13	59%	0.12	1	-0.08	3	100%	0.03
Thomas Robinson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	-0.07	-0.00	18	52%	0.01	1	-0.04	8	62%	-0.03
Marcus Thornton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	12	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jimmer Fredette	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.12	-0.06	0.00	5	17%	-0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tyreke Evans	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,0,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18	-0.01	-0.12	0.05	15	50%	-0.04	2	-0.14	10	60%	-0.00
John Salmons	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.01	9	11%	-0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.04	0.12	-0.00	7	87%	0.29	4	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.03	0.12	0.00	5	67%	0.19	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.03
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.09	0.06	-0.00	7	72%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.02
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	8	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.07	0.04	12	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	83%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.33,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.29	-0.29	-0.10	-0.18	-0.00	17	42%	-0.15	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	20.7	2.6	26.4	15.4	24.7	1.8	34.8	1.8	14.2	142.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +86.9%

SAC -17.8%

SAC -5.9%

SAC -18.7%

UTA +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	UTA	NBA	SAC	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.3	15.4	96.8	103.2	104.1
season	15.0	16.0		104.7	104.6
opponent	15.1	15.2		105.0	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAC	16.0	13.8	16.5	20.3	15.7	16.3
UTA	20.0	15.0	16.2	18.7	17.7	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	29	30	0.00	-0.50	0.51	0.18	-6	-1	-5	15.9	16.5	-0.61	14.6	18.6	-3.94
DeMarcus Cousins	34	35	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	0.02	-2	-5	3	14.7	17.2	-2.57	18.7	16.5	2.15
James Johnson	17	16	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.05	-6	-1	-5	14.2	16.8	-2.54	13.4	18.1	-4.68
Jason Thompson	75	76	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-6	5	17.1	13.4	3.70	18.5	12.5	6.07
Tyreke Evans	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.39	4	-11	15	16.4	16.0	0.45	18.6	14.2	4.36
Isaiah Thomas	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-7	7	16.2	16.6	-0.41	19.0	13.7	5.35
John Salmons	62	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.43	3	-10	13	17.4	14.2	3.28	17.9	16.1	1.78
Charles Hayes	48	45	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	17.0	15.6	1.39	16.7	17.9	-1.17
Jimmer Fredette	28	29	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.17	-8	1	-9	15.2	16.8	-1.62	12.9	19.3	-6.38
Marcus Thornton	46	48	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.05	-14	7	-21	15.8	16.8	-0.97	15.8	18.9	-3.10

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alec Burks	55	54	0.85	-0.35	1.21	0.24	21	-14	35	17.3	17.3	0.00	16.4	16.2	0.21
Paul Millsap	65	64	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.47	0	7	-7	17.6	16.7	0.96	16.4	16.2	0.13
Randy Foye	62	64	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.42	1	6	-5	18.6	14.9	3.66	15.8	17.4	-1.64
DeMarre Carroll	44	42	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.06	13	-6	19	14.5	19.8	-5.35	15.6	16.9	-1.31
Al Jefferson	63	63	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.23	1	6	-5	19.1	13.7	5.39	17.1	14.7	2.35
Derrick Favors	45	44	0.20	0.30	-0.11	-0.16	12	-5	17	15.8	18.7	-2.90	16.0	16.6	-0.51
Enes Kanter	29	29	0.01	0.49	-0.48	-0.17	6	1	5	14.4	18.6	-4.19	15.3	16.8	-1.41
Marvin Williams	63	61	-0.32	0.82	-1.14	0.03	-12	19	-31	18.3	15.3	2.99	17.3	14.5	2.73
Jamaal Tinsley	40	40	-0.35	0.85	-1.21	0.06	-14	21	-35	17.3	17.3	-0.00	16.2	16.4	-0.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.25,0.37,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 107, GSW 109	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.84,1	90.7%
PHX 89, MIL 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.14,0.11,0.22,0.1,0.21,0.43,0.53,0.54,0.81,0.63,0.91,0.98,1	89.6%
NYK 81, TOR 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.53,0.58,0.46,0.36,0.72,0.77,0.92,1	89.0%