NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	107		Excitement	12.3 [14]		MVP	Chris Mullin (GSW): +41.6%
Golden State Warriors	109		Comeback	4.5 [438]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (DEN): -45.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.18	0.00	0.18	0.01	23	48%	0.21	1	-0.04	4	75%	0.03
Kenny Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	4	112%	0.19	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Allen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Ervin Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.09	-0.00	4	58%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Tom Hammonds	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11	-0.01	-0.08	0.02	21	43%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brooks Thompson	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Goldwire	-0.22	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22	-0.05	-0.19	-0.02	12	46%	-0.15	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.45	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.37,-0.33,-0.45	-0.02	-0.42	0.02	32	51%	-0.30	3	-0.15	5	60%	-0.07

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42	0.42	0.14	0.27	-0.00	11	87%	0.50	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.13	-0.01	16	52%	0.14	0	0.00	10	70%	0.01
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.02	13	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Booker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	11	39%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ray Owes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.14	-0.07	-0.01	4	20%	-0.04	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.01
Mark Price	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.16	-0.06	0.00	9	20%	-0.14	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33	-0.33	-0.07	-0.26	-0.00	10	42%	-0.18	2	-0.15	4	50%	-0.03
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.34,-0.39	-0.39	0.02	-0.41	-0.00	23	51%	-0.27	1	-0.12	3	100%	0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	21.7	0.7	24.2	14.6	24.2	1.7	33.5	1.0	18.2	139.7
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	1.6	17.8	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +10.9%

GSW +32.6%

GSW +22.3%

DEN -12.9%

DEN -2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	14.6	15.6	98.2	100.0	104.4
season	15.2	15.0		102.3	104.4
opponent	15.4	15.3		109.1	108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	13.9	15.8	13.1	15.4	15.5	14.6
GSW	14.3	14.9	14.6	14.0	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerome Allen	6	6	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	1	-4	15.3	14.6	0.77	15.8	14.5	1.34
Kenny Smith	33	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	5	-12	16.1	14.0	2.13	14.2	14.7	-0.48
Brooks Thompson	51	51	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	3	-8	14.5	14.7	-0.25	13.5	15.5	-2.03
Anthony Goldwire	71	71	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.39	4	-6	10	13.9	15.9	-1.94	14.5	14.7	-0.22
Dale Ellis	99	99	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-5	8	14.5	16.0	-1.54	14.7	13.4	1.29
Ervin Johnson	87	85	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.30	0	-2	2	14.7	14.3	0.36	15.3	11.9	3.45
Tom Hammonds	101	101	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.45	-1	-1	0	14.6	15.0	-0.43	14.5	14.9	-0.33
Antonio McDyess	97	98	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.56	-1	-1	0	14.7	13.6	1.15	14.5	15.5	-0.99

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	52	52	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.52	11	-9	20	14.7	14.5	0.16	16.0	13.4	2.63
Chris Mullin	62	62	0.84	-0.34	1.17	0.48	12	-10	22	14.9	14.1	0.78	15.6	13.2	2.41
Latrell Sprewell	89	89	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.57	0	2	-2	14.7	14.0	0.64	14.0	17.3	-3.36
Scott Burrell	26	26	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	-4	10	14.8	14.5	0.26	16.7	14.0	2.69
Ray Owes	13	13	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	-4	10	14.8	14.5	0.31	17.4	14.2	3.16
Joe Smith	83	84	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.36	-8	10	-18	14.9	13.4	1.56	14.2	15.9	-1.71
Felton Spencer	63	63	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	8	-14	14.1	15.2	-1.12	13.7	15.8	-2.04
Mark Price	50	48	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	-0.02	-10	12	-22	14.2	14.9	-0.64	13.2	15.7	-2.53
Donyell Marshall	55	53	-0.59	1.09	-1.69	-0.27	-11	13	-24	13.9	15.2	-1.29	13.1	16.1	-3.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 91, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.25,0.37,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.98,1	90.7%
POR 111, CHI 115	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.44,0.54,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.9,0.98,1	89.9%
DAL 104, LAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.21,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.82,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.97,0.92,1	89.0%