inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 107 Excitement12.3 [14] MVPChris Mullin (GSW): +41.6%
Golden State Warriors 109 Comeback4.5 [438] LVPAntonio McDyess (DEN): -45.1%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Dale Ellis0.180,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,0.180.000.180.012348%0.211-0.04475%0.03
Kenny Smith0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.030.004112%0.193-0.1200%0.00
Jerome Allen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00050%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Ervin Johnson-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.01-0.09-0.00458%-0.071-0.03475%-0.01
Tom Hammonds-0.110,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11-0.01-0.080.022143%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Brooks Thompson-0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.08-0.040.00617%-0.081-0.0400%0.00
Anthony Goldwire-0.220,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.22-0.05-0.19-0.021246%-0.153-0.0700%0.00
Antonio McDyess-0.450,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.33,-0.39,-0.39,-0.37,-0.33,-0.45-0.02-0.420.023251%-0.303-0.15560%-0.07

Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Mullin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.420.420.140.27-0.001187%0.502-0.08250%-0.02
Latrell Sprewell0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.140.140.010.13-0.011652%0.1400.001070%0.01
Donyell Marshall0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.080.000.021362%0.0700.0000%0.00
Melvin Booker00.000.000.000.001139%0.0000.001100%0.00
Ray Owes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Scott Burrell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.05-0.060.0030%-0.1100.0000%0.00
Felton Spencer0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.14-0.07-0.01420%-0.044-0.152100%0.01
Mark Price0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.16-0.060.00920%-0.143-0.082100%0.01
Andrew DeClercq0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.21,-0.26,-0.26,-0.31,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33-0.33-0.07-0.26-0.001042%-0.182-0.15450%-0.03
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.3,-0.34,-0.39-0.390.02-0.41-0.002351%-0.271-0.123100%0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game21.70.724.214.624.21.733.51.018.2139.7
league avg32.72.123.215.325.72.133.11.617.8135.6
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
GSW +10.9%
GSW +32.6%
GSW +22.3%
DEN -12.9%
DEN -2.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENGSWNBADENGSWNBA
this game14.614.615.698.2100.0104.4
season15.215.0102.3104.4
opponent15.415.3109.1108.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
DEN13.915.813.115.415.514.6
GSW14.314.914.614.016.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jerome Allen66-0.07-0.430.360.02-31-415.314.60.7715.814.51.34
Kenny Smith3334-0.23-0.270.04-0.03-75-1216.114.02.1314.214.7-0.48
Brooks Thompson5151-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.10-53-814.514.7-0.2513.515.5-2.03
Anthony Goldwire7171-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.394-61013.915.9-1.9414.514.7-0.22
Dale Ellis9999-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.383-5814.516.0-1.5414.713.41.29
Ervin Johnson8785-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.300-2214.714.30.3615.311.93.45
Tom Hammonds101101-0.48-0.02-0.47-0.45-1-1014.615.0-0.4314.514.9-0.33
Antonio McDyess9798-0.590.09-0.68-0.56-1-1014.713.61.1514.515.5-0.99

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andrew DeClercq52520.84-0.341.190.5211-92014.714.50.1616.013.42.63
Chris Mullin62620.84-0.341.170.4812-102214.914.10.7815.613.22.41
Latrell Sprewell89890.57-0.070.640.5702-214.714.00.6414.017.3-3.36
Scott Burrell26260.320.180.140.146-41014.814.50.2616.714.02.69
Ray Owes13130.150.35-0.20-0.036-41014.814.50.3117.414.23.16
Joe Smith83840.130.37-0.250.36-810-1814.913.41.5614.215.9-1.71
Felton Spencer6363-0.150.65-0.800.03-68-1414.115.2-1.1213.715.8-2.04
Mark Price5048-0.310.81-1.13-0.02-1012-2214.214.9-0.6413.215.7-2.53
Donyell Marshall5553-0.591.09-1.69-0.27-1113-2413.915.2-1.2913.116.1-3.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.45,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.79,0.67,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.19,0.25,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.42,0.32,0.41,0.41,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.65,0.84,0.46,0.69,0.85,0.95,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 91, UTA 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.45,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.72,0.75,0.64,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.19,0.12,0.25,0.37,0.67,0.72,0.54,0.68,0.64,0.84,0.98,190.7%
POR 111, CHI 1150.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.57,0.63,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.37,0.37,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.29,0.44,0.54,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.53,0.64,0.9,0.98,189.9%
DAL 104, LAL 1080.5,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.63,0.71,0.76,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.54,0.57,0.4,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.37,0.21,0.46,0.61,0.68,0.54,0.57,0.82,0.54,0.81,0.72,0.97,0.92,189.0%